S.F. says incidents by Cruise, Waymo driverless taxis are ‘skyrocketing.’
&quot;Skyrocket&quot; is a word people use when they don&#x27;t have the data to support their claim, but want to make it sound as extreme as possible.<p>When I hear &quot;skyrocket&quot; I think &quot;several orders of magnitude in a very short time&quot;.  But the source of the quote with skyrocket, basically admits that they didn&#x27;t have any quantitative evidence to support a massive change in incidents.<p>Remember: reality is banal.  Things are far better explained by sampling error, bias, and base rates, than they are by sudden, dramatic shifts caused by a single factor.