The IHME coronavirus model keeps being wrong. Why are we still listening to it?
This seems silly.  The article acknowledges that no other model gives as many predictions.  Noting that some can predict when the peak is (was? I think it can only predict the is that we saw the peak already), but ostensibly not how big the peak will be.<p>And if you throw in that no model has managed to predict how widespread this already was in NYC, we&#x27;re left with a field that loves to snipe at the only group in the room willing to try and answer questions.<p>Worse, we still have articles writing the IFR and CFR as if they can be started as a single number.  Checking today&#x27;s numbers in WA, if you are over sixty, the CFR is a staggering 20%.  An easy guess for why this is hitting NYC harder could just be that they have more people over sixty than a quarter of Seattle&#x27;s entire metro area.<p>So yes, if there are better models, let&#x27;s see them.  Please.  But if we are just going to complain about the experts being asked to model something we don&#x27;t understand, at least try and make it sound less like a witch hunt.