New Profile Page
Stable dynamics of pneumococcal carriage over a decade in the pre-PCV era
The stability of carriage rates in two disparate populations over 10 years suggests a single survey may be sufficient to characterize pneumococcal carriage prior to introduction of pneumococcal conjug
Implementation and applications of EMOD, an individual-based multi-disease modeling platform
Pathogens and Disease
Here we describe the process and advantages of a multi-disease framework approach developed with formal software support.
Small contribution of gold mines to the ongoing tuberculosis epidemic in South Africa: a modeling-based study
​Gold mine workers are estimated to contribute a disproportionately large number of Mtb infections in South Africa on a per-capita basis; however, mine workers contribute only a small fraction of over
Cost-effectiveness and resource implications of aggressive action on tuberculosis in China, India, and South Africa: a combined analysis of nine models
The post-2015 End TB Strategy sets global targets of reducing tuberculosis incidence by 50% and mortality by 75% by 2025.
Feasibility of achieving the 2025 WHO global tuberculosis targets in South Africa, China, and India: a combined analysis of 11 mathematical models
​​The post-2015 End TB Strategy proposes targets of 50% reduction in TB incidence and 75% reduction in mortality from TB by 2025.
Tuberculosis control strategies to reach the 2035 global targets in China
In the last 20 years, China ramped up a DOTS (directly observed treatment, short-course)-based tuberculosis (TB) control program with 80% population coverage, achieving the 20
Tuberculosis control strategies to reach the 2035 global targets in China: the role of changing demographics and reactivation disease
In the last 20 years, China ramped up a DOTS (directly observed treatment, short-course)-based tuberculosis (TB) control program with 80% population coverage, achieving the 2015 Millennium Developm
Quantifying the Impact of Expanded Age Group Campaigns for Polio Eradication
Using an individual-based mathematical model, we quantified the impact of EAG campaigns in terms of probability of elimination, reduction in polio transmission and age stratified immunity levels.
Health benefits, costs, and cost-effectiveness of earlier eligibility for adult antiretroviral therapy and expanded treatment coverage: a combined analysis of 12 mathematical models
Evidence that antiretroviral therapy reduces HIV infectiousness, suggests that increasing the number of HIV-positive adults who are on treatment could have the potential to change the course of the