<p>There are some cross-country studies but not that many of them yet. For example, <a href="https://elibrary.worldbank.org/doi/abs/10.1596/1813-9450-9211" rel="nofollow noreferrer">Maliszewska, M., Mattoo, A., &amp; Van Der Mensbrugghe, D. (2020)</a> from world bank provide some cross-country estimates of the cumulative effect of covid-19 for various countries and regions across the world. Their estimated cumulative effect of covid on GDP (measured as deviation from their benchmark) is shown below.</p>
<p><a href="https://i.sstatic.net/5uYWi.png" rel="nofollow noreferrer"><img src="https://i.sstatic.net/5uYWi.png" alt="enter image description here" /></a></p>
<p>However, I would advise to take these results with a pinch of salt. These are preliminary estimates that were published in April and better ones will be fore sure forthcoming in near future.</p>

CC BY-SA 4.0
2020-08-09T16:46:33.733Z
Thank you very much! What does the "amplified" colum mean?
Gabriel
CC BY-SA 4.0
2020-08-09T16:48:06.310Z
@Gabriel those are different scenarios of how bad the pandemic will be - amplified is a scenario under which pandemic will be worse than in the “standard” pandemic scenario in first column. Authors also explain in greater detail how the scenarios differ in the paper itself
1muflon1
CC BY-SA 4.0
2020-08-09T14:59:03.157Z
2020-08-09T15:23:18.030Z
2020-08-09T15:23:18.030Z
1muflon1
<p>I've been looking around for some per-country estimation of the expected GDP drop due to the COVID pandemic.</p>
<p>I've found <a href="https://economics.stackexchange.com/a/34622/29972">this answer</a> in this site but it only mentions a few countries. I understand not all countries will have such an estimation, but maybe for the G20 or similar groups?</p>

<gdp><covid-19-crisis>
Is there a per country estimation of the GDP drop due to COVID?
Gabriel
# Is there a per country estimation of the GDP drop due to COVID?

(Asked by: username_0 on 2020-08-09)

I've been looking around for some per-country estimation of the expected GDP drop due to the COVID pandemic.

I've found [this answer](https://economics.stackexchange.com/a/34622/29972) in this site but it only mentions a few countries. I understand not all countries will have such an estimation, but maybe for the G20 or similar groups?

**Tags:** gdp, covid-19-crisis


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## 1 answers

### Answer by username_1 on 2020-08-09. Score: 1 | Accepted answer

There are some cross-country studies but not that many of them yet. For example, [Maliszewska, M., Mattoo, A., & Van Der Mensbrugghe, D. (2020)](https://elibrary.worldbank.org/doi/abs/10.1596/1813-9450-9211) from world bank provide some cross-country estimates of the cumulative effect of covid-19 for various countries and regions across the world. Their estimated cumulative effect of covid on GDP (measured as deviation from their benchmark) is shown below.

[![enter image description here](https://i.sstatic.net/5uYWi.png)](https://i.sstatic.net/5uYWi.png)

However, I would advise to take these results with a pinch of salt. These are preliminary estimates that were published in April and better ones will be fore sure forthcoming in near future.

> **Comments:**
> **username_0**: Thank you very much! What does the "amplified" colum mean?  
> **username_1**: @username_0 those are different scenarios of how bad the pandemic will be - amplified is a scenario under which pandemic will be worse than in the “standard” pandemic scenario in first column. Authors also explain in greater detail how the scenarios differ in the paper itself  

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