What Developmental Milestones Are You Missing?
Seems to me numbers 3 and 4 are quite unlikely to develop unless you studied statistics. Something like the Monty Hall problem is unobvious to most people I've met. Heck even phds discuss it. Conditional probability is really tricky and counterintuitive.<p>The other example is this old error, which is attributed to doctors (for some reason): You have a test which is 99 % accurate (will show the correct status) for presence of some illness. 1/1M people have the actual illness. You find someone with a positive score. What's the chance they have it? Well actually not as high as you think.