I went one step further and actually implemented an MCMC model and ran it for a while. It did turn a slight profit on low stakes games for the 3 months that I ran it. I stopped and did not move on to higher stakes games because I live in Germany and there appears to be no simple way for me to legally participate in these games and then withdraw my money. I am keeping the scripts ready for when the fad invades Germany, though!<p>I agree on the stats part. Scraping them from various sources was definitely the most painful and limiting part of the project, and I was only able to obtain a limited amount of data even then. If I could get a complete and large dataset to work with, I would be tempted to give it another shot, just to see how far more data takes me.