michel desmarais uosiskpaf41yahoocom guess warren buffet skilled lucky quite reasonable penalize mike necessarily skilled investor chosen 10000 people turned best investor course different story mike first choice play 9999 others comes best later mike likely skilled first one warren b mailing list maybe tell us indeed lucky believes skilled investors michel desmarais nhipljlbixengrorstedu mailtonhipljlbixengrorstedu behalf rich neapolitan sent saturday june 25 2005 717 pm faqeecsoregonstateedu subject uai luck skill preparing talk whether people like warren buffet really better investment analysis simply case thousands people analysis probably well poor simply chance possibly different experiment many people toss coin many times experiment probably throw lot heads thinking conceived following paradox suppose stranger named mike showed office told could pick stocks really well advised year made bundle would suspect knew since chance successful chance alone small suppose instead 10000 guys also showed said could pick stocks well case mike still good results would dismiss success probably due luck since 10000 people likely someone well paradox follows faith mike penalized simply people made claims id interested opinions matter rich ____________________________________________________ yahoo sports rekindle rivalries sign fantasy football httpfootballfantasysportsyahoocom wed 06 aug 2008 064207 0700 uai luck skill