Femi, Raj, and Mei are playing hide and seek in a large house with many rooms. Femi is 'it' and is counting in the living room with his eyes closed. Raj decides to hide in the upstairs bathroom and Mei chooses the kitchen cupboard. Mei sneaks a peek and notices Raj heading upstairs. When Femi finishes counting, he opens his eyes and starts to look for them. He first checks the kitchen and finds Mei. Now, both Femi and Mei start searching for Raj. Mei believes Raj is in the basement because Raj once mentioned he knew a great hiding spot there, but she didn't see him go downstairs. Femi thinks to check the upstairs because it's the furthest place from the living room. They decide to split up; Femi goes upstairs, and Mei goes to the basement. Who is most likely to find Raj and why?
Provide a very brief response.
Femi is most likely to find Raj because Raj actually hid in the upstairs bathroom. Mei's belief that Raj is in the basement is based on a previous statement he made, not on current information. Although she observed Raj going upstairs, she misinterpreted his destination, probably due to not considering the information she directly acquired (seeing Raj go upstairs) and instead relying on an older piece of information (Raj mentioning the basement as a good hiding spot in a past conversation). Thus, Femi's decision to check upstairs is based on the more logical assumption that Raj would choose the furthest place to hide from the starting point, which in this situation, turns out to be correct since Raj did indeed choose an upstairs room to hide.