How long until the default way of putting video online is using the &#60;video&#62; tag and a snippet of JS to fall it back to a flash-player for non-HTML5 browsers?<p>I'd guess that the iPad moved that date up quite a bit. And suddenly Flash-plug-in risks going the way of the Shockwave-plug-in: nice to have, but not really missed. And sites that depends on Flash for stupid eye-candy will see the drop in compatibility, and switch to stupid jQuery eye-candy.