Modelling for the purpose of &quot;betting&quot; is sort of the definition of my day job.
Over the past few years I&#x27;ve started applying some of the same techniques we use in the equity and bond markets to the fantasy sports arena.<p>The biggest issues I&#x27;ve come across are:<p>1) small sample size, football teams only play 16 games which means you really don&#x27;t have alot of data to use.<p>2) counter party risk, lots of fantasy betting sites spring up and then fold, just like bitcoin.  Ideally there would be a new form of prediction market that hosts bets but has a reliable third party escrow the funds.<p>3) Not enough volume, this is getting better but only due to Draft Kings huge advertising push this past year.<p>4) Lack of apis, most of these sites seem to want to cater to people who make 1 or two bets.  Ideally I&#x27;d be able to make 1000&#x27;s of bets each week.<p>If anyone else out there is working on models for fantasy sports betting please feel free to drop me a line if you&#x27;d like to discuss techniques for modelling( I believe the cool kids now call this machine learning).