I&#x27;d put $100 on it but I&#x27;m not sure what the prevailing odds are or where we might place the bet.<p>Are there any legitimate prediction markets still operating where we might be able to do this? I googled around a little for it and stumbled across Augur (<a href="http:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.augur.net&#x2F;" rel="nofollow">http:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.augur.net&#x2F;</a>) but it seems too alpha for such a long term bet right now.