The impossibility of intelligence explosion
This is a stupid article, and reading it will only make you stupider.<p>First, it is undoubtably true that human brains are better suited to being human than AIs would be.  That is irrelevant to the question of whether AIs will be better at the task of creating better technologies.<p>Second, it is absolutely false that improvement is incremental.  Consider the game of Go.  For a long time, computers sucked at Go.  Then we came up with Monte Carlo search about a decade ago and suddenly we were at strong amateur.  Then deep learning was applied, and Alpha-Go jumped to able to beat any human in the world, and has continued to improve.<p>Third, linear progress is not the history of technology.  The history of technology is exponential progress over and over again on everything from how far a steam ship could travel without refueling to the number of operations per second a CPU can carry out.<p>Fourth it is wrong that intelligent things can&#x27;t be part of creating greater intelligence.  As a trivial example, good teachers can turn out students who are in a position to be better than their teachers are.  Or look at the history of science.<p>But on a more relevant level, the task itself is clearly possible.  If we have a computer program that is able to design better hardware, it can be improved by simply moving it to better hardware.  But it is capable of designing that hardware.  This creates a feedback loop which should shorten the cycles in Moore&#x27;s law, resulting in very few years in a truly superior AI capability.