1990000
104-10302-10028

| 2025 RELEASE UNDER THE PRESIDENT JOHN F. KENNEDY ASSASSINATION RECORDS ACT OF 1992 |

Mor pay


13-00000

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THE PRESIDENT’S
INTELLIGENCE CHECKLIST

- ISSUED BY THE
wee a _CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY

21 NOVEMBER 1963
TOP SECRET

13-00000

_ ee

—

,+az- "The new 2l-man cabinet ap-
pears to be a coalition of Arab
nationalist elements including four
members of the moderate wing of the
Baath Party. The regime is still
dominated by the military, with eight
cabinet posts.

—Fe

‘1. Iraq

i ee

b. The new prime minister,
Tahir Yahya,is sympathetic to the
Baath Party, and both the Baathists
and the Egyptians feel they can
trust him.

c. The political affiliation
of eight of the new ministers is
not known, but the key interior post
is in the hands of an anti-Baathist

nationalist.

a. Defense Minister. Nasution
has been ordered by Sukarno to make
conciliatory statements on Malaysia
while on his trip abroad.

2. Indonesia

b. The Dutch chargé who re-
ported this explained that Nasution
was chosen for this job because |
‘Sukarno was irritated with the ultra-
tough line the defense minister has

a re

taken. —_ _

ae (Cont 'd)

For The President Only - Top Secret


13-00000

|

| switch. Our embassy thinks it may

‘Nasution has stolen some of his

Oe
ue : . ’ ”

they could eat-up all the incrimin-

. held at Ndolo prison. The Congolese
.gurete says the seized papers include,

‘¢. The chargé has no informa-
tion on the motives behind this

be a move to pave the way for explora-
tory talks by Foreign Minister Suband-
rio at Bangkok with his Thai and
Philippine counterparts. It may also
be meant to provide a more recep-
tive attitude for Nasution's visit
here.

d. Our embassy thinks Nasution
went in for his Malaysia sabre rat~
tling on Sukarno's orders, or at
the very least, with the president's

tacit support. Sukarno may feel

ae ~ 7 : 5

hunder, x
thunder — ww

a, Adoula still did not get
around to announcing the expulsion
of all Soviet and Czech embassy per-
sonnel yesterday. However, his
people managed on Tuesday afternoon
to corral and hog-tie the Soviet
counselor and press attaché before

ating papers in their possession.

b. The Russians are now being

‘(among other things, minutes of a
"liberation committee" meeting of op-
position politicians in Brazzaville,

and a document showing Soviet pay-

ments to this group. eee
near ee

For The President Only - Top Secret

CER


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4.

Ethiopia-

_from the Congo in January, according

‘to see the Emperor, as well as the
prime minister and foreign minister,

c. The Belgian ambassador
thinks these papers are probably
genuine. He says the Russians have
made the mistake of underrating the
Congolese and have stumbled into a
surete trap.

‘d. The Congolese also picked
up two Czech diplomats but have since
released them. This morning they
arrested the correspondent of the
Soviet news agency.

a. Haile Selassie is planning
to withdraw all Ethiopian troops

to the commander of his ground forces.

‘b. The two battalions of
Ethiopians provide the guts of the
UN operation. They had been slated
to stay until June and are likely to
be very difficult to replace.

_.@, .The Emperor. reportedly .
ordered the withdrawal on grounds
that the troops are urgently needed
in Ethiopia, particularly in view
of the Soviet military accord with
Somalia,

d. Our ambassador has asked

to press for reconsideration.

—

For The President Only - Top Secret

CK

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5. Yemen /

a. Military activity has
slackened but the stalemate continues,

b. Egypt still has about 32,000
troops in Yemen, and Saudi Crown
Prince Faysal believes Nasir will |
not withdraw any significant number
of them before 4 January when the

'. extension of the disengagement agree-
ment expires.

c. Faysal is preparing to re-
sume aid to the royalists at that
time; he is stockpiling quantities
of arms and ammunition along the
border.

(Includes INTERCEPTS)

a. The opposition Justice

- Party, heir of the old Menderes re-
gime, appears to have won a victory

.in Sunday's nationwide local, elec-

tions on the basis of incomplete re-
turns.

b. The collapse of Prime Min-
ister Inonu's coalition government
appears increasingly likely. Though
a new coalition may be formed, there.
will. be considerable resistance to

the retention of Inonu as prime min-
ister.

For The President ‘Only - Top Secret


13-00000

c. Justice Party members will
be putting on pressure for early
national parliamentary elections.
‘However their party leaders do not.
believe the Turkish military, which
ousted Menderes in 1960, would per~
mit them to take over if they won
new elections,

d. They will probably try to
work out some rapprochement with the
armed forces.

For The. President Only - Top Secret .

lee

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NOTES

A. Cuba The U~2 which flew yesterday's mission over
' Cuba crashed while returning,about 40 miles north
of Key West. Air and sea rescue craft were sent to
the scene, An air rescue unit sighted an unopened
parachute, a life raft,and 011 slick in the crash |
area, The pilot is presumed lost. There is no in-
dication that the plane was attacked.
B. _Berlin,!\ Local East German troops acting without
higher authority appear to have been responsible
for turning high powered searchlights on pilots tak-
ing off from West Berlin's Tempelhof airfield on
-14-16 November. There were five such incidents. A
“message of 16 November instructed border: guard ele-
ments to discontinue such acts. There have been no
further incidents reported since.

wan _—

j ‘A- Radio Tirana broadcast has accused
a chev 0: personally releasing Barghoorn for

ae fear that Moscow's wheat deal with the US might col-
lapse, The Albanians are on record as preferring
to eat grass rather than to kowtow to the West, but f
‘they are not above eating Chinese wheat acquired fron LY

—Restern sources

The Soviet Union’ s timing seems to be
od ol enament sources have reported that
lane was shot down in Iranian ter-

y Soviet jet fighters who violated
ace. The Iranians say that the plane

For The President Only - Top Secret

5/60


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government's land reform drive. The pilot was injured
and his two passengers were killed. The incident
comes at a time when Soviet President Brezhnev is
visiting Tehran. He addressed a joint session of
parliament today ._ :

‘police seem to have restored order in
owntown-Caracas, but terrorism contizues elsewhere.
The slum district of Caracas to which the terrorists
.jretreated is under virtual martial law. . Among other
Wi things, the Dupont paint warehouse at Maracaibo a,
; et _afire_and totally < destroyed.—

World. Ponce oun \ The WPC meeting in Warsaw next
in another free-for-all. The
Ichinese C Communist delegation, although not intent on
disrupting the conference, plans to attack the WPC
president's report given to a committee meeting in .
Vienna last September. The Japanese delegates plan
to give general support to the Chinese ard will try
to forestall a vote on the Moscow test ben treaty.

F.

For The President Only - Top Secret

SER


; DOCUMENT OF INTEREST
Debriefing of Professor Frederick Barghoorn
 \
le
For The President Cnly - Top Secret


. oy

, a,

THE PRESIDENT’S -
INTELLIGENCE CHECKLIST

ISSUED BY THE
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY —

20 NOVEMBER 1963
TOP SECRET.

sh

1. Iraq-Syria ape Be “Although ‘sporadic gunfire aa
gst, continued through the night in Bagh-
bo. re pov dad, the army is in control.

44 (0 ly pY mo
ve b. Arif has plans to announce
£437 5 ‘the make-up of his cabinet today.
‘It will probably contain some "mild"
Baathists.

Peg ey

c. He permitted Syrian atrong-
man Hafiz and Michel Aflaq, the
founder of the Baath Party, who were
caught in Baghdad by the coup, to

C \ ite) fly back to Damascus yesterday after
- the Syrian radio suddenly stopped
vilifying the newest Iraqi regime.

da. Arif and his colleagues
obviously hope to reach an-under- -
standing with the Syrian regime. We
doubt very much if they are interested,
however, in the meaningful political
and military unity the previous re-
gime was aiming for.

ye ge e, An intercepted message in- |
ae 1q dicates that Syrian arny units, now
para’ in Iraq, are getting ready to go hone. .

£. The retention of Baathists
in positions of power in Baghdad also
tends to ease the threat to the party
in Syria. .

Cre RE Prs)

Po yee

* For The President Only - Top Secret


2. Venezuela . a. The Communist effort to
/ frustrate the presidential election
(1 December) continues.

b. An illegal transmitter was
heard yesterday in Caracas calling
0.9 © _for a 48-hour general strike and
urging listeners to arm themselves
Qu against the Betancourt government.

ce. Roving bands of Comaunist-

lag IGN oY led terrorists sought to enforce the
generally unsuccessful strike with
gunfire. There were at least nine
deaths (some reports go as high as —
19). Guerrilla activity in rural
areas is also being stepped up.

BR

“a. The government has jailed —
an added 200 extremists in the wake
of yesterday's violence and plans
are afoot to detain 1,500 more.

e. The army is being held in

wo reserve in the Caracas area.

Cs Cincbads, Int rrogts
- 3. South Vietnam a. Ton That Dich, whom we had
earlier identified as the least re-
liable of the generals’ group, is
trying to use his position as security
_minister to build himself an independ-
ent political base.

(Cont'd)

| Z/BR

For The President Only -.Top Secret


13-00000 :
ee ee ee ee

b. He has been visiting provin-
cial cities to "explain" the military |
takeover and receive expressions of
loyalty. He has continued to spread
the idea that the coup was largely
his own doing.

c. Dinh has directed provincial
chiefs to submit to him daily reports
on local politics. (INTERCEPTS)

d. This is going on while
other members of the regime are
squabbling about who should be in
the "council of sages" and what it
should do.

Ry re ae ;
4. France-Israel =“ a. We have picked up further
details on the surface-to-surface
missile system which a French firm
is developing for the Israelis,

b. The firm, Marcel Dassault, |
is to produce and test fire 25 mis-
siles between July 1964 and July
1965. An actual production contract
for perhaps 250 missiles will be

' @rawn up late in the period if all
goes well.

For The President Only - Top Secret


' Cc. Design requirements call
‘tor the delivery of a 1,600-pound
/ warhead to.a maximum range of 300
/ /miles with a CEP slightly in excess
/ of half a mile. A conventional war-
jf head would not make military sense
under these Specifications.

a. pamphlets and posters
bitterly lampooning Nasir, espe-—
cially for his involvement in Yemen .
and Algeria, have appeared on the
streets of Cairo and Suez.

Usk

b. Such public expression of
anti-Nasir sentiment is highly
unusual. ;

ce. It is still ina very low
key, however, and there is no sign
of organized opposition.

d. We do not consider Nasir
.to be in any immediate danger of
overthrow, though he could be forced
to modify unpopular policies if the
discontent spreads.

- For The President Only - Top Secret

1300000 was Ce
oe ee ee

. -
“A

a. The return last week of
Vice President Lechin, who has been
on ice as Bolivia's ambassador in
Rome, will heat things up in La Paz.

6. Bolivia

b. The city has already wit-
nessed four minor demonstrations
which Embassy La Paz attributes to.
left-wingers encouraged by Lechin's
presence.

c. Lechin, who has ambitions
to replace President Paz, intends
to tour the country to rally his
political forces, now in disarray .
as a result of. some astute moves
by Paz.

d. If Lechin decides after
these soundings to come out openly .
against the president, he will try
to arrange a series of strikes early
next year to point up his strength.

a. Sihanouk may have finally
painted himself into a corner on US
aid.

b. He has followed up yester-
day's emotional public renunciation
with an official request to our embassy
for talks on the subject.

For The President Only - Top Secret


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* co ene ee ET

c. We are always reluctant to
predict just what Sihanouk will do
next, but he may hope, perhaps ex-
pect, that the US will press him to
retain some of our aid, even on. his
terms. ,

VER

‘For The President Only - Top Secret


= cos
oe ee oe oe oe

NOTES

peor

A clandestine source tells” us | that Adoula ~
IT finally announce this morning the expulsion of
a i”. _all personnel of the Soviet and Czech embassies.
ci o& This move has. been, hanging fire ever since security
oo officials turned up evidence several weeks ago in-
ae plicating personnel of these embassies in antigovern-| |
ts | we ment activities. The Congolese ambassador in Moscow
has been directed to destroy his classified files.
° A new “series ‘of ‘extended range- ‘missile tests
“to be upcoming. Three Soviet range instrumen-
woe tation ships left Petropavlovsk nine days ago and
me are apparently headed for the more distant Pacific ;
C. \O impact area, 6,500 miles from Tyuratam. There has
so re) been no announcement closing the area. (INTER~./.
CEPTS X

> peiping | has been 1 quick 4 to > exploit ‘the ~

; Opening provided by Barghoorn's release. To the
> Chinese this affair is an object lesson in how

Khrushchev knuckles under to US pressure without 7
Apr getting a thing An return. a Oo

-D. USSR-Cuba "phe ‘five passenger ships we mentioned ‘in

-——\Tast; Thursday's Checklist have docked and departed.

\Soue of them brought in rotational troops and all. of po cane

'\them took out Soviet personnel. We cannot strike a ia

“Mirm balance on the basis of the evidence we now have,

but it. is possible that as many Soviets went out as

came in. (INTERCEPTS) ;
ay 6 eae (Cont'd)

E/r2

For The President Only - Top Secret

vt

, Czechoslovakia-Mali |. We have an intercepted message
sit tan am assador in Prague reporting in-
cidents between Czechs and Malians a week ago Sunday.
There were, the ambassador notes, “only six wounded
on the Malian side." (INTERCEPT)

Theda does not appear to be in any particular”
“€rouble in tomorrow's elections. The long-range trend
- toward.the left in popular vote will probably be ap-
parent, but Ikeda's Liberal Democratic Party should
retain a safe majority in the next Diet. The leftists:
. have tried to turn rising prices and last week's twin
, disasters into election Ammunition, but without |
Y marked success. _

Djakarta is trying to round up support
Sukarno's little Olympics, the "Games of
the New Emerging Forces," a permanent thing. In
Q:¢*” ~=making a pitch along these lines to the Philippine
po ambassador, a high Indonesian official candidly ad-
mitted that Djakarta views this sort of athletic
competition as a means of achieving political ends.
(INTERCEPTS) —— =

Indonesia |

The Israeli foreign office says Ben Gurion |
ing the Sulzberger account in last Saturday's | .
New York Times of Ben Gurion's "hints" about experi- |-
ments in “military atomics" at Dimona. Ambassador |
) Barbour is not entirely convinced of this, however, |

and recalls Ben Gurion's oft-expressed opinion that |

it does no barn to let Nasir worry about Dimona. |

H. Israel

A new round of. army promotions and shifts
_ od land are due to be announced Monday. Anti-
Goulart elements fear, probably with good reason,
ye recs +4 that their ranks will be further thinned. Congeni-

3/3 4%) tal plotters on the far right are talking coup yet

q wap gw again.
For The President Only- Top Secret


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TOP SECRET

(Security Classification)

CONTROL NO.

copy_._._ CF

‘Handle Via |

Access to this document will be restricted to
those approved for the following specific activities:

NATIONAL SECURITY INFORMATION
Unauthorized Disclosure Subject to Criminal Sanctions

TOP SECRET

(Security Classification)

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THE PRESIDENT’S | ,
INTELLIGENCE CHECKLIST

ISSUED BY THE |
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY

22 NOVEMBER 1963
FOP SECRET


aoues haere

In honor of President Kennedy.
for whom the President's Intelligence Checklist
' was first written on 17 June 1961

For The President Only «top=Geerelen

For this.day, the Checklist Staff can
find no words more fitting ‘than a
verse quoted by the President to a
group of newspapermen the day he
learned of the presence of Soviet
missiles in Cuba.

For The President Only -lep=Secse==


Bullfight critics ranked in rows
! Crowd the enormous plaza full;
But only one is there who knows

And he's the man who fights the bull.

_ For The President Only -shepeGeerer=

Ltn a?


ledDre Ae "GRIFFON", THE SOVIET ANTIMISSILE DISPLAYED IN THE
wre . .

HibJes, 7 NOVEMBER MOSCOW PARADE, APPEARS DESIGNED ONLY FOR USE WITHI
No Ajoy

| \ ‘THE ATMOSPHERE.

os
\

. B. FURTHER ANALYSIS OF PHOTOS OF THE MISSILE INDICATES
IT WEIGHS ABOUT 2,000 POUNDS LESS,AND HAS LESS THRUST THAN

' ORIGINALLY ESTIMATED.
i C. ITS PROBABLE. BEST PERFORMANCE ALTITUDES ARE FROM
1 \ 50,000 TO 100,000 FEET, AND IT IS NOT THEREFORE COMPARABLE

\
i}

pe ee eo — ae

“~~~.” SIHANOUK HAS GIVEN THE FRENCH IN PHNOM PENH FORE-~

y WARNING THAT HE PLANS TO REVIVE HIS NEUTRALITY GUARANTEE

4 y . . . ‘

Lon PROPOSALS . :
3ar |
3% B. HE WANTS THE TWELVE GENEVA CONFERENCE PARTICIPANTS (UBE

Bo- yj 70 MEET IN SOME ASIAN CITY; "AT THE GREAT POWERS' EXPENSE,"
(udsxs TO WORK OUT A NEUTRALITY GUARANTEE DECLARATION.

(o> C. THE FRENCH SAY THEY PLAN TO RESPOND FAVORABLY AND .
\. HOPE WE WILL TOO,LEST SIHANOUK OTHERWISE TAKE THE FINAL IR-
: REVOCABLE STEP INTO THE COMMUNIST BLOC.

wie : ‘

(CONT *D)

2 /@n

_ TOP SECRET DINAR

13-00000 -

a a TOP SECRET DINAR

D. _ MEANWHILE PEIPING HAS DECLARED IT WOULD GIVE "ALL-

‘OUT SUPPORT SHOULD CAMBODIA ENCOUNTER ARMED INVASION INSTI-
- GATED BY THE US OR ITS VASSALS."
E. “Sg@@wERE-MINISTER OF DEFENSE LON NOL HAS INTIMATED
TO GENERAL TABER THAT THE CAMBODIAN MILITARY DOES NOT APPROVE

)
|
|
i
f

| OF TERMINATION OF US AID. CAMBODIAN MILITARY OFFICERS HAVE
MADE IT PLAIN THAT THE US RETAINS A RESERVOIR OF GOOD WILL

WITHIN THE COUNTRY'S MILITARY. Oo
Fans A. CUBA-US: A PRENSA LATINA ITEM YESTERDAY DATELINED
. NEW YORK, SAYS THE STUDENT COMMITTEE FOR TRAVEL TO CUBA HAS -
STARTED ORGANIZING ANOTHER TRIP, HOPEFULLY TO INCLUDE AS
MANY AS 500 STUDENTS THIS TIME. OVER 100 ARE SAID TO HAVE
APPLIED SO FAR. .

WORT B. U-2 CRASH: SALVAGE OPERAT IONS CONTINUE ON THE

Mé4p WRECKAGE OF THE U-2, THERE IS STILL NO TRACE OF THE PILOT,

Cok CAPTAIN HYDE, WHO EVIDENTLY EJECTED SOMETIME ‘BEFORE IMPACT.

Cc.

_DENMARK-USSR? : ie DANISH FOREIGN MINISTER HAEKKERUD,

‘VISITING KHRUSHCHEV ON “THURSDAY, PRESENTED HIM WITH A MADE-

IN-DENMARK ROCKING CHAIR ’ EXPRESSING THE HOPE THAT IT WOULD
NOW BE POSSIBLE TO ROCK IN RHYTHM IN BOTH THE KREMLIN AND
THE WHITE HOUSE. APPARENTLY KHRUSHCHEV WILL BE MAKING HIS
SCANDANAVIAN TOUR ‘NEXT SPRING.

(CONT 'D)

2/6R

TOP SECRET DINAR

13-00000 >

SECRET DINAR

THE DIET.
IT WOULD APPEAR THAT IKEDA'S POSITION WITHIN THE PARTY MAY

WHILE IT IS TOO | BARLY TO MAKE A DETAILED ANALYSIS,

BE SOMEWHAT LESS SECURE. THE SOCIALISTS GAINED A FEW SEATS,

BUT FELL SHORT OF THEIR GOAL OF BREAKING THE"ONE-THIRD

INDONESIAN OFFICIALS ARE LETTING IT ;

INDONESIA-US:

Be
BE KNOWN INDIRECTLY, VIA THE OIL COMPANY REPRESENTATIVES,

'

THAT SUKARNO “MAY WELL HOLD UP SIGNATURE OF THE LAW RATIFYING

t
n

OIL CONTRACTS WITH THE BIG THREE UNTIL THE US POSITION ON AID NRR

TO INDONESIA IS "CLARIFIED." US AID THEY SAY WAS PROMISED i.
; ; i
BY WILSON WYATT AS PART OF A “PACKAGE DEAL" FOR SETTLING WITH

THE OIL COMPANIES. rn |

TOP SECRET DINAR


THE PRESIDENT’S
INTELLIGENCE CHECKLIST

ISSUED BY THE .
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY


13-00000

1. South Vietnam

1 dk
eget

ce

a. Vietnamese Communist ef-
forts to discredit the new Saigon -
regime stayed in high gear this
week 7 - .

b. The number of armed attacks.
was off from the high of the previous
week but still some 50% above the
year‘s weekly average.

- ©€. These attacks have been,
for the mst part, small-scale efforts
directed against the government's
paranilitary forces in the villages.
They have bees designed more for
their psychological impact than for
immediate military gain.

d. & high volume of messages
on Viet Cong military and political
communications nets indicates a prob-
able continuation of this effort.

e. The new government is re-
sponding ty stepping up its own

military sperations. It is also .

setting atout the hard job of re-

‘vamping tie Diem government apparatus
- and harnessing broader popular sup- —
port for the var effort.

f. Yhe generals have been
dealing fsirly effectively with

(Cont'd)

For The Fresicdent Only - Top Secret

oe


Beep ee EE a ee Ge ee ee G& ET ES oe oe

' their new responsibilities. There
are, however, a few signs of dissen-
sion within this group and between
it and civilian politicians.

g. One of the more ambitious

- and troublesome figures is the able
but opportunistic General Ton That
Dinh, the new Minister of Security.
He has been travelling about the
country spreading the idea that the
coup was largely his doing and seems
bent on developing his own independ-
ent base of power. He is a man to
watch. ,

h. The new regime has also
embarked on a purge of high military
‘officers who sided with Diem during
the Buddhist crisis.and failed to
get on the right side soon enough.
(INTERCEPTS) a

- a. The ‘death toll from the
terrorist outburst in Caracas last
Tuesday and Wednesday now stands at
about 30.

b. This is the high water mark
thus far in the campaign of the |
Castro-supported Communist extremist
to disrupt the national elections a
week from tomorrow.

aC GL)

For The President Only - Top Secret

13-00000

c. The Betancourt government
has. struck back hard. Its new uni-
fied command over the security forces,
‘set up at US urging, passed this
initial test with flying colors.

dad. At least 500 extremists
were arrested and the round-up is
still going on. Their removal. will
hamper the Communist drive against
elections in major cities like Caracas,

e. We now expect the elections
to be held on schedule, a consider-
able achievement under the circunm-
stances. The elections will be fol-
‘lowed, however, by a Communist ef-
fort to prevent the March inaugura-
tion of the victor.

. £. - The rub here is that none
of the presidential candidates com-
mands President Betancourt's con-
siderable assets for dealing success-
fully with the harsh realities of
Venezuelan politics. The constitu-
tion. prevents Betancourt from suc-
ceeding himself.

g. In the background, as
always, looms the military, which
could intervene if the president-

' elect shows signs of being soft on

communism.
wee

| WR

For The President Only - Top Secret


CUBA

Surface-to-Air Missile (SAM) Sites

an JoRAVANA EAST
: ne
t ; ASuatiago de 18% Vesey é
f
) >) SAN JULIAN Si ae ~ a
:. (Training site) “iste of Pines , a
” _ ~~
4
t ;
& New site
: @ Unchanged site
: f- Estimated range
a
q 7 ° 30 100

NAUTICAL MILES

i, O,
Holguin _
NR

: Santiago de Cul e
__

: _U-S-Naval Base

34095 -
11 OCTOBER 1963

SECRET


a) a; a)

3. USSR-Cuba _@, In the past week[we inter-71
. cept Scaban military (messages which7?{

_ .....' .. show|that Cuban interpreters are now

a5 \ postéd at several surface-to-air mis-

sile (SAH) sites on the island.
yo |

a b. We think this means that
on-site training of Cubans has begun
on schedule. Field training is to

‘(tk last six months, after which the

SAM system may be turned over to

et \ . 9” Castro.

c. Im the past month some
onl ok)

_

wae 1,500 Soviets arrived in Cuba. Most
° of these were probably S4M experts,
sent to monitor the training.

d. Prior to their coming, we «
_had detected no more than a few
hundred Soviet nilitary personnel
entering Cuba since the October
crisis last year.

e. We estimate that at least
15,000, and probably closer to
18,000, have been withdrawm in the
intervening 13 months, leawing, very
roughly, 4,000 to 7,000. hose re-
maining are for the most part ad-
visors whose main functions are to
train and supervise Cubaas in the
use of weapons turned over to them.

(Cont 'd)

(BR

For The President Oriv - Ton Secs! Sos mm a


CZECHO$h}

Autobahn
Air Corridor
Corrol Points for Allied Traffic:
A Soviet & Allied -

txtterzonaf Border Crossing Points:
A East LA West

td | wan womens Rscusnr] —_-

RiLOMPETERS 0 5 140 +


#. All Soviet weapons intro-
g@uced into Cuba last year have been
withdrawn or turned over to the -

 @Cabers. The only significant excep-
tiem is the SAM systen.
(Imelnudes INTERCEPTS)

2a. .We have had an indication
that Seviet harassment of Allied ac-
cess routes to West Berlin will shift
this weekend to the air corridors.

b. The Soviet man at the Ber-
lim aie traffic control center told
the Zllied representatives yesterday |
that Soviet transports would be using
the sir corridors for brief flights
dcurizg the next five weekends.

c. Moscow has tried on a nun-
ber of past occasions to assert its
right to restrict Allied use of the

‘air corridors. In early 1962, the
Soviets 2zttempted to reserve "blocks"
of air space for their own use. They
kave since demanded that Western
fligtts stay between stipulated al-
titedes, that we file flight plans
in advance and provide prior notice
of berder-crossing times.

(Cont 'd)

For The President Only - Top Secret


5.

Iraq-Syria- po
UAR oo

on Berlin.

_ Iraq and Syria.

aa Ge om Se ee oe oo 8 oS ee lee ee

d. This sort of harassment
stopped in the spring of 1962 when

- Soviet leaders became convince@ ~~~"

that the US was interested in a

serious discussion of a Berlin settle-
ment. Moscow may hope that the

threat of more of this sort of har-
assment: will Jog | the US into talks a

a. It now appears that Presi-
dent Arif's role in last. Monday's
coup in Baghdad may have been vir-
tually that of a bystander.

b. According to our latest in-
formation, Arif was wakened early
that morning and given five minutes
to join up. Tahir Yahya, now prime
minister, was reportedly the orga-
nizer.

c. Whatever Arif's role may
have been, the coup was primarily
an effort by the Iraqi Army to cur-
tail the activities of the extreme
wing of the Baath Party. The Baath
is an Arab nationalist political or-
ganization, active throughout the
Arab world, which has been ruling

ont ‘'d)

\ (KE .

For The President Only - Top Secret

re

ad. The coup group has not
thrown all Baathists out of the
government; there are party members
in the new cabinet.

: e. Syrian Baathists have wel-
comed this retention of their Iraqi
brothers. Their attitude springs
from the recognition that the Baath
in Syria cannot stay afloat without
support from Iraq. Even so, we hear
talk of coup plotting in Damascus.

f. The reaction of Nasir's
Egypt, which passionately. desires
to see the. Baath go under, has been

‘exactly. the opposite. Cairo-has- been:|---—- -----

backing off its all-out support for .
the coup ever since the new cabinet
was announced.

‘(Includes INTERCEPTS)

\/Ke

For The President Only - Top Secret


A

TYURATAM Jam

NORTHERN
~ IMPACT
_ AREA

- SOUTHERN
IMPACT re
AREA a

“TOP SECRET
DINAR

ae a ns Ao ee ent a Bat


Re | "New: activity involving Soviet ‘range ‘instru—

rion ships in the Pacific appears to be forth-

Three instrumentation ships left Petropav-

}lovsk 12 days ago and are apparently headed for the

jmore distant Pacific impact area, 6,500 miles from
Tyuratam. We are looking for extended range ICBM
tests but we do not exclude a space event. There
has so far been no announcement closing t the area,

(CINTERCEPTS) — ee - os

i ‘Leopoldville, but their departure is expected
| - momentarily. They were ordered out of the country
after the Congolese turned up good documentary evi-
‘| dence of their complicity in anti-government plots.
| One of the items taken off a Soviet diplomat the
other day was a letter from an anti-Adoula leader i
now in Brazzaville asking for funds and arms to over
throw the Leopoldville government. oo

; _ Britain’ : ‘The Labor party scored again in the ‘Dundee
] sone “election Thursday, increasing its 1959
Npeieqe majority of 719 to a thumping 4,955. Heartened by
2evpy oO this, Labor is now pushing for general elections at
“ once. _ Prime ‘Minister. ‘Home is not likely to accede. .-

Lh prea aan arate

‘D,_Beuador |. The military junta which has run Ecuador
ae nee ly may be about to come unstuck. We have a
report that one of the less savory members of the
group, air force Colonel Freiles, will try to take
"over full control this weekend. We are not sure
-of the reliability of this report, but Freiles is
_ known to have been making motions in this direction. |

ont 'd)

For The President Only - Top Secret 4/62 So


tet rr)
Gane 4)

Cosmos 13 |

(Sputnik 34). >

Cosmas 15
{Sournike 37)
Cosmas 16:
{Spurnik 38)
Cosmos 17
(Sputnik 39)

Cosmos 13

‘Sputnik 40).

Cosmos 20
(Sputnix £4)

"SOVIET EARTH SATELLITE VEHICLES - COSMOS. — ,
-- ¥962 1963 _

APPROXIMATE TIME (uinuTeS)
OF LAUNCH (GMT) (Noa)

12:00,00 (EST.)
16 Mar 82
1715118
6 Apr 62
0400:12
24. Apr 62

0259:49
28 May '62
1600:00 (EST.)
3 June '62
0918:30°
28 July '62

0500:00 (EST.)
18 Aug "62

0900-01 (EST.)
17 Oct *62

0655:00 (EST.)
20 Oct '62

0830:00
21 Mar '63

©850:00 (EST.)

28 Apr ‘63

0600:00 (EST.)

6 Aug 63

Kapustin Yor

Kopustin Yor

Kepustin Yor
Tyurator:

Kapuatin Yar

102.5

93.8

102.75

17

ad

Bm 62

Qecoyed
1-00 Aug '63

Cecayed
D Oct.*62

Kapustin Yor
Tyuratom

Kapustin Yor

Tyureram

90.6

tecoweres
TS age 62

Tyurator.

Kopustin Yor

* 0929:52
18 Oct 163

Tvurato~

24 Oct'63

1034:25
16 Nov '65

Kapustin Yor

Tyurore~


|. ‘prime Minister Sarit, who suffers from
<— cu ple liver disease, is failing. Doctors
a Ik, ‘attending him, including one of our own, give him
iT 663 no more than six months more. Sarit has attempted.

: pee to arrange for an orderly succession when he does

Vin go. The chances of this are not good; Thai poli-

ie ticians and military figures are _Slready | Jostling
NS one another for Position...

, Cosmos 22, launched a week ago, was recovered

esterday. It is the eleventh unmanned satellite to

’ be recovered. All recoverable satellites have been |
launched from Tyuratam, the main Soviet missile test |
center, and recovered after three to ten days aloft.

- A series of non-recoverable satellites has been
fired from Kapustin Yar.
(See Chart) ee
CUNTERCEPTS). eee ee

For The Fresident Only - Top Secret


(Security Classification)

a febele ley |

| [Joirecr reply |
{7 Tarerovat TT Toispatcd "TT RECOMMENDATION.
fd = = CONTROL NO.

CONCURRENCE
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(Security Classification)

YN

13-00000

THE PRESIDENT’S
INTELLIGENCE CHECKLIST

ISSUED BY THE oe
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY

24 NOVEMBER 1963
TOP SECRET

13-00000

1. North Vietnam -
South Vietnam

SS Vetiae C23
Opeccte
IN CGCIS

Screg, (068
Hpoe 2500.

a. North Vietnamese leaders
are pressing their campaign for neu-
tralization of South Vietnam.

b. They can count on Cambodia's
support. Prince Sihanouk has said
he believes neutralization of South
Vietnam to be the only way to keep.
his country and the rest of the area
from falling eventually into Commu-

nist hands.

c.. The French feel the same
way. Indeed, Souvanna Phouma re-

portedly told a closed session of

the Laotian National Assembly that
the French were urging him to sup-
port Hanoi in this.

dad. Moreover, according to one
of our clandestine sources, ‘the North
Vietnamese have talked Souvanna into
backing the neutralization proposi—
tion in the UN.

e. The troublesome Polish ICC
delegate in Laos, Marek Thee (who
will be going home soon), has just
returned to Vientiane from Hanoi and
is trying, with somewhat less suc-
cess, to enlist British support too.

(Cont'd)

ad

13-00000

© Phony Saty
ONGESALY

-
NAMTHA  Pyan sup
f. Naw

 HOUA PHAN

ANS

. , wv
: ee

; Brace. Ka eo Ba t ar A

olin a race oa, Jor

S-eknousng
ir mA KHOUANG

“ a

Pi oat
BS R
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i \ Nhorrimérath
: . a

‘Udo Tham?!
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— SAWANNAKHET

Muang ( ~ oe SEAS
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inteenational boundary

Province Boundary
National capital

Province capital " i . ; ‘ eo
Railresd cHampassak § Altopew
. : S aTToreu
Road .
- Track or trait
75 10G Mies

25 50 75 10C Kilometers UNCLASSIFIED

'&. Samut -oG
_ePrawan, Phe

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13-00000

£. As part of the same campaign,
the North Vietnamese have told the
French they believe sentiment is
growing in the US for withdrawal of
US forces. They reportedly plan to.
keep the heat on to encourage it.

@. Hanoi is at the same time
trying quietly to encourage the belief .
that it is ready to be reasonable.

h. To hear Thee tell it, North
Vietnamese leaders feel that neutral-
ity for South Vietnam and eventual
reunification is the only way they, |
too, can -escape from  Peiping' s clutches.

Ls / a. “As is usual in Laos, the i
-“ tentative agreement for a cease-fire

Fp: ea reached last week between Kong Le
. | Ties G AR, Gry and Pathet Lao commander Singkapo

ann 1726 came to naught.
nie .

. 169% b. Bach side accuses the other BK
VY) 7,
of planning to use a cease-fire to

/trbas po Mack screen preparations for larger at-

2. Laos

ee
ae

tacks.

c. There is scattered fighting
in the Plaine des Jarres., Lao Army,
neutralist, and Meo guerrilla ele-
ments are jointly engaged in a
limited offensive in the vang Vieng
ee ae vo. a : (Gant ‘ay

For The President Only - Top Secret

. | yer

13-00000

: area north of Vientiane on Route 13.
' They hope to gain control of that
town and its small airfield,

‘Gd. We have been anticipating
an expansion of the fighting with
the recent advent of the dry season.

a. Sihanouk knows his actions

: against us have increased his vul-

s/s Inne. 2§ 2o nerability to the Communist bloc, and
he is looking to the French to bail

iweeé 7064, C7049 him out.

3 b. He has intimated that aid
Wi, 4, 23Woy : from France would be most welcome,
¥s bere Kewk 394 and he has asked that French advisors

37 on.
Flin Fink, Yo ¥o3 |
c. He apparently hopes that

BO - #2 2? dB O63 the availability of French aid will
0 A enable him to keep his balance with

3. Cambodia .

“uBR

the Communists and fend off their
Fu lb,67 pressure,
2 2 Wey d. The French have told our

Embassy in Paris that plans are
afoot for French Defense Minister
“Messmer to go to Cambodia in January.

(Cont'd)

_-— a For The President Only - Top Secret

ater

13-000Q0____


13-00000

e. Sihanouk's actions toward
the US have not been universally
popular. This is particularly true
among government officials, the bus-
iness community (who have reason to
fear stepped-up nationalization),
| and the military, where the US re-

tains a considerable reservoir of
| goodwill,

f£. Indications are that Si-
hanouk will try to win fuller sup-
port by creating new feuds with
neighboring South Vietnam and Thai-
_ land. This is a gambit he has used
_ to advantage in past ¢ difficulties.

4, Yemen-Egypt \- ; a. A ‘number of Yemeni leaders
ey ee have told us they want the Egyptians |
, Cin CfoIS _ to get out of the Yemen. They want

\ to be left alone to solve their own
30 7 3068 3Gproblems, |

b. This is especially true
of those Sheikhs with large tribal
_ followings.

c. A general uprising against
the Egyptians is not likely at the
\ . moment, but the longer they remain,
_ i ‘the greater the possibility of major
\ | pro-government tribes deserting to
: | the royalists. ,

\

For The President Only - Top Secret _-~

2/8

13-00000 mst eed VE ETRE ata Sy AROSE aSL ai oan ET tae UTES ~~,

: ‘PARLIAMENT

SOCIALISTS
87

39 4 OTHERS.
8: MONARCHISTS

27 NEO-
FASCISTS

44

LIBERALS
19 | 2 MONARCHISTS

15. NEO-
FASCISTS

CIB Sree

13-00000

. troops in the Yemen, has grudgingly

, points north of the border.

d. Nasir, with some 30,000

promised to pull out 5,000 before
the end of the year. So far there
has been no sign he is preparing to
do so.

e. So far as we can tell,
Faysal has kept to his promise not
to supply the Royalists before the
latest extension of the UN observa-
tion mission runs out on 4 January.

-.£. But he has made plain his
intention. to resume supplying them
thereafter. There has been a sub-
stantial build up of Saudi supply

a. The Christian Democrats
and Socialists have finally reached
an! agreement on cabinet assignments
and a program for a “centerleft
coalition government,

be ‘Negotiations were especially
tough, but apparently President
Kennedy's death acted as a catalyst
to bring the two together.

For The President Only - Top Secret

2/8

13-00000

c. We do not yet have any in-
formation on how differences in key
issues such as MLF were worked out.

d. With Moro premier, Nenni
will probably become vice-premier,
Saragat, who is pro-US and pro-NATO,
is most likely to be named Foreign
Minister. a

pee

. For The President Only - Top Secret

\e%

13-00000

tenance ee

The Indian ‘military | attache in Moscow

~¥eels. tha t the Russians are dragging their feet in
the matter of military assistance for India. Mean-

phe while, we have a report (not yet confirmed) from
New Delhi that Defense Minister Chavan has decided»

Cx: 2R- C3 _to look to us. hereat. ter-for-fighter— aircraft. ~ aoe

, Our “Embassy. in Moscow has gotten word of

—. Be ussr |’

a fs és recently at Ryazan, near Moscow, and in

Sk/ ; |Lenangrad. The cause of the Ryazan incident is not
|-}elear, but bread shortages apparently were behind M4

21Noy, \.| the Leningrad strikes. Similar disturbances were WV K

: | reported Last month from several points in southern

Maren Russia, . ye

1S Min . bees cB eee

For The President Only - Top Secret

> [8A

REC Os Nod

ROUTING | TOP SECRET

NAME AND ADDRESS DATE liniTiALs} 7 as
/IPc , (Security Classification)

a

TA,

:[ NAME AND ADDRESS
lcra/tPG
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ae
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ISPATCH |_| RECOMMENDATION)

NFORMATION- - | [SIGNATURE | CONTROL NO. [SC-NLJ-083/93__B]

ACTION :

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=|
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copy? OF

; FROM: NAME, ADDRESS, AND PHONE NO. OATE

David C. Hun ey/LBJ Library

Handle Via

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Access to this document@will be restricted to
those approved for the following specific activities:

NATIONAL SECURITY INFORMATION

Unauthorized Disclosure Subject to Criminal Sanctions

TOP SECRET

(Security Classification)


13-00000

a

LBI LIERARY :

‘Mandatory RevieW
Case # NLJ
Document #_2

THE PRESIDENT’S
INTELLIGENCE CHECKLIST

ISSUED BYTHE ~
CENTRAL. INTELLIGENCE AGENCY

25 NOVEMBER 1963
TOP SECRET

lw,

13-00000

1. South Vietnam

a. Vietnamese Communist forces
-kept up their high post-coup level
of activity over the weekend.

b. The most significant action
was an attack early yesterday morn-
ing against a US special forces train-
ing camp some 30 miles from Saigon.

c. When the smoke cleared after
a sharp fight, four US soldiers were
missing and at least 35 South Vietnamese
were dead.

d. Late yesterday morning, the
Viet Cong shot down two aircraft sup-
porting a government operation in .
the extreme south, and damaged twelve
more. Two more Americans are missing
in this action:.

e. Back in Saigon, the new re-
gime's troubles with the ambitious
General Ton That Dinh continue.

-f. He is still angling to get
control of the important strategic
hamlet program and has yet to give
up command of the Third Corps, which
the generals assigned to another of
their number earlier in the month.
This corps is of particular signifi-
cance in that it surrounds Saigon.

For The President Only - Top Secret

Manita® \
"SRT

e “ isiiiferines
or

South Suuth
Viesnam /

‘China -

e
BRUNEL-< SoBDH

RIAU
Tigtanns’,  SORNEO aos x
: ; CELEBES™. =

A %8,,
ma

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~ 2 ~~ Le f . —s

Wino owes ICR SO

Djakarta . coh Ean Fasttetat

i ee aan . . Sew
NAVA ne 2

INDIAN . NSA GSS et Se

; => iLtimor
OCEAN a.

Ce elated ot Ol a ee ieee

MALAYSIA aw.

CONFIDENTIAL - H

- _é .

° MiLes 1000 : os i
es ene | :
34176 :


13-Q0000 |

Indonesia- |

a. Sukarno is beefing up the
subversive aspects of his confronta-
tion campaign against Malaysia.

* b. . Intercepted Indonesian mes-
- sages indicate that regular army

units will shortly begin infiltration
operations across the border into
Sarawak and Sabah,

ec. Seven thousand regular army
troops in Indonesian Borneo, the
messages show, are getting an inten-
sified course in guerrilla tactics.
This training is to be completed
next month.

d. Other messages speak of
the arrival, beginning today, of a
battalion of regulars from West Java.
(INTERCERPTS throughout)

a. The weekend was marred only
by ‘sporadic and minor acts of ter-
rorism in several cities. Govern-
ment security forces have the situa-
tion generally under control.

b. The Venezuelan Air Force
-is stepping up its efforts to track
down and destroy intruder aircraft.
The Venezuelans are convinced that
.planes have been ferrying supplies |
to pro-Castro guerrillas in the fon
mountains of the northwest. an
Te . ¢ (Cont'd)

or The President Only - Top Secret

PY

13-00000

,

ot 7ESan fies
scenes 40 08 Morres

El Catwarta ,

\ wer eeFE
~ 7
COLOMBIA .

? tr i2 2G Mues
> CO

6309195

BRAZIL

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TRINIDAD.

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13-00000

‘
.

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7 a8

c. The Betancourt government
has scheduled a press conference
tomorrow to break the story that a
three-ton cache of Cuban arms has
been unearthed. A formal accusation
-against Cuba is to be made before
the Organization of American States
a week from today.

(Includes INTERCEPTS)

a. The air of tension in Bagh-
dad dissipated somewhat after the
. government lifted the curfew and once
again permitted private vehicles on
the streets.

4. Iraq

b. Neither the city nor its
new rulers are, however, at ease.
Troops are still very much in evi-

dence.

c. The new regime apparently
is not convinced that the hard core
of the Baath Party and its paramili-
tary supporters have been put down
for good.

SN

a. We have information that a
showdown between the moderate and
extremist factions of the ruling
Baath Party in Syria is fast approach—
; ing. -

(Cont'd)

For The President Only - Top Secret

2/é®

13-00000

~ ar os

b. A clandestine source identi-
fies Prime Minister Hafiz as the
leading figure on the side of modera- |
tion. General Umran heads the doc-
trinaire extremists.

- c. %It was a split along the
same lines that brought about the ©

Baath Party's fall from power in
Iraq.

a, Premier-designate Moro ex-
pects that the program for a "“center-
left" coalition government will be

approved today by the four parties
involved,

b. Details of the foreign
policy planks are not yet available,
‘but they were drafted with the
thought that the death of President
Kennedy makes it more important for

Italy to play an active role within
the Western alliance.

c. After the program has been
approved, the final selection of a
cabinet can be undertaken. This
could take the rest of the week.

—

For The President Only - Top Secret 7 a

13-00000

—___., CAIRO JORDAN
\ . “UAR ;

(EGYPT)
1 RIYADH
Medina,
Awan, Ss A U D |
« Ras Yenbo®
Banas
ARABIA
Abho [
SAUDI ARABIA
Zahron ,
‘oda,
Wecee
“tat”
" Manor toad
weer Otner roaa or track
Statute wes . 1990
Maydi - UNCLASSIFIED © Khamis Mustat
wwadt a. Z qfajran
Ronen ~ Q .
lajjoh 7 - ~~ \Umran . Quean .
wore Seder &
<AMARAN t Raudha Marib. %
wer, ' . x
SAN :
. SANA, ik :
3
Ss
Al Hudaydoh As Hudsydan®
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ETHIOPIA 0%"
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Macho

ETHIOPIA

SOMALILAND
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Fane rn YEM EN

‘’
4

rr
be

13-00000

.  \& The Saudis told our embassy
in Jidda yesterday that a Saudi vil-
lage near the Yemeni border was at— —
tacked Thursday by Egyptian aircraft.

7. %UAR-Yemen-
Egypt
| b. It was the second time this |
' “month that Yemeni-based Egyptian air-
craft have struck across the border
into Saudi Arabia.
C.. As in the previous cases, ; (Ws
the Saudis. have lodged a formal com- |
; plaint with the UN Observation Mis-
sion.
(Includes INTERCEPTS)

\(88

For The President Only - Top Secret

13-00000

™

. A bd

B.

. instability of the Brazilian political scene is re-
flected in the numerous reports of coup. plots which
. [this event al Precipitated, a ; ——

Psouth~of-Johnston— I

NOTES

Oswald Press stories to the effect that Lee Harvey
Oswald recently visited Mexico City are true, accord-
ing to our information. Oswald visited both the

. Cuban and the Soviet embassies on 28 September. He

was trying, we are told, to arrange for visas so
that he could travel ‘to the USSR via Havana. He
returned to the US on 3 October.

“USSR Ge rake report ‘the “threg)Soviet_ range_. in-
strumentation shipgiwere dead inthe water~ 500 -miles*
‘Land, roughly the same position

- shots. No announcement closing this area of the

J

D.

! they occupied for last year's extended range ICBM 24

Pacific to shipping has been made and there is no
activity as yet at the Tyuratam missile test center, |
but we look for some action in the next few days. Ai
__CINTERCEPT ts) |. “Y

ST

Algeria. We have a report from a “good clandestine
source that. a group of army officers is plotting

with Defense Minister Boumedienne to overthrow Ben
Bella, A growing estrangement between the two has
been apparent for some time, but this is the first
good indication that Boumedienne is making common
cause with those who wish to turn’ Ben Bella out of

office.
(Cont 'd)

_ For The President Only - Top Secret -

ajar

13-09000 .

q Pe tons of Australian

= See er ere
grain to be delivered early next year. We had been

| expecting the Chinese Communists to enter the market,
' since they had another mediocre grain crop this year.
-Peiping has been buying close to five million tons
‘of grain for the past several years.

E.

| We hear that the Soviet Embassy in Leopold-~
“ville had booked 75 places on a flight to Brussels
last Saturday. There is still no information on- eR
whether any Soviet Embassy officials. have actually as

renee however.

‘); There was no new harassment of Allied ac- || |.

‘cess’ rotites to Berlin over the weekend. A total of Mo
16 flares were fired last evening near Tempelhof
Airfield, but we connect these with Communist ef-
forts.to prevent escapes from East Berlin. East

| German police were observed stringing barbed wire
1 etal the same area a short time later.

aoe fh their limited offensive in the Vang Vieng
area. They have not, however, been able to dislodge
the Pathet Lao from positions within artillery range

fof the town's airport.
| neLudes. INTERCEPTS) " ee ote

For The President Only - Top Secret

y BK

TOP SECRET

(Security Classification)

NLI 94- 44 (#4)

[action
[APPROVAL | ;
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1 .
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Unauthorized Disclosure Subject to Criminal Sanctions

_ TOP SECRET

(Security Classification)


13-00000

oop

; ; iew. . . .

Wiandatory Review: 4 4 ! ! rs
Come NEY AOE” |
Document # -

THE PRESIDENTS
INTELLIGENCE CHECKLIST

ISSUED BY THE _

CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY

26 NOVEMBER 1963
TOP SECRET

13-00000

a. The shaky new accommodation .
between the two countries following
the. recent coup in Iraq has been
threatened by Syria's action in grant-
ing asylum to Ali Saleh Saadi, the
exiled leader of the extremist wing
of the Iraqi Baath.

dL. Iraq-Syria

b. Saadi had arrived in Syria
unannounced following a brief stay
in Madrid. On Friday, Iraq sent a
message asking Syria to expel him on
grounds that sheltering him was a
breach of agreement. -

c. Both regimes continue to be
troubled with internal dissension
with affairs in one deeply tangled
with those in the other,

d, In Syria, as we mentioned
yesterday, the Baathist regime is
split between moderates who desire
a broadening of the government's
power basé,and a doctrinaire faction
which wants to keep all.control of
the government in Baathist hands.

BR |

e. In Iraq, the pull is more
away from the Baathists. Two minis-
ters have threatened to resign unless
the government adopts an openly pro-
Egyptian policy. Nevertheless the
government feels secure enough to
ease up on curfew and transport re-
.Strictions imposed since the coup.

~~ (Con


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f. Iraq has announced that the.
military union with Syria remains in
force, and that a new commander of
the joint armies will be announced
‘soon, .

(Includes INTERCEPTS)

a. Intercepted neutralist mes~—
sages on Sunday reported that govern-
ment forces had finally secured Vang
Vieng and its airfield, long held
by the Pathet Lao. They also told
of the capture of Ban Namone farther
south on Route 13.

b. The neutralist, rightist Lao
Army, and Meo tribal guerrilla forces
hope to sustain their coordinated
clearing action until remaining Pathet
Lao pockets in this area north of
Vientiane are cleared.

c. Such operations in Laos
have often been followed by a Com-
munist riposte. We have a few in-
dicators that something could be up
on the Communist side, but these are |
so far very tenuous indeed.

d. One such indicator is a
stand down in the Last two weeks on
the Hanoi-controlied military com-
munications net in Laos which could ;


13-00000

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[i “point: to a change in the disposition
// or strength of Communist forces.
Other enemy nets are normal.

! e. There are also unconfirmed
reports of North Vietnamese troop

“reinforcements in the Plaine des
Jarres. i
(INTERCEPTS) ee

3. South Vietnam a. According to press reports,
; Viet Cong attacks on Sunday wiped
out two of the government's strategic
hamlets in the central highlands about

250 miles north of Saigon.

b. More than 1,000 inhabitants
in the hamlets--who are minority
tribesmen--are missing and possibly
have fled into the mountains. They
abandoned a significant quantity of
weapons to the Viet Cong.

Cc. These attacks not only sug-—
gest continued erosion of the govern-—
ment's programs to win over tribal
support, but also signal that stepped-
up Viet Cong pressure against the new
regime is spreading to the north.

(Cont'd)

For The President Only - Top Secret

Tn

13-00000

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d. This Communist effort is
aimed at discrediting the post-Diem
regime before the new leadership is
able to get its feet on the ground
and capture the loyalty and respect
of people in the provinces.

e. Although the Viet Cong still
continues to draw its main strength
from local recruiting, a steady stream
of cadre and training personnel con-
tinues to make its way to the south
from North Vietnam along the Laotian

- border.

f. We are now reasonably sure
that at least 784 persons infiltrated
from the north during 1963 and the
actual total may be much higher.

a. There have been no further
developments in Soviet preparations | ues
for a series of extended range ICBM
shots to the Pacific.

b. We probably should have had
by now an announcement closing an area
roughly 500 miles south of Johnston-=
Island to shipping. We suspect the
Soviets may have delayed it in order
not to appear to be rattling rockets
immediately after President Kennedy's
death.

(Cont 'd)

For The President Only - Top Secret .

IGA

13-00000

5. . USSR-Berlin

-C. The USSR may repeat last
year's performance of multiple fir-
Jf ings from a prototype operational
' complex at Tyuratam. Three such
launchings were attempted at five-
minute intervals in May 1963; two
succeeded. ;

t

a d. We also do not rule out the
possibility of firings from opera-
: tional sites as opposed to the test
; center at Tyuratam. We observed
a the first such firing on 22 October
from the Plesetsk site, roughly 400
miles northeast of Moscow.
{Includes INTERCEPTS) ©

. a. Embassy Bonn feels that .
the Soviet Union may be seeking at
least a’ temporary modus vivendi on

‘the autobahn without prejudicing
its juridical position, which can
be used to cause difficulties there
in the future.

b. The embassy bases this on
the Soviet replies to the Western.
{: notification to the USSR on 29
October regarding harmonized convoy
procedures-—-two oral statements on
16 November and a note of 21 Novem
ber.

For The President Only - Top Secret

lee

13-00000

6.

Brazil |

ead
“5
i
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“7
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2
1
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c. The Soviet note was designed
|; to make a record, showing that the

|i USSR exercises "control" of the auto- if
|) bahn and that the recent incidents | i;
resulted from US refusal to comply ii
with “existing procedures." 1

d. On the other hand, the Soviet se
procedures described in the oral re-
plies seem to reflect actual Allied '
practices, though there is enough
ambiguity to afford the USSR flexi-
bility in any future actions. |

a. The danger of an immediate
coup against the Goulart regime has
receded with the reported decision |
of Second Army Commander General
Bevilaqua not to join the coup plot-
ters.

b. Bevilaqua, who has been some-
thing of a storm center, may have
been asked to hand over his command
today as part of a series of reassign
ments made by President Goulart to
keep the military off balance.

ec. On the other side of the
coin, there is widespread belief
that Goulart himself will at some
time resort to a coup to establish
an authoritarian regime. .

wer _— (Cont'd)

For The President Only - Top Secret

13-00000

d. As one example Raneiri
Mazzilli, President of the Chamber
| of Deputies and next in line for the
“ presidency, told Ambassador Gordon
. on Saturday that he profoundly mis-~
, trusts Goulart's intentions and in-
tends to maintain the strictest con-~
,  gressional vigilance.

e. Our station in Brazil he-
lieves that Goulart is living in a
dream world. He seems either out
of touch with reality or very poorly
informed. Public. opinion is not
with him and the tradition that po-

litical power should only be trans— —
ferred constitutionally is very
strong in the army, coup reports
notwithstanding.

f£. The biggest danger from . :
this quarter is that the opposition
may resort to some illegal act, giv-
ing Goulart the excuse to take over.

~ For The President Only - Top Secret

13-00000

NOTES ©

A. Ethiopia-Congo\

Bi A Squest and is rescinding his earlier RR
‘decision ta withdraw the 1,743-man Ethiopian con- N \
tingent from the UN force in the Congo.

|) The Guinean ambassador J

in. “peiping fh S 1 fritially that Premier Chou En-
plai will leave in mid-December for a tour of some

‘Afro-Asian countries. He is to stop first in Egypt

| and then visit several other African countries includ-

ing Guinea, Ghana, and Mali, ‘Chou would be the high-

est ranking Chinese leader ever to visit Africa, (IN

( TERCEPTS)

|
Cae two good sources “have reporte |
7

‘dent Sukarno’ plans to go to Manila this
“Thursday to confer with Philippine President Macapagal.) .
No reasons have been advanced for the visit, Our Wea
\:chargé guesses that it is an Indonesian move to head © 1
, off Philippine recognition of Malaysia.

‘Venezuela : “The terrorists have struck again, this
; “ftring six US~owned oil and gas pipelines near
| the northeastern city of Puerto la Cruz. -The elec- hee
|;tions are still on for Sunday,and we look for a maxi- {

‘| mum effort from the pro-Castro terrorist organization,

>.

(° We now have word that 49 members of the Soviet
-Embassy, including dependents, left Leopoldville on
Saturday aboard a Sabena flight for Brussels. They
are expected to book onward passage for Moscow. It is GQ
reported that the Congolese will allow one Russian :
without diplomatic status to stay to look after Soviet J

Property: _ =~

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PERN) .
CONTROL NO. _[SC-NLJ-085/93 _B]

TOP_SECRET

(Security Classification)

NLJ 94-424 - (#5)

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Document # a §

THE PRESIDENT’S
INTELLIGENCE CHECKLIST

ISSUED BY THE
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY |

27 NOVEMBER 1963
TOP SECRET

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Cuba

Syria-Iraq

a. Cuban tents are now begin-
ning to appear at a number of the
SAM sites--further evidence that
training of Cubans in operation of
SAM equipment has begun as scheduled,

b,. . High-altitude photography
taken this past weekend shows these
tents at six SAM sites in western
Cuba, These sites are in addition

to those at which we noted the pres=
- ence of Cuban. interpreters ‘as we.

‘,to pressure from Iraq and have ex-_.
.pelled Iraqi Baathist extremist Ali
;Saadi. He has gone to Athens ;

_ reported on Saturday.

ce. This training should be com-
pleted by next May or June.

d. Just before the training
started, we noted a series of moves
involving the relocation of eight of

_the SAM sites,

e. The purpose, it appears,
was to shift the mission of the sys-
tem from an area defense of the
island as a whole to point defense
of specific targets, particularly
Havana. Cincludes INTERCEPT!

“a, “Syrian. Jeaders have “acceded ~

For The President Only - Top Secret

wR

Sa

13-00000

PARTY STRENGTHS IN TURKISH ELECTIONS

a. °: of tora: vote?

1963 Local Election

1961 General iection

sy9 Republican Peoples Perry (RPP)

3 45.9 Justice Party (JP)

New Turkey Porty (NTP)

Republican Peasont Nation Porty (RPNP)
Nation Porty (NP)

Independents (or unreported vote)

Turkish Lodor Party (TLP)

coe ee


13-00000 .

3.

Turkey

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b. This is an earnest of the
desire of moderate Baathist leaders
in Damascus to preserve workable re-
: lations with Iraq, partly as a
i counterbalance to Cairo and partly
to preserve what remains of Baathist
influence in Baghdad,

* .  ¢. Intercepts show at least
some Syrian troops will remain in
Iraq at the request of Iraqi offi-
cials,

d. Preparations had been under
-way for these forces to withdraw;
retention of at least some in Iraq
is another sign that both regimes
hope to preserve something of the
relations they once had.
(Includes INTERCEPTS)

a. Prime Minister Inonu's
coalition government is about to
collapse.

; b. It has long been shaky.
Last week it was dealt a severe set-—
back when the opposition Justice

Party, heir of the Menderes regime,
emerged from local elections as the
country's majority party.

USK

-- (Cont'd)

For The President Only - Top Secret ©

C16R

. om ~
INDEX OF NET AGRICULTURE PRODUCTION —. .
19$0 = 108

-
Praiiminsty Estimate -""

Progrem to plow up and
TOTAL POPULATION OF THE USSR plone fallow lends.
1950 = 100

988
Machine-tractor
stations abolished.

1987-58
Progrom to “catch up" with
US tn meot ond milk output.
1955-36
Corn program,

1954-56
New Londs program.

1953-55
Procurement prices raised.

1954 1955 1961 1962,

1959 1963

1951 1952). «1953 1956 1957 1958 1960

SOVIET GRAIN PRODUCTION

(million metric tons)

+

ALi_GRAINS WHEAT ALONE™
Soviet Official US Estimate Soviet Official US Estimate
. 1958 re 125 7 63

1959 126 100 69 55

1960 134 100 < a 46

1961 . 137 us 67 55

1962 "148 us 71 7

1963 -— 100-110 _ 42-46

estorl 20 CONFIOENTIAL

a en

13-00000 -

4,

USSR wheat

~'c. Now the Peasant Barty, one
of the three in the coalition, has
voted to pull out, and probably will
do so as soon as Inonu gets back from
Washington, Another partner, the
Turkey Party, has wanted to pull out,
and apparently has stayed in only ,
-. because of pressure from the.military.

d. A new coalition is at least

' a theoretical possibility, with a

| mumber of independents taking the
. place of the Peasant Party, but
., Inonu probably would not be prime

' minister, : ;
e. The military are working 6K
, for an all-party coalition. This

' way, they feel, they could keep

_ tabs on the Justice Party, but the
_ Justice Party is pot likely to buy
' this arrangement.

f£. As matters now stand, the

. military would take over the govern-
' ment itself before it would let the
Justice Party form one,

a. Soviet President Brezhnev
| has told the Iranian prime minister
‘> that. the decision to buy wheat abroad
|, Was taken to avoid lowering reserves,

which he has described as ample for
one or two years. We think the sit-
uation is more serious. than that.

so ~

For The President Only - Top Secret

elEK

13-00000

- evidence suggests that Soviet grain.

fertilizer progran.

-over the absence of bread.

b. This year's harvest was
clearly very bad. The weight of

stockpiles have been far drawn down
this year and are not sufficient to
protect the country from another
poor harvest.

¢c. Our estimate is that total
grain production each year since
1958 has been well below that year's
level of 125 million tons, while
the population has continued to grow.
'd. We have seen from intercepts.
signs of extensive slaughtering in
anticipation of fodder shortages
during the winter. This runs counter)
to Khrushchev's oft-stated plan to
build up the livestock industry.

. @. We have also noted that
the extensive wheat purchases weaken
the USSR's gold reserves at a time
when it hopes to expand its imports
of machinery for a huge chemical

f£. In addition, we have seen
signs of stringent measures to pro-
tect the grain. supply, accompanied
by public discontent in some areas

ams

For The President Only - Top Secret

WbK

iN

Oo (Cont ta)

13-00000

‘ a. Peiping last week con-
tracted for some 300,000 tons of
wheat (cost about $20,000,000) from
Argentina.

- 5, Communist
China -
Argentina

b. This adds to the 1,000,000
tons just contracted for with Aus-
tralia, but is still far below.
the 5,000,000 tons the Chinese have
normally imported in recent years.
Additional suppliers will be hard
to find. — '

ec. A large sale, apparently
involving some $56,000,000 worth
of meat, is apparently also being
arranged, This is interesting, —
not only for the sizeable foreign
exchange outlay, but also for the
concern it shows for improving the
diet of the mainland's urban pop-
ulation.

NSA

dad. The same caloric value
could be obtained from grains at
a fraction of this cost,
(INTERCEPTS throughout)

For The President Only - Top Secret

WAR

13-00000

6.

7.

Czechoslovakia-|,

USSR

Cambodia

{* bs. ~Novotny's background of

For The President Only - Top Secret

a. Czech President and party
‘boss Novotny has gone to Moscow,
evidently for economic talks, judg-
ing by the composition of his dele-
gation.

Stalinist excesses have put him on
the wrong side of Khrushchev. They
also have given rise to control
problems, particularly in the. frac-
.tious Slovak party where pressures
for liberalization have made their
mark,

ec. Party problems and Novotny's
leadership may. thus also come under
review.

d. A curious sign of the times
is the fact that, although President |
Novotny is in Moscow, the presidential |
flag has. remained up "at the official i”
residence. It might simply have been |
an oversight, but the symbolism will  ,
not be lost to the people in Prague.

a. Cambodia, as expected,. has
asked the Geneva co-chairman to call
the Geneva conference participants
‘together (in Djakarta) to discuss
measures "to ensure the internation- '
ally guaranteed and controlled neu- /_
tralization of Cambodia." -
(Gont 'd)

UFR

NNER.

13-00000 |

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13 SEPTEMGER 1963

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13-00000 | —

b. Last year when this came
up, the French were inclined to go
along with some such idea.

“ c. They have indicated to us_.
'* that they still feel Sihanouk should |:
{| mot be turned down, and Sihanouk is |
-' gbviously hopeful that they will
4 exert. pressure on us and the British. :

] | |
d. Sihanouk seems to be hoping (| /U&K
| for at least a rump session attended

ms by conferees who are willing to do

his bidding.

a. An Egyptain military mes—
Sage reporting to Cairo on operations |
in Yemen this past weekend indicated |
4. that poison gas (referred to as
; “‘ghurab" in Egyptian military traf-
fic) was used against royalist tribes-|
men.in the northwest. :

8. Egypt-Yemen<

b. This is the first time we
have noted its employment since
last summer, although another. inter-
cept shows that the Egyptian com-
mand has continued to authorize its
use. .

8a

ont 'd)

For The President Only - Top Secret


13-00000 .

.
®

c. It is basically a tear gas,
but in such highly concentrated form
that it has. caused the death of a num-
ber of Yemenis.

(INTERCEPTS throughout)

’ a. Opposition leftist Congo-
lese exiles, operating from Brazza-
ville across the river, are reported
to be plotting to assassinate Congo-
lese Premier Adoula and some of his
ministers. : ,

9. Congo

b. It is supposed to happen
sometime after 8 December.

c. Meanwhile, agents are being
infiltrated with money to buy off
opposition to a takeover immediately
thereafter by radical nationalist
Gbenye.

d. Adoula's government already.
knows that this group of left-wing
subversives, which now numbers about
50, is being helped by the Communist
bloc.

e. It operates fairly freely
in the loose circumstances which now
obtain in Brazzaville. Its activitie

may soon become a serious source. of
friction between the two countries,

Rene ‘For The President Only - Top Secret C18

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NOTES

With 85 percent of the vote in, Pak
Democratic Republican Party has alréady
‘won van absolute majority in the National Assembly

elections held yesterday.

-can

Enezuela

"The country's three major presidential
idates .were the targets of unsuccessful assassi-

‘nation attempts yesterday as Communist-led terror-

ists: moved into’ the. final week of desperate attempt

|:to wreck next Sunday’s elections.
(ficial was also the intended recipient of a "Christ-

‘}mas package" containing a bomb.

| terrorists.

_ Indonésia-Philippines

=

A US Embassy -of-

Yesterday a US
‘rubber warehouse was set afire and destroyed by

, We have what is about as
\ "we can get that Sukarno will be. go-
ing to Manila as reported yesterday,

A reliable

source tells us Sukarno has sent advance word to

two of his favorite Philippine girl friends that he
will be arriving on 28 November.

ort

FE

~Indonesia—Malaysia_ A

yesterday...

Be)
‘was shot down near the North Borneo border,:
| ish Intelligence tells us the story is concocted;
no aircraft are reported missing.

-Indonesian-inspired press re-_.
claimed a British military’ plane

Brit-

The alert: in ‘the Cuban military which we
noted immediately after President Kennedy" s death

has been lifted.

(INTERCEPT)

For The President Only - Top Secret

yor

(Cont 'd)

EERE O NY |

13-00000

Cambodia , ’ Caiabodia: is ‘cutting its diplomatic rep-
Sentation abroad to a bare minimum as an austerity .
measure following curtailment of US aid, Sihanouk

_.{ announced last week that this would be done, saying
‘-\that missions in Communist countries would not be™ ¢
|affected since those countries "protect" Cambodia. (6
‘\Curiously enough, among the missions being closed

‘|\down are those in New Delhi and Rangoon, (includes
(INTERCEPTS)

ie Pravda this morning reports on Gromyko' s |
"With President. Johnson, giving top play to

Senator Fulbright's remarks about the desirability
rf a, meeting between the President and Khrushchev. :

O16

For The President Only -Top Secret

I.
Il.

DOCUMENTS OF INTEREST

‘(Sensitive INTERCEPT)

De Gaulle on NATO strategy...

Common Market official appraises President Johnson.

For The President Only - Top Secret

198

wt . .

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copy OF

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(Security Classification)


13-00000

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Case # NLS ~
Document #

THE ‘PRESIDENT’S ©
INTELLIGENCE CHECKLIST

ISSUED BY THE
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY

ie.

28 NOVEMBER 1963
TOP SECRET '

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13-00000

a. The country's six presiden-
tial candidates have swung into the
‘home stretch of their campaigns.

So have the terrorists, who are still
trying hard to sabotage next Sunday's

vote.

° b. There is little doubt that
the terrorist effort has all-out
Cuban support. Castro looks on
Venezuela as his prime target in
Latin America and would do. everything
in his power to prevent President
Betancourt from finishing his term.

1. Venezuela is

ec. So far, the terrorists have
tried to intimidate the candidates
by harassing political rallies, bomb-
ing their party headquarters in
various. cities, and threatening them
‘with assassination. They have tried
to scare voters from the polls by
creating a general atmosphere of law-
lessness. Kidnappings, like the one _
yesterday morning of Colonel Chenault, :
are part of the pattern, oy

SK
ad. The government counterattack i
is under the personal direction of

Betancourt, who is as determined to
finish out his term and turn over

power to a freely-elected successor
as Castro is to prevent this. a

cee _ ; (Cont'd)

For The President Only - Top Secret

vi84

[Sc-rue t-o86 3 Ali)

13-00000

2.

South Vietnam

e. Yesterday it was announced
that the carrying of firearms by
anyone outside the. security forces
was forbidden until the elections
are over.

f. Some 3,000 reservists have
_ been called up to protect the polis.
“Leaves are being cancelled and all
security forces are maintaining a
high state of alert.

a. We now have a fuller ac-
count from official US sources of
the Viet Cong attack on two mountain
villages mentioned in Tuesday's ~

. Checklist.

b. This account makes it clear
‘that the earlier press. versions,
‘which spoke of 1,000 missing vil-
“Tagers, were highly colored.

ce. Our present information
‘is that the attack, in company
strength, was successfully repulsed,
The Viet Cong suffered some 30 cas-
ualties; government losses were six
killed, three wounded and 39 missing.

(Cont 'd)

For The President Only - Top Secret

13-00000

d. As is usual in these cases,
the villagers began to trickle back
- once the Viet Cong left.

e. This episode aside, we see
‘a number of indications that the
Communists will try to sustain the
-higher level of military activity
“they have kept up since the coup.

_ £. The Communist radio has
called for more attacks in an effort
to destroy strategic hamlets and
"develop" Viet Cong forces. In sup-

_ port of this, Viet Cong communica-
tions traffic has been unusually -
heavy and has involved a large vol-

-ume of high priority traffic and
special alert patterns.

“(Includes INTERCEPTS)

a. We have some reason to be-
' lieve that the Israelis are develop-
' ing a surface-to-surface missile of
\ their own.

. b. A reliable clandestine
source says that an Israeli repre-
sentative is trying to buy US stable
platforms for the inertial guidance
system of a missile with a range of
300-350 miles... He wanted delivery
in six to twelve months. There have
been several earlier reports that

N&R
ee meee - ee _ 7 (cont'a)

-

For The President Only - Top Secret

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13-00000

tla ee

4. USSR-India

oe te eet ‘
YON

Israel is buying missile components
in the US and. England.

{ c. We think this missile pro-
gram is independent of another
Israeli venture: Tel Aviv's con-
,. tract with a French firm, Marcel
‘\' * Dassault, for the development of a
system which will be able to deliver
a 1,600-pound warhead to a maximum
range of 300 miles.

'- @. Moscow has promised the
Indians to ship the equipment for
one surface-to-air (SAM) training
site early next month.

b. The Soviets had agreed to
provide eight SAM sites. The rest
will probably not be sent until the
Indians have learned to handle the
equipment about a year from now.

c. As we noted last Sunday, |
there are some Indians who have
doubts about the Soviet willingnes
to live up to the letter of their
military aid agreements with New
Delhi.

Ne a es a (Cont'd)

For The President Only - Top Secret

aN

7 (Seniur-ossp> Ble)

13-00000

5.

Burma

I oe (ont ta)

d. They call into question
'; especially the contract. for the
‘|! Soviets to set up in India a facility
, to assemble MIG fighters--an enter-
prise which has appeared somewhat
1 impractical from the beginning.

e. We do note, however, that
Soviet aircraft specialists working
on the project were still in New
»: Delhi in early November.

'. (INTERCEPTS)

a. Ne Win has followed up his
action in breaking off talks with
the Burmese Communists by arresting .
over 700 of their number.

-b. Ne Win had been trying to
lure the faction-ridden Communists
into a "national front." However,
he found the demands of the Commu-—
nist negotiators, some of whom had
only just returned from long exile
in Peiping, to be impossible.

¢. This will probably lead to
renewed fighting between the army . an
and Communist guerrillas in the hills. Nv

d. More trouble can also be !
expected from the rebellious ethnic
minorities like the Karens and the

Reet

a6

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Kachins, whose demands for greater .
autonomy have been rejected in Ran-
goon,

_@. US officials on the spot
doubt that the army, hobbled by poor
'' leadership and its many political

' | * responsibilities, will be any more
| effective in dealing with the prob-.
lem this time than in past anti-
insurgency campaigns,

a. Sihanouk has signed an ac-
cord setting up regular air service
between Cambodia and Communist China.
A similar agreement with Hanoi is_

in the works,

6. Cambodia

b. These lines are significant
largely as gestures by Peiping and.
Hanoi to bolster Sihanouk's sense
of importance. Neither would be a
paying proposition commercially and
both could flounder before the first
paying passenger enplanes unless. ;
rights to overfly Laos can be obtained.
(Includes INTERCEPTS) ©

a. It looks more and more as"

if Papandreou, who squeaked through

to a narrow upset victory over ex- !
premier Karamanlis in the 3 November

' elections, will not be able to form
a government. <

7. Greece

For The President Only - Top Secret

[BR

(Eco -wer-os¢ (23 ali) &

13-00000

b. His party does not have a
parliamentary majority, so he needs
support from either Karamanlis' _

' party on the right or from the Com-
i munists, The military has apparentl
‘" been pressing Karamanlis to withhold

{ that support. He does not need much
| urging.

ec. The military has also let

it be known that it would consider _

Papandreou's acceptance of Communist

support as sufficient reason for a
coup d'etat. -

a. In addition to this military
string-pulling, the royal family is
also meddling-~-not for the first
time. Should Papandreou fail to
form a government, the palace intends
to pass the mandate to Karamanlis,

- believing that he too would fail.

e. This would then open the
way, the palace calculates,for a .
compromise premier more amenable to-
palace influence.

8. Brazil a, President Goulart and his

opponents are keeping political ten-
sions in Brazil high.

For The President Only - Top. Secret

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(Ke-rjeT-O86 93 BD)

13-00000

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b. Comments by Goulart, that
"social disaster" is’ sure if his
program is not passed soon, have drawn
sharp rejoinders from moderate and
‘| geonservative figures and have fed
‘| vightist coup ‘plotting.

c. Strains are also growing in
the military following the arrest

of a young officer who refused last
month to execute an order to arrest
Governor Lacerda, a leading conserva-
tive spokesman and likely presidentia
candidate.

We

For The President Only - Top Secret

SC-WLT- O8€ [93 PIF]

sed Hoe Cnn ia 'a Pee ees nage 6.14

13-00000

NOTES

{ Simultaneous: activity this morning on the
tam missile test range, satellite tracking nets.
sand. SovietsSpace™ ‘support-ships in the Atlantic prob-.
‘ably represented an attempt to launch an unmanned
‘garth satellite. The launch apparently failed on
‘the pad or was cancelled at the last moment, It

‘may be tried again soon. (INTERCEPTS)

A. -USSR

‘ Rumanian officials are about to award *
a TM,-Ferguson and Company of Cleveland, Ohio, .
a $32 million contract to help build the ‘huge Galati :)
‘steel plant. The Rumanians are pressing ahead with:
this project in the face of Soviet efforts to dis-
courage it in various ways, most importantly by re-
fusing to underwrite the scheme to any substantial
degree.

[8K

C. Turkey The New Turkey Party has followed the :
:~ Peasant Party in withdrawing from the present three-.,

party coalition government, _ This means that the

coalition has to all intents and purposes collapsed, |

-even though no formal action will be taken until e

Prine Minister Inonu returns from Washington this ; fv 4

weekend.

i The Thai doctors attending Sarit now ad- |:
“the first time that the Prime Minister is in:
critical condition. Our doctor agrees with this
prognosis. US officials in Bangkok believe that the:
most likely successor would be Thanom Kittikachorn,
now deputy prime minister and minister of defense.
Thanom is not likely to last long, however, since he.
is neither a strong personality nor a figure of great :
: weight in the military hierarchy. :
ce oe so ~~ (Cont'd)

F Th P ident Only - Top S t ee
or The Presiden nly - Top Secre Ké ,
7 Sc-niey-cxe (93 Bl)

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_Indonesia-Philip ines\ © 7 ‘philippine foreign office
fa “everything was set, as we noted yess
(| terday, for Sukarno to visit Manila today. This .
‘) official says, however, that the visit was postponed |
as a result of Macapagal's decision to attend Presi- |
dent Kennedy" s funeral.

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contracts with US companies in an attempt to smoke
us. out on the question of US aid policy toward Indo-'

\; Tribal. refugees from Rwanda, now in,
7 =bent on making trouble between the two |

‘countries. Some 3,000 of their number were reported ‘|
yesterday to be moving toward the frontier. They
have little military capability, but blood could

flow and require UN intervention.

|
i
if.

By As a further token of the withdrawal
- Vv. “diplomats we have noted that the Soviet
diplomatic communications link between Moscow and
_,| Leopoldville was shut down last ‘Saturday. (INTER-

CEPTS) | et ~ von cms em yaaa

- For The President Only - Top Secret \ [AR

(Se -rat-oss/#3 8/9

ROUTING TOP SECRET

NAME AND ADDRESS

| 2 |

w

DATE (Security Classification)

[|
|
|

CONTROL NO. —

| 3 |
[— Tacrion
a
[comment]
| [CONCURRENCE J
REMARKS:

[RECT REPLY
ISPATCH

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TOP SECRET

(Security Classification)


THE PRESIDENT’S .

INTELLIGENCE CHECKLIST

ISSUED BY THE
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY

fH

29 NOVEMBER 1963
TOP SECRET

13-00000

»

_ NORTHERN
. IMPACT
AREA

¢ ;
SOUTHERN
(MPACT
AREA

\ (6A

TOP SECRET

. 7 a ‘DINAR
6311.28 2
om a eel — eee —m —_— — men —— -—

1. USSR a. TASS has finally announced t

eres | the
| January.

b. Since our last mention of
this subject, we have picked up indi-
cations that some of the firings

this time may be made from operational |
launchers rather than from the Ty-
uratam rangehead.

-C©. There has been unusual
traffic on the strategic rocket :
forces communications link between
the operational site at Plesetsk
-and Moscow similar to that which
preceded the firing last October
from Plesetsk to Kamchatka.

d. In addition, some inter-
cepted telephone conversations have
implied that the firing ranges would
be different this time.

e. We also have some fragmentary.
evidence that the forthcoming firings
may be the ooject of a special ;
tracking or detection project.
‘(Includes INTERCEPTS)

| ORR
For The President Only - Top Secret


of National Liberation (FALN) will
probably increase their efforts to
disrupt the constitutional succession,
which would be the first in Venezuela's
history.

£. Meanwhile, in the wings are
; ol the military leaders who may well
a5 ysintervene if they find Betancourt's
/ O''successor not to their liking.

4 g. Though President Betancourt

Vl has taken personal charge of the

7) ' search to locate Colonel Chenault
and those responsible for his kid- —
napping, his efforts so far have
come to nought. The only news has
been from a Caracas editor who had
a call yesterday morning from a
woman saying the colonel was safe.

3.  Cuba- a. The discovery of a large
Venezuela cache of weapons of Cuban origin,
announced by Venezuelan authorities
yesterday, provides the best evidence
at to date of major Cuban support for
Latin American subversives.

b. There is definite proof
to support the Venezuelan clain.
The three tons of weapons found in-
clude light automatic rifles and

(Cont'd)

For The President Only - Top Secret VER


submachine guns identified as among
those shipped to Cuba from Belgium
; in 1959 and 1960. There were also’
x ; mortars, bazookas, recoilless rifles,
and ammunition of US manufacture.

ec. Communist documents seized
by Venezuelan authorities earlier |
-this month reveal that the equipment
was destined for the Venezuelan
Communists’ paramilitary arm, the
Armed Forces of National Liberation
(FALN).

d. The cache was found on l
November on a beach in Falcon State
in the north, scene of the most .-

‘active guerrilla effort. The Vene-
_ Zuelan government assumes that the
weapons were sent from Cuba by sea.

e. Caracas will lay formal
charges concerning the arms cache
before a special meeting of Latin

' America Foreign Ministers scheduled
for December.. After that it will
ask that the Council of the Organi-
zation of American States be con-
voked for consultation on the matter.

For The President Only - Top Secret


4. Communist
China -
Afro-Asia

a. More information on Chinese
Premier Chou En-lai's Afro-Asian
swing is beginning to leak out.

b. The Egyptians are expect-
ing him on 8 December, according to
the Algerian ambassador to Cairo.

c. The press in Mali says Chou,
accompanied by Foreign Affairs Min-
ister Chen Yi, will visit Algeria,
Mali, Ghana, Guinea, Somalia, Tangan-
yika,and Albania.

d. The Pakistanis have just
informed our ambassador that they
have agreed to a state visit by the
two Chinese in mid-February at the
Padal ull yp eae two month tour.

(les aoe

5. Cuba a) a oe peal ‘London ‘shipping
firm says it is willing to abandon
its Cuban trade,

b. Embassy London has been ad-
vised by Papadakis and Co., Ltd..
_ that it is prepared to keep its two
: ships involved in the trade from
me calling at Cuban ports when their
\< charters run out next January.

(Cont 'd)

TS

For The President Only - Top Secret


c. Papadakis is probably ask-
ing the same price for its action as
, Basil Mavrolean did recently--removal
of its ships from the US blacklist.
Papadakis operates 19 ships totalling
more than 200,000 tons.

d. Mavrolean's vessels account
for almost half the present British
tonnage calling at Cuban ports. and
are the largest single element of
free world shipping to Cuba.

e. The outcome of Mavrolean's
offer is not yet clear.

For The President Only - Top Secret


NOTES

“cess in Winn ing control “of the unicameral legisla-
‘ture in Tuesday's elections improves prospects for
| Smooth operation of the new constitutional govern-.|
ment. However, political stability will still de-
‘pend on Pak's willingness to rule with moderation.
iff he interprets this victory as a popular mandate
ito pursue an aggressive. authoritarian program, he
could provoke serious unrest.

= nilippines |. President Sukarno's visit

{to rr for 4 December, according to ¥
tthe Indian ambassador to Djakarta. He assumes it IVAN
purpose is to head off Philippine recognition of ¥
|Malaysia. . ; 7

. Prime Minister Sarit appears to have
(taken a urther turn for the worst. Our station
‘reported yesterday that he was flown by helicopter 7

to a Bangkok hospital from his seaside villa. NBC

«ys? 53, ‘Police escorts described his condition as critical ;
ai? al? -and rumors that he had died spread through the city. | |

“Rwanda-Burundi( Prompt action by Burundi security
7 “appears to have halted the march of tribal

/refugees on Rwanda that we reported yesterday. .

' There is little doubt that the refugees, who carried
| only a handful of modern arms and were poorly organ-

.ized, would have been badly mauled by Rwandan } troops .
oat they | had ‘crossed the frontier. _

NER

cae _— . oe a

(Cont'd)
U/SR

For The President Only - Top Secret .

Colombia || Pro-Castro members of the terrorist
'National-Liberation Army (ELN) are believed respon ‘|
sible for the recent wave of bombings in Colombia’ s'
| major cities. At least a dozen bombs were set off.
in Bogota during the last two nights. Two of the
bombs failed to explode after being placed close to |

“

the residence of the chief of US ‘Naval | ‘Mission ee

For The President Only - Top Secret


ROUTING
NAME AND ADDRESS

TA/EPC

DATE INITIAL

n

PREPARE REPLY
RECOMMENDATIO
RETUR

IRECT REPLY

ACTION
ISPATCH

APPROVAL

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irr

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COPY
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SEES iAETT DBT AIT ATT AG «mewew sree awe 000 awe seer


13-00000 ;

oo RRS SO ies aa J WBRARYS 200 la ee

THE PRESIDENTS = =
INTELLIGENCE CHECKLIS

‘ISSUED BY THE
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY

30 NOVEMBER 1963
TOP SECRET:

es to. o£ Lor: BE
Case # hth , “Le .
Document # ; ‘A Arn

13-00000

a. Election campaigning ended
at midnight, but boosters for the
several candidates continued to mill
about streets of Caracas in defiance
of terrorist threats to shoot anyone
who ventured out for the next three
days. :

1.. Venezuela

b. The terrorists, it seems,
were all but drowned out by the car-
nival air. .

vi _c, The FALN, meanwhile, is

|: trying to. bargain off Colonel Chenault
' - for as high a price as it can, de- |
' manding variously release of all its
! Comrades, of all women detained by
the government, and of the six hi-

. jackers who have been returned from
i. €rinidad to custody in Venezuela.

a. The Chinese Communists
will have nothing to do with the
idea of bilateral talks with the.
Soviets under present circumstances.

2. Sino-~Soviet '('

dispute. Jil.

b. Chinese party Secretary
General Teng Hsiao-ping, one of the
select few in Peiping's ruling cir- |
cle, recently told a group of visit-

. ing Latin Americans that such a meet-
ing could accomplish nothing.

be _ Se ee (Cont td)

For The President Only - Top Secret

IER

13-00000

c. Teng put the issue of
another meeting of world Communist
parties even deeper into limbo by
saying that Peiping would be in favor
only when assured of the support of
a majority of’ the world parties.

d. Moscow, for its part, has
- apparently stopped thinking about
- another gathering of world Communist
party representatives.

e. The feelers it put out
after the conclusion of the test-
ban treaty were received coldly by
some of the fraternal parties. They
felt such a meeting could only make
matters worse with the Chinese.

£. Indeed, Peiping saw this
to be Moscow's purpose, and when
' the idea failed to take hold,the
Chinese took it to be a setback for
Khrushchev personally.

g. Their reaction to Khrush-
chev's subsequent call for a cessa-
tion of open argument was to press
the offensive, and this they have
been doing in roundly abusive terms
since.

Cont 'd)

el Ma fee


13-00000

TOP SECRET DINAR

6 strtemece 1962

33881

~

Area of Main Map

OoFR

NEA

Sk

OK HOT

Aallistéc Missile Subanei
in the Patrapaylovsh aren
S23. Class
Conversions

|
As ta i" _
Submarine Ballistic Missile Launches in the Soviet Far East


13-00000

h. The forthcoming Afro-Asian
visits by Chou En-lai and Chen Yi
have awakened suspicions that the
Chinese are in hot pursuit of a
second Bandung-type conference--a
more rewarding enterprise from their
: point of view.

: a. Yesterday and on Thursday,
“we: detected what we believe to have
~been operational training launches -
of standard 350

3. USSR

b. Two and possibly four mis-
siles were fired from submarines
based in the Petropavlovsk area to
the impact area at Klyuchi.

c. Seven similar instances
have been detected previously this
year, and there may have been others.
“(CINTERCEPTS)

a. The Soviet Bloc will soon
gain an important propaganda outlet 7

in Nairobi, communications hub for
' East Africa.

4 . Kenya ~
Communist Bloc

b. Plans are for a state-—
controlled news agency to be set up
by the Kenyan government when it

Sor The President Only - Tap Secret

~


13-00000

achieves independence on 12 Decen-
ber. This will fall under the juris-
diction of communications minister
Oneko, who has well developed con-
*tacts within the Soviet Bloc.

c. TASS has already agreed to
equip the new agency, and Kenyan re-
quests for further financial and
tecHyncal help are being discussed
in Prague and Moscow.

d. Kenyan journalists have’
been training in Prague and, on re~
turn, will find ready employment in
the new agency.

a. Czech President Novotny
.| returned from Moscow on Thursday
| after signing a renewal (for another
{| 20 years) of the treaty of friend-
i ship and mutual assistance.

5. Czechoslovak
USSR

: b. He apparently got little
i else out of Khrushchev. The final
communique was conspicuously cool.

c. There were no Soviet con-
'; cessions, nor were there the usual
: references to Czech "progress" or
to public support for Novotny | s
leadership.

For The President Only - Top Secret 7 /R

13-00000

“4 .

6. South Vietnam

‘

"where a young girl went up in flames.

a. The first suicide by burn-
ing to occur under the new regime
was witnessed today by bystanders
at a crowded intersection in Saigon

b. <A note she left behind said
she was protesting the war of Viet-—
-mamese against Vietnamese. At the
intersection are three villas which
house the ICC delegations.

c. There were no Buddhist
overtones.

d. Some think the Viet Cong

encouraged her, but if they did,
they did not write her script. They
would have said it is the Americans

who are fighting the Vietnamese.

: VER

For The President Only - Top Secret CS

13-00000

South Vietnam
ARMY CORPS BOUNDARIES

Quang Tei
ws,

“*Da Nang

~ et tuaie Nam

7 Corps ss

H

Quang Ngai

H Corps

°
~~ Kontum

te

“bleins .
Pleika*  aa ne’ 7°, “te Nhon

: P “on Cau
\. A cnet eo’, 3 g

B O, DIA nN So
| = .

‘Ban Me Thuot ae

2. eha Trang
HH Corps Datst 4
* Loc Ninh - “

os 4

At y ro
‘PHNOM PENH® SM, Fah 7 *s _- “Phian Rang.
\ an . to ~ .
4 ; ; * ~ a oe SOUTH
Chiu Phu” , SN, 8 “Phan Thiet CHINA SEA.

» Capital Military District
ste My Tho,
rte. te eVung Tau

4s ecm
< aN Corps:

‘. ‘Islede ~~ - re :
ee ‘Phu Quoc pci Gi Gise” Can Thx ae °
- . oe: . ian ee
* a a oe
GULF QF SU a a

. af aaa

SIAM Quan Long. "Bac Lieu

(Ca Mau} << ie

SECRET

STATUTE MILES
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13-00000

‘\to Manila. The Cambodian ambassador in Djakarta has

NOTES

South Vietnam Plans are now afoot to shuffle
South Vietnam's Corps commanders so that General _
Khanh, considered by General Harkins to’ be the best
of the lot, will take over in the crucial delta (IV
Corps) area. General Dinh, the ambitious Minister .
of Security, is. still resisting pressure to relin-
quish command of the III Corps area, and is not in-
volved in the current shuffle.

Cuba-USSR There are about 8,000 Soviets in Cuba,

5,000 of these military, according to a bloc offi-
cial in close touch with Soviets in Havana. The
figures are close to our own estimate of 4,000 to

7,000. Some- withdrawals continue. ;

Sihanouk seems “te feel" ‘that ‘cut- *
to spite his face was not enough.

ambodia-vietnam | la

fas the US does not ‘Silence the Khmer Serei radio.
South Vietnam will'cut Cambodia's primary access to
‘international markets via the Mekong river if he

does... (INTERCEPT)

iO Lk

j cambodia \~ Sukarno apparently plans to go
‘Cambodia-on an. official visit following his trip

advised Phnom Penh that Sukarno plans to leave for
Manila on 6 December and directly from there for
Phnom Penh on the 10th. He will stay three days.

(INTERCEPT) ;


13-00000

TESto

Coal and Steel Communit Coal and Steel community ™
7; meMdE fir next meeting on Monday will prob- - |:
fably vote to ‘raise community steel tariffs by an i
‘average of nine- percent, This would bring the tar-
'iffs of each member into line with Italy's, the
| highest in the community. ‘Only the Dutch oppose the’

‘

E.

GIMPEX, trading arm and -
/source™-of--f Lor Jgagan's party, has worked out a/
deal to supply the country's major electric utility.
jnext year with fuel oil from Cuba. Texaco and Esso:
}have been the traditional suppliers, .

G. “Br

!
i

“A press report from Rio cites "well ina)
to the @ffect that Goulart plans
soon to , invite Mrs. Kennedy to visit Brazil so that

‘Brazil can pay her the honors which it had planned
to render the late President.

'
H
1

A three-man Cuban delegation is on

rocco to try to patch up relations |
| broken by Morocco because of Cuba's assistance to.
‘| the Algerians. in their border war. (INTERCEPTS)

For The President Only rep Secret

eo SEPTATE ONT TINT SET ST
. : . .

. eee mee _—
‘ wo .


13-00000

_ DOCUMENT OF INTEREST

The effect in France of the President's death.

4

For The President Only - Top Secret
EER TNT NUE PEE a ELT

layne
fees

; . , 4 ra
. , )
. i


