Team Rating Chance of finishing group stage in ... Knockout stage chances
Team Group SPI Off. Def. 1st
Place
2nd
Place
Make
Round of 16
Make
Rd. of 16
Make Quarter-
finals
Make Qtr.-
finals
Make
Semi-finals
Make
Final
Win
World cup
Brazil 0 pts.
G 93.5
3.2
0.3
72% 19% 91% 69% 46% 33% 22%
Spain 0 pts.
E 89.5
2.8
0.4
47% 34% 81% 56% 30% 19% 11%
France 0 pts.
D 87.7
2.8
0.5
55% 27% 81% 53% 32% 17% 9%
Argentina 0 pts.
C 87.2
2.6
0.4
60% 24% 84% 53% 33% 16% 9%
Portugal 0 pts.
H 87.8
2.8
0.5
53% 28% 81% 45% 26% 15% 8%
Germany 0 pts.
E 88.8
3.2
0.6
41% 36% 76% 49% 25% 14% 7%
England 3 pts.
B 86.3
2.7
0.5
74% 20% 94% 58% 32% 16% 7%
Netherlands 0 pts.
A 86.0
2.8
0.6
50% 28% 78% 48% 26% 12% 6%
Uruguay 0 pts.
H 80.9
2.3
0.5
30% 35% 66% 28% 13% 7% 3%
Denmark 0 pts.
D 80.0
2.3
0.6
28% 34% 63% 32% 16% 7% 3%
Belgium 0 pts.
F 82.5
2.6
0.7
36% 27% 63% 28% 12% 6% 3%
Croatia 0 pts.
F 78.8
2.3
0.7
27% 27% 54% 22% 9% 4% 2%
Switzerland 0 pts.
G 77.6
2.2
0.7
13% 34% 48% 21% 9% 4% 1%
Ecuador 3 pts.
A 74.4
1.9
0.6
30% 40% 70% 30% 12% 4% 1%
Mexico 0 pts.
C 74.3
2.0
0.7
21% 33% 54% 22% 10% 3% 1%
Senegal 0 pts.
A 73.8
1.9
0.6
19% 28% 47% 21% 9% 3% 1%
USA 0 pts.
B 74.8
2.1
0.7
16% 38% 55% 23% 10% 3% 1%
Morocco 0 pts.
F 75.6
2.1
0.7
22% 25% 46% 17% 6% 3% 1%
Serbia 0 pts.
G 75.8
2.2
0.7
11% 30% 41% 17% 7% 3% <1%
Japan 0 pts.
E 71.4
2.0
0.8
11% 23% 34% 16% 6% 2% <1%
Canada 0 pts.
F 71.6
1.9
0.7
15% 21% 37% 11% 4% 2% <1%
South Korea 0 pts.
H 66.1
1.7
0.8
12% 23% 35% 11% 4% 1% <1%
Poland 0 pts.
C 68.3
1.9
0.8
13% 26% 38% 13% 5% 1% <1%
Tunisia 0 pts.
D 65.9
1.6
0.7
9% 20% 30% 11% 4% 1% <1%
Wales 0 pts.
B 65.6
1.7
0.8
8% 25% 33% 11% 4% <1% <1%
Australia 0 pts.
D 60.8
1.6
0.9
8% 18% 26% 9% 3% <1% <1%
Cameroon 0 pts.
G 64.2
1.7
0.8
4% 16% 20% 6% 2% <1% <1%
Iran 0 pts.
B 63.3
1.6
0.8
1% 17% 18% 6% 2% <1% <1%
Saudi Arabia 0 pts.
C 56.9
1.5
1.0
7% 17% 24% 7% 2% <1% <1%
Ghana 0 pts.
H 58.6
1.4
0.9
5% 13% 18% 4% <1% <1% <1%
Costa Rica 0 pts.
E 55.5
1.4
1.0
2% 7% 9% 2% <1% <1% <1%
Qatar 0 pts.
A 48.2
1.4
1.3
<1% 4% 5% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Forecast from

Monday, Nov. 21

Group B • Full-time Score Win Prob. Draw
England 6 100% 0%
Iran 2 0%
half 50  100%
Group A • 11 a.m. Eastern Score Win Prob. Draw
Senegal 22% 27%
Netherlands 51%
Group B • 2 p.m. Score Win Prob. Draw
USA 45% 29%
Wales 26%

Tuesday, Nov. 22

Group C • 5 a.m. Score Win Prob. Draw
Argentina 72% 20%
Saudi Arabia 8%
Group D • 8 a.m. Score Win Prob. Draw
Denmark 50% 29%
Tunisia 21%
Group C • 11 a.m. Score Win Prob. Draw
Mexico 42% 30%
Poland 28%
Group D • 2 p.m. Score Win Prob. Draw
France 69% 21%
Australia 10%

Wednesday, Nov. 23

Group F • 5 a.m. Score Win Prob. Draw
Morocco 32% 29%
Croatia 39%
Group E • 8 a.m. Score Win Prob. Draw
Germany 60% 23%
Japan 17%
Group E • 11 a.m. Score Win Prob. Draw
Spain 76% 18%
Costa Rica 6%
Group F • 2 p.m. Score Win Prob. Draw
Belgium 49% 26%
Canada 25%

Thursday, Nov. 24

Group G • 5 a.m. Score Win Prob. Draw
Switzerland 50% 28%
Cameroon 22%
Group H • 8 a.m. Score Win Prob. Draw
Uruguay 53% 28%
South Korea 19%
Group H • 11 a.m. Score Win Prob. Draw
Portugal 70% 21%
Ghana 9%
Group G • 2 p.m. Score Win Prob. Draw
Brazil 68% 21%
Serbia 11%

Friday, Nov. 25

Group B • 5 a.m. Score Win Prob. Draw
Wales 37% 31%
Iran 32%
Group A • 8 a.m. Score Win Prob. Draw
Qatar 21% 26%
Senegal 53%
Group A • 11 a.m. Score Win Prob. Draw
Netherlands 49% 28%
Ecuador 23%
Group B • 2 p.m. Score Win Prob. Draw
England 52% 26%
USA 22%

Saturday, Nov. 26

Group D • 5 a.m. Score Win Prob. Draw
Tunisia 40% 32%
Australia 28%
Group C • 8 a.m. Score Win Prob. Draw
Poland 47% 29%
Saudi Arabia 24%
Group D • 11 a.m. Score Win Prob. Draw
France 47% 28%
Denmark 25%
Group C • 2 p.m. Score Win Prob. Draw
Argentina 53% 28%
Mexico 19%

Sunday, Nov. 27

Group E • 5 a.m. Score Win Prob. Draw
Japan 51% 28%
Costa Rica 21%
Group F • 8 a.m. Score Win Prob. Draw
Belgium 44% 27%
Morocco 29%
Group F • 11 a.m. Score Win Prob. Draw
Croatia 44% 29%
Canada 27%
Group E • 2 p.m. Score Win Prob. Draw
Spain 42% 27%
Germany 31%

Monday, Nov. 28

Group G • 5 a.m. Score Win Prob. Draw
Cameroon 24% 28%
Serbia 48%
Group H • 8 a.m. Score Win Prob. Draw
South Korea 41% 32%
Ghana 27%
Group G • 11 a.m. Score Win Prob. Draw
Brazil 65% 22%
Switzerland 13%
Group H • 2 p.m. Score Win Prob. Draw
Portugal 45% 29%
Uruguay 26%

Tuesday, Nov. 29

Group A • 10 a.m. Score Win Prob. Draw
Netherlands 80% 14%
Qatar 6%
Group A • 10 a.m. Score Win Prob. Draw
Ecuador 35% 32%
Senegal 33%
Group B • 2 p.m. Score Win Prob. Draw
Iran 24% 29%
USA 47%
Group B • 2 p.m. Score Win Prob. Draw
Wales 14% 24%
England 62%

Wednesday, Nov. 30

Group D • 10 a.m. Score Win Prob. Draw
Tunisia 13% 25%
France 62%
Group D • 10 a.m. Score Win Prob. Draw
Australia 17% 26%
Denmark 57%
Group C • 2 p.m. Score Win Prob. Draw
Saudi Arabia 18% 28%
Mexico 54%
Group C • 2 p.m. Score Win Prob. Draw
Poland 14% 24%
Argentina 62%

Thursday, Dec. 1

Group F • 10 a.m. Score Win Prob. Draw
Canada 30% 30%
Morocco 40%
Group F • 10 a.m. Score Win Prob. Draw
Croatia 33% 27%
Belgium 40%
Group E • 2 p.m. Score Win Prob. Draw
Costa Rica 6% 15%
Germany 79%
Group E • 2 p.m. Score Win Prob. Draw
Japan 14% 24%
Spain 62%

Friday, Dec. 2

Group H • 10 a.m. Score Win Prob. Draw
South Korea 13% 23%
Portugal 64%
Group H • 10 a.m. Score Win Prob. Draw
Ghana 14% 27%
Uruguay 59%
Group G • 2 p.m. Score Win Prob. Draw
Serbia 33% 28%
Switzerland 39%
Group G • 2 p.m. Score Win Prob. Draw
Cameroon 4% 15%
Brazil 81%

Completed matches

Sunday, Nov. 20

Group A • Full-time Score Win Prob. Draw
Qatar 0 0% 0%
Ecuador 2 100%
half 50  100%

Please visit this page on a desktop computer to make your own bracket.

1 Select the first- and second-place finishers in each group to advance to the knockout stage
Hover over a team's name to see its chances of reaching each possible match

Group A 1st place 2nd place
Qatar
<1%
4%
Ecuador
30%
40%
Senegal
19%
28%
Netherlands
50%
28%
Group B 1st place 2nd place
England
74%
20%
Iran
1%
17%
USA
16%
38%
Wales
8%
25%
Group C 1st place 2nd place
Argentina
60%
24%
Saudi Arabia
7%
17%
Mexico
21%
33%
Poland
13%
26%
Group D 1st place 2nd place
France
55%
27%
Denmark
28%
34%
Tunisia
9%
20%
Australia
8%
18%
Group E 1st place 2nd place
Spain
47%
34%
Germany
41%
36%
Japan
11%
23%
Costa Rica
2%
7%
Group F 1st place 2nd place
Belgium
36%
27%
Canada
15%
21%
Morocco
22%
25%
Croatia
27%
27%
Group G 1st place 2nd place
Brazil
72%
19%
Serbia
11%
30%
Switzerland
13%
34%
Cameroon
4%
16%
Group H 1st place 2nd place
Portugal
53%
28%
Ghana
5%
13%
Uruguay
30%
35%
South Korea
12%
23%

2 Click on a team to advance it to the next match
Hover over a match to see teams' chances of reaching it

  • Group A

    1st place

  • Group B

    2nd place

  • Group C

    1st place

  • Group D

    2nd place

  • Group E

    1st place

  • Group F

    2nd place

  • Group G

    1st place

  • Group H

    2nd place

  •  
  • Round of 16

    December 3

  •  
  • Round of 16

    December 3

  •  
  • Round of 16

    December 5

  •  
  • Round of 16

    December 5

  •  
  •  
  • Quarterfinal

    December 9

  •  
  • Quarterfinal

    December 9

  •  
  •  
  • Semifinal

    December 13

  •  
  • World Cup champion
  • Final

    December 18

  •  
  •  
  • Semifinal

    December 14

  •  
  •  
  • Quarterfinal

    December 10

  •  
  • Quarterfinal

    December 10

  •  
  •  
  • Round of 16

    December 4

  •  
  • Round of 16

    December 4

  •  
  • Round of 16

    December 6

  •  
  • Round of 16

    December 6

  •  
  • Group A

    2nd place

  • Group B

    1st place

  • Group C

    2nd place

  • Group D

    1st place

  • Group E

    2nd place

  • Group F

    1st place

  • Group G

    2nd place

  • Group H

    1st place