Horace Dediu has looked at how quickly technologies are adopted.  He doesn&#x27;t see any increase in speed of technology adoption (he said this in a recent &quot;Critical Path&quot; podcast), which he was expecting and looking for. 
<a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;twitter.com&#x2F;asymco&#x2F;status&#x2F;631108777333403648" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;twitter.com&#x2F;asymco&#x2F;status&#x2F;631108777333403648</a><p>Technology becomes more complex with time, so <i>new</i> technologies are necessarily more complex, and require an increasing amount of effort to develop.  The Wright Bros could research and develop an airplane on their own.  I see no chance that two brothers can invent and implement a fusion reactor or spaceflight to Mars on their own.