Clayton Christensen: Half of U.S. colleges will be bankrupt in 10 to 15 years
The standard criticism of Christensen&#x27;s work on disruption is that it applies better to products sold to business than those sold to consumers. The perennial failure of Apple to die as per his predictions is a case in point.<p>He seems to have jumped into the &quot;online resources will cause the traditional university to fail&quot; bandwagon a bit late. I haven&#x27;t heard that much hype about MOOCs lately, presumably because the dire completion rates have cleared out the hype circa 2013.<p>It wouldn&#x27;t surprise me if he&#x27;s right, but not for the right reasons. Half of US colleges could go bankrupt in 10-15 years simply because they don&#x27;t really provide a good education. They won&#x27;t be replaced by a disruptor, they will just no longer be able to crank out mediocre educational product to people who now realize that a Bachelor of Something Or Other from Podunk U isn&#x27;t actually a ticket to the middle class.