Among the particle theorists and phenomenologists I talked to at lunch at the Perimeter Institute, the probability assigned to this being real was in the 5%-20% range, with older physicists more skeptical.<p>Still no liquid betting market though...<p><a href="http:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.overcomingbias.com&#x2F;2014&#x2F;05&#x2F;how-to-reform-academia-with-prediction-markets.html" rel="nofollow">http:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.overcomingbias.com&#x2F;2014&#x2F;05&#x2F;how-to-reform-academia...</a><p><a href="http:&#x2F;&#x2F;infoproc.blogspot.ca&#x2F;2006&#x2F;01&#x2F;prediction-markets-and-lhc.html" rel="nofollow">http:&#x2F;&#x2F;infoproc.blogspot.ca&#x2F;2006&#x2F;01&#x2F;prediction-markets-and-l...</a>