I can't let go of “The Dunning-Kruger Effect is Autocorrelation”
I think Dunning Krueger makes intuitive sense. When you become skilled in your field you learn from other people in your field, and your assessment of yourself is based on your relation to the skills of those other people.  But if you know very little about something, you have no reference point to evaluate yourself against.<p>When you learn something you also learn what are some of the mistakes you can make. You evaluate your performance then against the mistakes you didn't make. Consider a piano player, or figure-skater. You have to know about what figures are difficult to perform to evaluate a performance, and you don't know what the difficult ones are until you have studied and tried to perform them.