But coder output is <i>definitely</i> higher now than ten years ago. And a lot of the work that&#x27;s out there is of a much lower level of complexity, so the experts now are either working on things which need the requisite knowledge or working in places where their productivity is correctly compensated.<p>The thing is that a few years ago people were willing to pay designers to make Photoshop templates and that&#x27;s it. Nowadays this simply won&#x27;t do, so the work is moving up in complexity and the bottom tier is being handled by people with no specific training.<p>Finally, just because the work has shifted one way in coding jobs doesn&#x27;t mean it will work that way in design. It is quite possible that the intermediate knowledge gap being created by better tools and more complex work just won&#x27;t require people in that area, so we&#x27;ll have both more experts and more newbies.