The article I&#x27;ve linked to has enough details that refute these assumptions. The modes are trustworthy for the purpose they are made but not for short term weather forecasts (e.g. the effects of one particular El Nino), they are based on the proper science, the deniers confuse short term weather forecasts with the climate trends and the climate trends match the models.<p><a href="http:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.ncdc.noaa.gov&#x2F;sotc&#x2F;summary-info&#x2F;global&#x2F;201412" rel="nofollow">http:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.ncdc.noaa.gov&#x2F;sotc&#x2F;summary-info&#x2F;global&#x2F;201412</a><p>&quot;The globally averaged temperature over land and ocean surfaces for 2014 was the highest among all years since record keeping began in 1880.&quot;<p>What do you mean under the &quot;fuzzy binary answer&quot;? The scientists of the whole world produced much more detailed material:<p><a href="http:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.ipcc.ch&#x2F;report&#x2F;ar5&#x2F;index.shtml" rel="nofollow">http:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.ipcc.ch&#x2F;report&#x2F;ar5&#x2F;index.shtml</a>