Land Need Section 4 This section summarizes the residential and commercial land needs for Junction City. The commercial land needs are from the 2009 EOA with modifications to reflect the updated community vision. The park land needs are based on the City’s adopted plan: Master Plan (The “Parks Parks and Paths of Junction City: an Integrated Parks, Open Space and Trails Master Plan).” The residential land needs are based on an update to the City’s Comprehensive Plan Housing Element. This section addresses Goal 14 need factors 1 and 2 for commercial, park, and residential lands. 1: Goal 14 Need Factor 1 requires cities to demonstrate need to accommodate population growth: Factor 1: Demonstrated need to accommodate long range urban population growth, consistent with a 20-year population forecast coordinated with affected local governments; Goal 14, Factor 1 addresses the need for population growth and housing. Housing needs are a direct function of population growth, and are based on the Lane County population forecast. Moreover, the City must show some relationship between projected population growth and projected employment growth as it relates to employment land need. On June 17, 2009, the Lane County of Commissioners adopted a revised population forecast for Lane County and its cities. The coordinated 2029 population projection for Junction City is 12,922. Lane County contracted with Portland State University to prepare coordinated population projections for Lane County and each of its cities in 2008-09. The Center for Population Research recognized Junction City’s unique employment opportunities by projecting an average annual population growth rate of 3.5% for Junction City from 2010-2030. Employment growth is projected to increase most dramatically from 2010-2015, when the prison and hospital projects are scheduled for completion. As noted in the PSU Forecast (p. 33): City. The jobs that the new group quarters [the state prison “Junction and hospital] facilities will create are assumed to increase the demand for new housing. The expansion of infrastructure will support growth; planning housing development and additional employers will also contribute to higher growth than in the past.”
Section 4 Land Need This section summarizes the residential and commercial land needs for Junction City. The commercial land needs are from the 2009 EOA with modifications to reflect the updated community vision. The park land needs are based on the City’s adopted plan: “Parks Master Plan (The Parks and Paths of Junction City: an Integrated Parks, Open Space and Trails Master Plan).” The residential land needs are based on an update to the City’s Comprehensive Plan Housing Element. This section addresses Goal 14 need factors 1 and 2 for commercial, park, and residential lands. 1: Goal 14 Need Factor 1 requires cities to demonstrate need to accommodate population growth: Factor 1: Demonstrated need to accommodate long range urban population growth, consistent with a 20-year population forecast coordinated with affected local governments; Goal 14, Factor 1 addresses the need for population growth and housing. Housing needs are a direct function of population growth, and are based on the Lane County population forecast. Moreover, the City must show some relationship between projected population growth and projected employment growth as it relates to employment land need. On June 17, 2009, the Lane County of Commissioners adopted a revised population forecast for Lane County and its cities. The coordinated 2029 population projection for Junction City is 12,922. Lane County contracted with Portland State University to prepare coordinated population projections for Lane County and each of its cities in 2008-09. The Center for Population Research recognized Junction City’s unique employment opportunities by projecting an average annual population growth rate of 3.5% for Junction City from 2010-2030. Employment growth is projected to increase most dramatically from 2010-2015, when the prison and hospital projects are scheduled for completion. As noted in the PSU Forecast (p. 33): “Junction City. The jobs that the new group quarters [the state prison and hospital] facilities will create are assumed to increase the demand for new housing. The expansion of infrastructure will support growth; planning housing development and additional employers will also contribute to higher growth than in the past.”
Appendix_1_Justification_and_Findings_Report.docx