added no vig probably

app.py

@@ -101,6 +101,25 @@ def init_baselines():
 
     return game_model, overall_stats, timestamp, prop_frame, prop_trends, pick_frame, market_props
 
+def calculate_no_vig(row):
+    def implied_probability(american_odds):
+        if american_odds < 0:
+            return (-american_odds) / ((-american_odds) + 100)
+        else:
+            return 100 / (american_odds + 100)
+
+    over_line = row['over_pay'].apply(lambda x: (x - 1) * 100 if x >= 2.0 else -100 / (x - 1))
+    under_line = row['under_pay'].apply(lambda x: (x - 1) * 100 if x >= 2.0 else -100 / (x - 1))
+    over_prop = row['Projection']
+    
+    over_prob = implied_probability(over_line)
+    under_prob = implied_probability(under_line)
+    
+    total_prob = over_prob + under_prob
+    no_vig_prob = (over_prob / total_prob + 0.5) * over_prop
+    
+    return no_vig_prob
+
 game_model, overall_stats, timestamp, prop_frame, prop_trends, pick_frame, market_props = init_baselines()
 qb_stats = overall_stats[overall_stats['Position'] == 'QB']
 qb_stats = qb_stats.drop_duplicates(subset=['Player', 'Position'])
@@ -226,14 +245,15 @@ with tab4:
     market_type = st.selectbox('Select type of prop are you wanting to view', options = prop_table_options, key = 'market_type_key')
     disp_market = market_props.copy()
     disp_market = disp_market[disp_market['PropType'] == market_type]
+    disp_market['No_Vig_Prop'] = disp_market.apply(calculate_no_vig, axis=1)
     fanduel_frame = disp_market[disp_market['OddsType'] == 'FANDUEL']
-    fanduel_dict = dict(zip(fanduel_frame['Name'], fanduel_frame['Projection']))
+    fanduel_dict = dict(zip(fanduel_frame['Name'], fanduel_frame['No_Vig_Prop']))
     draftkings_frame = disp_market[disp_market['OddsType'] == 'DRAFTKINGS']
-    draftkings_dict = dict(zip(draftkings_frame['Name'], draftkings_frame['Projection']))
+    draftkings_dict = dict(zip(draftkings_frame['Name'], draftkings_frame['No_Vig_Prop']))
     mgm_frame = disp_market[disp_market['OddsType'] == 'MGM']
-    mgm_dict = dict(zip(mgm_frame['Name'], mgm_frame['Projection']))
+    mgm_dict = dict(zip(mgm_frame['Name'], mgm_frame['No_Vig_Prop']))
     consensus_frame = disp_market[disp_market['OddsType'] == 'CONSENSUS']
-    consensus_dict = dict(zip(consensus_frame['Name'], consensus_frame['Projection']))
+    consensus_dict = dict(zip(consensus_frame['Name'], consensus_frame['No_Vig_Prop']))
 
     disp_market['FANDUEL Prop'] = disp_market['Name'].map(fanduel_dict)
     disp_market['DRAFTKINGS Prop'] = disp_market['Name'].map(draftkings_dict)