Wren chuckled softly, shaking her head once again before she pressed her fingertips to the bridge of her nose, "A bait option, or two pieces of bait, only works if you have a reasonable  chance of getting selected. We've been told 3 times now that there's no rhyme or reason to the selection process... you could walk down the street buck naked with a sign saying "Please kidnap me!" and you'll get jumped, but it wouldn't be our snatchers..." She stood up and walked around the table to look at the maps of the sewer system again, "There is merit in many of the suggestions, but we are a small force being tasked with this job... splitting us up decreases our effectiveness at this stage." She looked back over her shoulder, "Let me put the bait option into perspective. There are at least 1,000 homeless in three different sections of the city. Admittedly, the three sections are all in the southern end with the docks and warehouses... the poorest and least likely to be noticed as gone after a fire... take that 1,000 people. about 20 are taken every night, from all over those sections... That is not 20%. It's not 2%... it's less than 1/5th of 1% each night... Now, of those 20, if you put 2 people into it to act as bait, that's a 10% chance of getting selected.. That drops the odds overall to less than 2/100th of a percent chance of being selected... and the odds get worse every night. It is a fools errand. A couragious one, but Tymora's own luck isn't going to be enough to overcome those odds in the 8 days we have left."<br/><br/>She turned back to face them. The watch has bodies, they have resources that we could not match if we tried and they have called us because we all have particular talents... lets not fall into the standard mold of normal tactics.... We can't watch all 8 buildings, We cannot act more effectively than the Watch in that situation. We've been tasked with finding them, not stopping them. We have to come up with something more than chasing fires and doing what the Watch is better suited at doing.. If they are using magical transport to get out, the best we can do is to hope to chance across them at the moment of capture. Magic of that power isn't going to be plentiful for snatching people... Lets assume, instead that most of this is of mundane origins... that means that someone is close to the fire and setting it. It also means that there's othrs waitng for the fire to act, or have planned out the process. After a month to do this, they have that down. As I see it, we have to use the first night to figure out how they're doing it... Find how they are getting in and out is the first step. If alarm spells are set off, that narrows the locations because all of the entrances are alarmed. If one is disabled, we know that it's a possible entrance point... There are also a limited number of known passages into the region.. Most of those things down there will not bother a sizable force of people, and if they fear something, they'll avoid it..."<br/><br/>She poked at the maps, "Our first step has to be to find out how and where. I assume that the Watch has done all it can, we have to think outside of that box...Waiting for something to happen may help, but it's something the Watch is better equipped to do. Bait has now been said to of been tried, it didn't work and without offense to our heroic volumteers, it's practically impossible to actually work. You're 1 in a pool of thousands who don't look like they are trying to be caught... wolves pick the weakest of the herd, none of you look like you're weak under the best of disguises... So far, the only option that seem workable is to find them by what isn't where it's suppose to be. If the thieves are not using certain locations that they have used... that's a clue. If the creatures in the deeps aren't using those areas, that's a clue. If alarms are being set off or disabled, that's a clue... but I could set up a fire that won't ignite for at least an hour and walk away. Some oil, a strip of oil soaked cloth and a candle stub will hold off an actual fire for quite a while..."<br/><br/>She sat back down again. Lets start with what each of us brings to the table in capabilities... I know the docks, the sailors and not a small number of the low level pick-pockets and such from a misspent youth. I'm good with a blade and I can move fast and quiet... I'm not as... inviting as some, but I also know where to go to ask questions. Those are my strengths. Where people won't talk to the Watch, they may talk to me. How about the rest of you?"