Ask HN: What are you predictions for 2022?
The COVID-19 pandemic will fade, but it will not be linear: there will be flare-ups every now and again (We&#x27;re in one right now with Omicron), and lulls when victory will again be prematurely declared.<p>It will not be all over by end 2022, but it will be better. There is no sudden &quot;back to normal&quot; off-switch. 2019 is gone, never to return. If you want to know what the new normal is like, look around you. Some things will become slowly more like the old normal over time, some will not. leaders who are incompetent at dealing with COVID now, won&#x27;t change, but might be removed from office.<p>With any luck, here will be improvements set in motion in how to handle and manage diseases on a global scale, as huge room for improvement has been exposed. e.g. Better global access to vaccines and treatments. It is said that armies prepare &quot;to fight the last war&quot;, but fortunately this plan works better against another novel virus than it does against human foes. Virus ingenuity is amazing, but is blind.<p>I expect that I will get another (4th) anti-COVID-19 vaccination in 2022. It will most likely be:<p>- Just 1 jab (i.e. annual not every 6 months), as the 3rd jab increases immunity on the second, so the spacing can increase. it will not likely be &quot;every 6 months, ongoing&quot;.<p>- A mRNA-based vaccine (Pfizer, Moderna or similar)<p>- A &quot;second generation&quot; vaccine that improves on the original, likely targeting Omicron or a later variant, or instead is broader in coverage of variants than the first generation anti-COVID-19 vaccines.