I find it interesting that betting houses have gotten the winners right for a few years already.<p><a href="http:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.ibtimes.com&#x2F;pulse&#x2F;nobel-prize-2015-betting-odds-who-are-literature-peace-physics-favorites-2127359" rel="nofollow">http:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.ibtimes.com&#x2F;pulse&#x2F;nobel-prize-2015-betting-odds-w...</a><p>Something similar to the DraftKings affair maybe, where someone or several someones with insider information are using it for their advantage?<p>She wasn&#x27;t a dark horse to win though, she&#x27;s been favored for at least a year now:<p><a href="http:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.newyorker.com&#x2F;culture&#x2F;cultural-comment&#x2F;nonfiction-deserves-nobel" rel="nofollow">http:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.newyorker.com&#x2F;culture&#x2F;cultural-comment&#x2F;nonfiction...</a><p>So it might be a case of a Prediction Game doing right<p>I remember from some years ago the Hollywood Stock Exchange ( www.hsx.com&#x2F; ), an online game where people &quot;invested&quot; on movies, was used as a &quot;crowd wisdom&quot; source for decisions on whether to fund movies, etc, and was fairly accurate IIRC.<p>Maybe there&#x27;s a similar opportunity for other fields? A Startup Stock Exchange game? :)<p><a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;en.wikipedia.org&#x2F;wiki&#x2F;Hollywood_Stock_Exchange" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;en.wikipedia.org&#x2F;wiki&#x2F;Hollywood_Stock_Exchange</a><p><a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;en.wikipedia.org&#x2F;wiki&#x2F;Prediction_market" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;en.wikipedia.org&#x2F;wiki&#x2F;Prediction_market</a>