It&#x27;s kind of fascinating that the liberal assessments seem to reflect reality much more closely.<p>Why?<p>Conservative politicians don&#x27;t have a good reason to be wrong.  In fact, it&#x27;s quite the opposite, the better at estimating who your constituents you are, the more likely you are to be reelected.<p>I&#x27;d guess probably error bias.  As a conservative, if you overestimate the conservatism of your district, you&#x27;re not likely to lose many votes (especially in a gerrymandered district).  Whereas, if you overestimate the liberalism of your districts, the conservative element will punish you horribly.<p>Whereas, as a liberal, you have to be more in tune to a broad spectrum of issues in both directions or a challenger can carve off a chunk of your votes.