Sam Altman’s leap of faith
Allow me to present Altman's wager:<p>- If OpenAI does not achieve AGI, and you invested in it, you lose some finite money (or not, depending on the value of their other R&D)<p>- If OpenAI does not achieve AGI, and you did not invest in it, you saved some finite money, which you could invest elsewhere for finite returns<p>- If OpenAI achieves AGI and you invested in it, you get infinite returns, because AGI will capture all economic value<p>- If OpenAI achieves AGI and you did not invest in it, you get negative infinite returns, because all other economic value is obliterated by AGI<p>Therefore, one must invest.