Israeli Study: Natural Immunity Is 13x Stronger Than Pfizer Covid Shots
Natural immunity comes with a 10--25x greater risk of death, possibly much higher (see update) <i>by COVID itself</i>.  (The risk from the vaccine, without a Covid infection, is effectively nil based on hundreds of millions of doses administered.)<p>Natural immunity comes with a ~9x greater risk of hospitalisation, again from Covid itself.  There&#x27;s effectively no risk from the vaccine, again with hundreds of millions of doses administered.<p><i>Among adults aged 65–74 years, effectiveness of full vaccination for preventing hospitalization was 96% for Pfizer-BioNTech, 96% for Moderna, and 84% for Janssen COVID-19 vaccines; among adults aged ≥75 years, effectiveness of full vaccination for preventing hospitalization was 91% for Pfizer-BioNTech, 96% for Moderna, and 85% for Janssen COVID-19 vaccines.</i><p><a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.cdc.gov&#x2F;mmwr&#x2F;volumes&#x2F;70&#x2F;wr&#x2F;mm7032e3.htm" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.cdc.gov&#x2F;mmwr&#x2F;volumes&#x2F;70&#x2F;wr&#x2F;mm7032e3.htm</a><p>Note that &quot;natural herd immunity&quot; doesn&#x27;t come without a near-total population infection rate, with a large number of deaths, prolonged medical care, and long-term health consequences.  The vaccine-based risks are far, far, far lower.<p>There&#x27;s also quite likely a much higher likelihood of long-term Covid symptoms or consequences.<p>This information is interesting, but a poor basis on which to shift policy from vaccination to infecting the entire population and blessing the survivors.<p>Update:  the article is also a dupe of an earlier substantial discussion:  <a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;news.ycombinator.com&#x2F;item?id=28307224" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;news.ycombinator.com&#x2F;item?id=28307224</a> (260 comments).<p>US CDC reports an 0.0016% fatality rate <i>from all causes</i> for vaccinated individuals.  That&#x27;s 100x lower than the incident fatality rate of 0.1% suggested by multiple countries with excellent Covid surveillance and reporting systems.  Note that many early vaccine recipients were elderly (65+) and would have a higher natural death rate than the general population.<p><a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.cdc.gov&#x2F;coronavirus&#x2F;2019-ncov&#x2F;vaccines&#x2F;safety&#x2F;adverse-events.html" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.cdc.gov&#x2F;coronavirus&#x2F;2019-ncov&#x2F;vaccines&#x2F;safety&#x2F;ad...</a><p>I&#x27;ve clarified the vaccine vs. natural infection risks based on criticism of unclear language.