I find this hard to believe.<p>A google answers query from 2005 puts Flash penetration at 98.2% (<a href="http://answers.google.com/answers/threadview/id/561724.html" rel="nofollow">http://answers.google.com/answers/threadview/id/561724.html</a>)<p>The article introducing the groundbreaking sIFR library from 2004 cites the reasoning for using Flash as high penetration (<a href="http://www.mikeindustries.com/blog/archive/2004/08/sifr" rel="nofollow">http://www.mikeindustries.com/blog/archive/2004/08/sifr</a>).<p>Macromedia in the year 2000 puts their penetration rate at ~90% (<a href="http://web.archive.org/web/20001109224100/http://www.macromedia.com/software/player_census/flashplayer/" rel="nofollow">http://web.archive.org/web/20001109224100/http://www.macrome...</a>)<p>There is simply no evidence that points to video causing Flash to become a standard plugin.