scott ferson hmigvramascom daylong tutorial workshop entitled monte carlo introduction imprecise probabilities held wyndham hotel resort palm springs california sunday 5 december 2004 workshop review limitations monte carlo methods describe strategies escape limitations introduce notions interval valued probability imprecisely specified probability distributions review uses risk analysis introduce approaches interval probabilities probability bounds analysis dempstershafer theory robust bayes methods infogap theory theory imprecise probabilities also illustrate sparse incomplete imprecise data used fashion inputs without making strong untenable assumptions workshop held conjunction society risk analysis annual meeting dont register annual meeting participate workshop registration fee workshop 175 10 november 205 date site consult website httpwwwramascomippalmspringshtm information tue 05 aug 2008 173517 0800 uai workshop monte carlo introduction imprecise probabilities