Gas Leak in the Baltic Sea
If I were a betting man, I'd put my money on Poland.<p>The Polish prime minister immediately called "sabotage" and fingered Russia, while everyone else is still saying "it could be sabotage but we need to investigate first".<p>Russia wants the taps capable of being turned <i>ON</i> at their discretion, not permanently broken. This hurts their bargaining position in a big way because they've just lost their biggest source of leverage against Germany.<p>Poland opened a new pipeline to Norway on the same day as the leaks appeared, so there was lots of Polish activity in the waters.<p>Poland doesn't receive gas via Nordstream, so damaging it doesn't hurt them in any way.<p>Poland is Ukraine's most ardent supporter in Europe, often leading the vanguard of actions to support Ukraine. They'd have a strong motive to ensure that the rest of Europe doesn't waver in its commitment to keep the Russian taps off.<p>It could be argued that since Europe has already decided to never turn on Nordstream again, the fallout from such an act of sabotage is minimal.