Small correction, they predicted Romney would win in 2012, not McCain in 2008; they actually predicted Obama would do better than he did in 2008 (tied for the highest overestimated prediction). Their results have been poor indeed.<p><a href="http:&#x2F;&#x2F;fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com&#x2F;2012&#x2F;11&#x2F;10&#x2F;which-polls-fared-best-and-worst-in-the-2012-presidential-race&#x2F;?_r=0" rel="nofollow">http:&#x2F;&#x2F;fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com&#x2F;2012&#x2F;11&#x2F;10&#x2F;which-po...</a><p><a href="http:&#x2F;&#x2F;fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com&#x2F;2012&#x2F;10&#x2F;18&#x2F;gallup-vs-the-world&#x2F;" rel="nofollow">http:&#x2F;&#x2F;fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com&#x2F;2012&#x2F;10&#x2F;18&#x2F;gallup-v...</a>