People's underestimation of AI
I think the megapolitical perspective on violence in The Sovereign Individual[0] by James Dale Davidson and Lord William Rees-Mogg can be helpful here.<p>Unions were powerful because they could limit access to labour, which was required for production. Now they are increasingly powerless. Mass manpower was once required to wage war. Now is increasingly less useful in a world of high-tech warfare.<p>What prevents the powerful from going straight to the source of production and value? I&#x27;m not talking about off-shoring manufacturing to China, I&#x27;m talking about something more extreme, along the lines of a small cabal of wizards in a tower conjuring spells to extract energy directly from the wind and sun, and materials directly from the ground? The tech is far off, but the direction is clear. Maybe y&#x27;all think you&#x27;re going to be one of those wizards. We&#x27;ll see.<p>But what&#x27;s going to happen to the rest of us? Are we all going to wake up some day as basic-income supported artists, happily chewing on organic granola and self-actualizing (or not) as we please? I think a study of history suggests it&#x27;s not going to be that easy. Those union rights were hard fought. People died.<p>What happens when those at the top decide it&#x27;s not worth keeping 8 billion people around just for kicks, when they can make do with ... 5 billion? 500 million? How many programmers, painters and yoga instructors do we need? On a planet with dwindling resources, tough decisions are going to get made.<p>So yeah, watch out for those robots. Especially the ones with the lasers on their heads. (That&#x27;s a joke. But the rest?)<p>[0] <a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.amazon.com&#x2F;Sovereign-Individual-Mastering-Transition-Information&#x2F;dp&#x2F;0684832720&#x2F;" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.amazon.com&#x2F;Sovereign-Individual-Mastering-Transi...</a>