Model S Fire
I've blogged a fun writeup of the math in the (unimportant and actually against Tesla) formal bias in evaluating a failure rate right after the first failure: <a href="http://www.win-vector.com/blog/2013/10/estimating-rates-from-a-single-occurrence-of-a-rare-event/" rel="nofollow">http://www.win-vector.com/blog/2013/10/estimating-rates-from...</a>