answer forwarded mike roberts hou ect 08 09 2000 03 24 pm nathan mantua 08 09 2000 03 21 37 pm mike roberts hou ect ect cc subject pdo sure think really credible way determine happen pdo one factor provides insight climate outlook next months next seasons expected changes enso demonstrated skill forecasting latest observations show trends near normal enso conditions indication ocean temperatures likely bit warmer normal tropics true expect slight bias toward el nino like climate north america would tend go continuation cold phase pdo conditions best wishes nate mantua mrobert ect enron com wrote hi thinking moving cold phase pdo thanks mike roberts nathan mantua email mantua atmos washington edu 206 616 5347 fax 206 616 5775 dept atmospheric sciences jisao university washington box 354235 seattle wa 98195 4235 http www atmos washington edu mantua attl htm