California exodus is a myth, UC research project finds
A &quot;back of the napkin&quot; calculation seems to indicate there is no mass exodus. On mobile, but here is the typical annual CA pop change stats for the past decade, give or take:<p><pre><code>  --Incoming--
  - 400K domestic immigrants[1]
  - 180-200K international immigrants[2]
  - 450K births[4]
  Subtotal: ~1.1M

  --Outgoing--
  - 600K domestic emigrants[1]
  - 250K deaths[4]
  - ?? intl emigrants (anyone know?)
  Subtotal: ~850K

  Typical annual net change: +250K (California grew 2.4M from 2010-2020[3])
</code></pre>
California shrank in 2020 for the first time in decades seemingly because:<p><pre><code>  - 50-80K excess deaths
  - 180-200K less intl immigration
  - 50K fewer births
</code></pre>
That&#x27;s already a loss of 300K people as a one-time event, and the state is down 450K from a typical year. It&#x27;s easy to come up with another 150K, it&#x27;s a trivial not &quot;mass exodus&quot; number.<p>But possibly a lot of those who left were missed in statistics.<p>[1] <a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;lao.ca.gov&#x2F;LAOEconTax&#x2F;Article&#x2F;Detail&#x2F;265" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;lao.ca.gov&#x2F;LAOEconTax&#x2F;Article&#x2F;Detail&#x2F;265</a>
[2] <a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.ppic.org&#x2F;publication&#x2F;immigrants-in-california&#x2F;" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.ppic.org&#x2F;publication&#x2F;immigrants-in-california&#x2F;</a>
[3] <a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.ppic.org&#x2F;publication&#x2F;californias-population&#x2F;" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.ppic.org&#x2F;publication&#x2F;californias-population&#x2F;</a>
[4] <a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.cdc.gov&#x2F;nchs&#x2F;fastats&#x2F;state-and-territorial-data.htm" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.cdc.gov&#x2F;nchs&#x2F;fastats&#x2F;state-and-territorial-data....</a><p>Edit: learning to format...