david pennock sdfbizteyahooinccom call papers call participation second workshop prediction markets httpbetforgoodcomeventspm2007indexhtml june 11 june 12 2007 finalized san diego california conjunction acm conference electronic commerce ec07 submissions due march 23 2007 solicit submissions participants second workshop prediction markets held conjunction eighth acm conference electronic commerce ec07 workshop bring together researchers practitioners variety relevant fields including economics finance computer science statistics academia industry discuss state art today challenges prospects tomorrow field prediction markets prediction market financial market designed elicit forecast example suppose policymaker seeks forecast likelihood avian flu outbreak 2008 may float security paying 1 outbreak actually occurs 2008 hoping attract traders willing speculate outcome sufficient liquidity traders converge consensus price reflecting collective information value security case directly corresponds probability outbreak empirically prediction markets often yield better forecasts methods across diverse array settings past decade seen healthy growth field including sharp rise publications events creation journal prediction markets academic work includes mechanism design experimental laboratory studies field studies empirical analyses industry several companies including eli lilly corning hp microsoft google piloted internal prediction markets companies including consensuspoint inklingmarkets newsfutures tradesports base business providing public prediction markets prediction market software solutions consulting services growth field reflected fueled wave popular press articles books topic prominently surowieckis wisdom crowds workshop topics area prediction markets faces challenges regarding best design deploy analyze understand prediction markets one important research direction designing mechanisms prediction markets especially events combinatorial outcome space technical challenges direction include thin market problem computational issues order matching among others another notable issue manipulation prediction markets understanding effect manipulation especially important prediction markets find way assist individuals organizations making critical decisions prediction markets face social political obstacles including antigambling laws moral ethical concerns real constructed submissions rich set empirical experimental theoretical perspectives invited topics interest workshop include limited mechanism design gametheoretic analysis mechanisms behaviors dynamics decision markets combinatorial prediction markets market makers prediction markets manipulation prediction markets order matching algorithms computational issues prediction markets liquidity thin markets laboratory experiments empirical analysis prediction market modeling industry field experience simulations policy applications implications internal corporate applications legal ethical issues submission instructions research contributions report new unpublished research results ongoing research workshops proceedings considered nonarchival meaning contributors free publish results later archival journals conferences research contributions ten pages long doublecolumn ec07 proceedings format httpstietsiumicheduec07formattinghtml position papers panel discussion proposals also welcome papers submitted electronically organizing committee hg79didadszmogyahooinccom later midnight hawaii time march 23 2007 least one author accepted paper expected attend present findings workshop important dates march 23 2007 submissions due midnight hawaii time april 23 2007 notification accepted papers may 11 2007 final papers due june 11 12 2007 workshop date organizing committee yiling chen yahoo inc john ledyard california institute technology david pennock yahoo inc eric zitzewitz stanford university program committee incomplete kayyut chen hp ely dahan university california los angeles leslie fine hp lance fortnow university chicago lee giles pennsylvania state university robin hanson george mason university paul j healy ohio state university carnegie mellon university chris hibbert tracy mullen pennsylvania state university forrest nelson university iowa george neumann university iowa ryan oprea university california santa cruz rahul sami university michigan bernd skiera university frankfurt martin spann university passau paul c tetlock university texas austin justin wolfers university pennsylvania information information questions visit workshop website httpbetforgoodcomeventspm2007indexhtml email organizing committee hg79didadszmogyahooinccom thu 07 aug 2008 111721 0500 uai cfp second workshop prediction markets june 2007