I stand corrected, it seems the Literature nobel prize is very hard to guess correctly, they did find out last year&#x27;s prize early but it was because of a leak.<p><a href="http:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.cbc.ca&#x2F;news&#x2F;arts&#x2F;nobel-prize-in-literature-won-by-french-writer-patrick-modiano-1.2793454" rel="nofollow">http:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.cbc.ca&#x2F;news&#x2F;arts&#x2F;nobel-prize-in-literature-won-by...</a><p>&quot;Betting on Modiano to win the Nobel surged in the last week, raising questions about a possible leak. David Williams of bookmaker Ladbrokes said Modiano&#x27;s odds had shortened from 100-1 a few months ago to 10-1 before the announcement.&quot;<p>Edit: I still think a &quot;Startup Stock Exchange&quot; could be fun, maybe based on CrunchBase or something :)