Syncrasy Daily Trader Summary for Mon, Oct 22, 2001 ,
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[IMAGE] [IMAGE][IMAGE][IMAGE][IMAGE][IMAGE][IMAGE][IMAGE]        Syncrasy, =
LLC?   713.228.8470 Off  713.228.4147 Fax   909 Texas Avenue  Suite 1314  H=
ouston, TX 77002         www.syncrasy.com          Sales:  713.228.4407   D=
evelopment Offices:  970.247.4139 Off  970.247.7951 Fax   835 Main Avenue  =
Suite 221  Durango, CO 81301      =09  =09 [IMAGE]    Complimentary version=
 of Trader Summary  from Syncrasy, LLC and APB Energy Inc.    - If you woul=
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ersummary@syncrasy.com       Data last updated: Monday, Oct 22, 2001 at 08:=
00AM ET    Congratulations Andy Weingarten, APB Energy!  Winner of the $50,=
000 Winter 2000-01 AQUILA/AMS Seasonal Forecasting Competition. For more in=
formation please visit: AMS  or Aquila    Click here for a definition of 'A=
verage-Daily Maximum Temperature'     Today: Monday, October 22, 2001   Syn=
crasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.   Volatility Matrix    [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE]=
[IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  (Click on image to enlarge)   [IMAGE]   ECAR(CTR) =
66 +1 ERCOT(SP) 85 NC FRCC(SE) 83 -1 MAAC(NE) 69 +1 MAIN(CTR) 65 NC MAPP(HP=
) 59 +3 NPCC(NE) 62 +1 SERC(SE) 81 NC SPP(SP) 77 +1 WSCC(NW) 56 +1 WSCC(RK)=
 62 +4 WSCC(SW) 72 +1     Range Standard Deviation [IMAGE] [IMAGE]   Reg CT=
 HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 60 58 59 52 56 77 80 70 Max 66 64 65 58 64 81 85=
 75 Min 56 52 54 48 48 71 75 66 Range 10 12 11 10 16 10 10 9 StD-P 3.1 3.7 =
3.8 3.3 5.6 3.9 3.3 2.8 Count 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8    Due to Andy Weingarten's a=
bsence there will be no commentary today.   Tomorrow: Tuesday, October 23, =
2001   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.   Volatility Matrix    [IMAGE][IMAGE=
]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  (Click on image to enlarge)   [IMAGE]   =
ECAR(CTR) 69 NC ERCOT(SP) 88 +2 FRCC(SE) 86 NC MAAC(NE) 69 +3 MAIN(CTR) 65 =
+1 MAPP(HP) 59 NC NPCC(NE) 58 -1 SERC(SE) 81 NC SPP(SP) 80 +4 WSCC(NW) 52 -=
1 WSCC(RK) 57 +3 WSCC(SW) 72 NC     Range Standard Deviation [IMAGE] [IMAGE=
]   Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 62 56 61 47 52 78 82 69 Max 67 62 64 5=
3 61 82 87 74 Min 57 49 58 41 46 73 74 64 Range 10 13 6 12 15 9 13 10 StD-P=
 3.0 4.1 1.9 4.3 5.1 3.4 4.3 3.1 Count 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8   Day 3: Wednesday, =
October 24, 2001   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.   Volatility Matrix    [=
IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  (Click on image to enlarge) =
  [IMAGE]   ECAR(CTR) 71 NC ERCOT(SP) 86 NC FRCC(SE) 85 NC MAAC(NE) 77 +2 M=
AIN(CTR) 60 -2 MAPP(HP) 48 -3 NPCC(NE) 67 +1 SERC(SE) 83 +2 SPP(SP) 69 -1 W=
SCC(NW) 52 +1 WSCC(RK) 45 +1 WSCC(SW) 73 +2     Range Standard Deviation [I=
MAGE] [IMAGE]   Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 58 45 66 46 38 78 78 69 Ma=
x 61 50 70 52 47 84 83 73 Min 54 40 62 42 31 74 72 63 Range 7 10 8 10 16 10=
 11 10 StD-P 2.3 3.1 3.0 3.7 5.5 4.3 4.5 2.8 Count 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6   Day 4:=
 Thursday, October 25, 2001   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.   Volatility =
Matrix    [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  (Click on image t=
o enlarge)   [IMAGE]   ECAR(CTR) 52 -3 ERCOT(SP) 73 -1 FRCC(SE) 85 NC MAAC(=
NE) 67 NC MAIN(CTR) 49 +1 MAPP(HP) 43 +4 NPCC(NE) 63 NC SERC(SE) 74 NC SPP(=
SP) 63 +3 WSCC(NW) 58 +2 WSCC(RK) 51 +5 WSCC(SW) 74 +2     Range Standard D=
eviation [IMAGE] [IMAGE]   Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 43 44 62 52 47 =
71 64 70 Max 47 50 63 58 53 76 70 74 Min 40 39 60 48 40 68 57 66 Range 7 11=
 3 10 13 8 13 8 StD-P 2.7 3.6 1.5 2.6 5.2 2.8 5.9 2.9 Count 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5=
   Day 5: Friday, October 26, 2001   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.   Vola=
tility Matrix    [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  (Click on =
image to enlarge)   [IMAGE]   ECAR(CTR) 45 -1 ERCOT(SP) 74 +2 FRCC(SE) 76 -=
2 MAAC(NE) 52 -1 MAIN(CTR) 44 -1 MAPP(HP) 41 NC NPCC(NE) 50 -1 SERC(SE) 64 =
NC SPP(SP) 62 +2 WSCC(NW) 60 +1 WSCC(RK) 57 +2 WSCC(SW) 73 NC     Range Sta=
ndard Deviation [IMAGE] [IMAGE]   Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 38 43 46=
 57 49 60 64 71 Max 43 51 50 60 58 66 72 73 Min 34 36 42 55 41 54 54 68 Ran=
ge 9 15 8 5 17 12 18 5 StD-P 3.3 5.1 3.1 1.9 6.7 5.0 7.4 2.4 Count 5 5 5 5 =
5 5 5 5   Day 6: Saturday, October 27, 2001   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Tem=
p.   Volatility Matrix    [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  (=
Click on image to enlarge)   [IMAGE]   ECAR(CTR) 43 -3 ERCOT(SP) 72 -2 FRCC=
(SE) 73 NC MAAC(NE) 48 -3 MAIN(CTR) 46 -1 MAPP(HP) 47 +1 NPCC(NE) 46 -2 SER=
C(SE) 58 -1 SPP(SP) 64 NC WSCC(NW) 56 +2 WSCC(RK) 61 +1 WSCC(SW) 71 -1     =
Range Standard Deviation [IMAGE] [IMAGE]   Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean=
 36 47 41 53 52 54 60 67 Max 45 56 46 57 62 61 70 71 Min 30 44 37 50 46 48 =
54 64 Range 15 12 9 7 16 13 16 7 StD-P 5.4 4.5 3.8 3.4 5.6 6.3 5.9 3.3 Coun=
t 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4   Day 7: Sunday, October 28, 2001   Syncrasy's Choice:  D=
elta Temp.   Volatility Matrix    [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][I=
MAGE]  (Click on image to enlarge)   [IMAGE]   ECAR(CTR) 47 -4 ERCOT(SP) 73=
 -3 FRCC(SE) 73 -1 MAAC(NE) 50 -4 MAIN(CTR) 50 -2 MAPP(HP) 51 -1 NPCC(NE) 4=
7 -2 SERC(SE) 60 -3 SPP(SP) 65 -2 WSCC(NW) 55 NC WSCC(RK) 59 +2 WSCC(SW) 68=
 -2     Range Standard Deviation [IMAGE] [IMAGE]   Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP=
 SW Mean 40 52 41 49 54 52 62 64 Max 49 58 48 55 60 62 72 68 Min 35 48 36 4=
4 49 47 58 59 Range 14 10 12 11 11 15 14 9 StD-P 4.6 3.4 4.2 4.2 5.1 5.1 4.=
6 4.4 Count 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4   Day 8: Monday, October 29, 2001   Syncrasy's =
Choice:  Delta Temp.   Volatility Matrix    [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE] =
 [IMAGE][IMAGE]  (Click on image to enlarge)   [IMAGE]   ECAR(CTR) 32 -8 ER=
COT(SP) 64 -5 FRCC(SE) 60 -5 MAAC(NE) 35 -2 MAIN(CTR) 42 -4 MAPP(HP) 46 +1 =
NPCC(NE) 35 -3 SERC(SE) 45 -4 SPP(SP) 60 -3 WSCC(NW) 46 NC WSCC(RK) 43 -3 W=
SCC(SW) 61 -3     Range Standard Deviation [IMAGE] [IMAGE]   Reg CT HP NE N=
W RK SE SP SW Mean 43 52 40 50 50 54 65 64 Max 52 57 50 55 58 64 72 68 Min =
39 50 34 46 44 48 60 61 Range 13 7 16 9 14 16 12 7 StD-P 4.4 2.5 5.7 3.9 6.=
2 5.4 3.9 3.4 Count 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4   Day 9: Tuesday, October 30, 2001   Sy=
ncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.   Volatility Matrix    [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE=
][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  (Click on image to enlarge)   [IMAGE]   ECAR(CTR)=
 37 -5 ERCOT(SP) 63 -4 FRCC(SE) 64 -3 MAAC(NE) 35 -8 MAIN(CTR) 45 NC MAPP(H=
P) 49 +1 NPCC(NE) 38 -6 SERC(SE) 47 -5 SPP(SP) 57 -3 WSCC(NW) 48 +4 WSCC(RK=
) 43 -6 WSCC(SW) 62 -4     Range Standard Deviation [IMAGE] [IMAGE]   Reg C=
T HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 45 53 40 49 47 52 62 63 Max 49 56 47 52 57 57 6=
2 65 Min 44 51 37 48 42 50 62 62 Range 5 5 10 4 15 7 0 3 StD-P 2.1 2.2 4.7 =
1.6 6.5 3.3 0.1 1.4 Count 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3   Day 10: Wednesday, October 31, =
2001   Syncrasy's Choice:  Delta Temp.   Volatility Matrix    [IMAGE][IMAGE=
]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  [IMAGE][IMAGE]  (Click on image to enlarge)   [IMAGE]   =
ECAR(CTR) 41 -4 ERCOT(SP) 64 -2 FRCC(SE) 68 -1 MAAC(NE) 44 -4 MAIN(CTR) 47 =
-3 MAPP(HP) 53 NC NPCC(NE) 44 +2 SERC(SE) 50 -5 SPP(SP) 57 -7 WSCC(NW) 45 -=
1 WSCC(RK) 46 NC WSCC(SW) 58 -8     Range Standard Deviation [IMAGE] [IMAGE=
]   Reg CT HP NE NW RK SE SP SW Mean 45 51 42 44 45 53 58 56 Max 47 53 44 4=
6 46 53 62 58 Min 43 47 40 42 45 52 50 51 Range 4 6 4 4 1 1 12 7 StD-P 1.7 =
2.9 1.7 1.7 0.5 0.5 5.1 3.1 Count 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3    Trader Summary is desi=
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 DataWall?   Trader Summary can also be viewed from www.syncrasy.com  or   =
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