revised hurricane forecast new hurricane forecast csu renowned hurricane soothsayer dr william gray team colorado state university scaled back forecast hurricane season still expect season active average seven rather eight hurricanes expected three expected intense rather four expected group prior forecast june 7 round numbers august forecast three named storms two hurricanes one intense major hurricane information obtained july 2000 indicates atlantic hurricane season 2000 likely less active four recent busy years 1995 1996 1998 1999 however total activity expected exceed long term average anticipated considerably active mean recent period 1970 1994 estimate 2000 season seven hurricanes average 5 7 11 named storms average 9 3 55 named storm days average 47 30 hurricane days average 24 three intense category 3 4 5 hurricanes average 2 2 six intense hurricane days average 4 7 hurricane destruction potential hdp 90 average 71 collectively net tropical cyclone activity year 2000 expected 130 long term average early august forecast update close gray dec 8 1999 april 7 forecasts somewhat lower recent june 7 update forecast lowered slightly june july global circulation conditions progressed quite favorably hurricane enhancement anticipated early june forecast gray said