Making sense of pollsters’ errors.
<|begin_of_text|><|start_header_id|>system<|end_header_id|> You are a research archivist expert in dataset metadata. Answer the question truthfully.  <|eot_id|><|start_header_id|>user<|end_header_id|> Here is the Description of a dataset. Description:'Pollsters have been recently accused of delivering poor electoral predictions. Weargue that one of the reasons for their failures lies in the difficulty of including anupdated deep understanding of electoral behaviour. Even if pollsters’predictions are not forecasts produced by models, the set of choices neededto produce their estimates is not indifferent to a theoretical comprehension ofelectoral dynamics. We exemplify this lack of theory by using an originaldataset consisting of 1057 party*poll observations in the case of the lastEuropean election. Pollsters failed to account for what we know aboutsecond-order elections, thus overestimating government and big parties,which normally obtain poor results in European elections, andunderestimating new and Eurosceptic ones, which usually perform well' . Please return only a json list of at most 3 Keywords corresponding to the Description:.<|eot_id|><|start_header_id|>assistant<|end_header_id|> {"Answer" : ["accuracy","election","error","polls"]} <|eot_id|>
 Here is the Description of a dataset. Description:'Pollsters have been recently accused of delivering poor electoral predictions. Weargue that one of the reasons for their failures lies in the difficulty of including anupdated deep understanding of electoral behaviour. Even if pollsters’predictions are not forecasts produced by models, the set of choices neededto produce their estimates is not indifferent to a theoretical comprehension ofelectoral dynamics. We exemplify this lack of theory by using an originaldataset consisting of 1057 party*poll observations in the case of the lastEuropean election. Pollsters failed to account for what we know aboutsecond-order elections, thus overestimating government and big parties,which normally obtain poor results in European elections, andunderestimating new and Eurosceptic ones, which usually perform well' . Please return only a json list of at most 3 Keywords corresponding to the Description:.
Pollsters have been recently accused of delivering poor electoral predictions. Weargue that one of the reasons for their failures lies in the difficulty of including anupdated deep understanding of electoral behaviour. Even if pollsters’predictions are not forecasts produced by models, the set of choices neededto produce their estimates is not indifferent to a theoretical comprehension ofelectoral dynamics. We exemplify this lack of theory by using an originaldataset consisting of 1057 party*poll observations in the case of the lastEuropean election. Pollsters failed to account for what we know aboutsecond-order elections, thus overestimating government and big parties,which normally obtain poor results in European elections, andunderestimating new and Eurosceptic ones, which usually perform well
accuracy; election; error; polls