Pascal's Mugging (2009) [pdf]
I don&#x27;t know the background to this but if I understand correctly, it kind of pivots on the probability that the mugger is indeed an Operator from the Seventh Dimension, that Pascal places at 1 in a quadrillion.<p>In that case, I have to wonder where this estimate comes from? I get that it&#x27;s just an arbitrary number and that any number would do, as long as it wasn&#x27;t zero, but that&#x27;s exactly the point: why can&#x27;t Pascal place the probability of his mugger being an Operator from the Seventh Dimension at zero?<p>Is there any evidence at all to support the mugger&#x27;s claim? Is there any evidence at all that there is such a thing as a &quot;Seventh Dimension&quot; for which the only thing we know is that its &quot;Operators&quot; have magickal, utility-maximising powers?<p>And does the whole thing only work if we assume that the probability that there is such a place and such people is more than 0?