Tell HN: AGI Will Be Underwhelming
The first thing that comes to mind is a question. If we made something as smart as you why would you be legally allowed to use it as a slave?<p>Next the logical argument is that technology doesn&#x27;t stand still. If we start with a human level AI we can gain increased runtime simply by throwing more compute at the problem. There is no particular reason we have to run it in real time why not 10x or 100x or 1000x.<p>What would you produce in your field if we gave you a century or a millennium between now and next year?<p>This leaves the last and perhaps obvious point that an AI that can improve itself can use these centuries of run time to work on such improvements.<p>If you have human level AI tomorrow you don&#x27;t have merely human level AI for long and once something surpasses you, you are poorly positioned to predict or control it. This is not to say it would inherently be malicious but does your pet cat get much of a vote in the running of your day to day life?