Ask HN: What if AGI isn't that close?
Of course it isn&#x27;t close.  ChatGPT is like a child making a paper airplane that flies a reasonable distance.  AGI would be an adult that works in a group making a large rocket that can go into space.<p>Right now, all transformers really do is distribute data probabilistically over a certain space, and the retrieval function maps itself to the &quot;pattern&quot; that looks the most similar.  It&#x27;s an advance in lossy data compression.  It&#x27;s a black box with a single door for output and input, it can necessarily never gain consciousness.<p>The only respite has been that we have been free from &quot;Open&quot;AI&#x27;s marketing for the last 24 hours, and most of the &quot;hype&quot; has died down, normal topics have returned to the front page.