UFOs shows government competence as either surprisingly high or low
The whole thing is a masterpiece of bizarre statements dressed up as reasoning<p>Take:
<i>Second, between (Ca) spontaneous decentralized hoaxes and lies, and (Cb) hoaxes and lies coordinated by a big central organization, (Cb) seems much more likely. </i><p>Apply this to reports of something other than UFOs, like, say fairies, ghosts or angels. You don&#x27;t need to be an Oxford research associate writing about overcoming bias to realise the most common explanation for the phenomena is clearly <i>(Cc) other such reports are already circulating in the public consciousness, and people are very impressed by them.</i><p>Neither spontaneity nor coordination is required to explain a sharp rise in sightings of saucer-shaped starships and little grey aliens after ships which flew like saucers and little grey aliens hogged the media for a decade, just like there isn&#x27;t any conspiracy required to explain why people were a lot more likely to interact with spirits than be probed by &#x27;greys&#x27; a few centuries back. (The great thing about &quot;popular consciousness&quot; explanations is they intersect with honest mistakes and delusions as well as big fat lies)<p>If Nick&#x27;s desire for stuff that&#x27;s in the movies to be real is so obvious he neglects the existence of the actual movies in his reasoning, he should probably consider renaming his blog