To test the relative acceptability of each of the different energy issues, the range of settings for each slider in DECC’s scenarios was compared with the modal pathway. This enabled an issue-specific comparison as set out in Table 5. This showed that the most popular preferences for eleven of the thirteen sliders fall within the range of options proposed by DECC through their three published scenarios. However, for two sliders (‘wind turbines on sea’ and marine and hydro power’), a greater level of effort was ‘solar, selected more frequently than is currently proposed in DECC’s scenarios. 5 Range of effort settings: a comparison – Alignment Supply / demand option Setting range: setting: DECC’s three ‘My2050’ scenarios respondents’ Exact match Manufacturing growth 2 2 Modal choice at the lower end of the DECC range ‘My2050’ respondents’ modal Wind turbines on land 2-3 2 choice is within the Biofuel production 2-4 2 range for DECC’s Nuclear power 2-3 2 three scenarios Heating fuel 3-4 3 Modal choice in the middle of the DECC range Home temperature 2-4 3 How we travel 2-4 3 Transport fuel 2-4 3 Modal choice at the higher end of the DECC range Home efficiency 3-4 4 Business greenness 1-4 4 Clean coal and gas power 1-2 2 Wind turbines on sea 1-2 3 ‘My2050’ respondents’ modal marine and hydro 1-2 3 choice is for higher power effort than DECC’s three scenarios An illustration of the alignment between modal choices in this sample and the range of effort proposed through DECC’s three scenarios is provided in Figure 11.
To test the relative acceptability of each of the different energy issues, the range of settings for each slider in DECC’s scenarios was compared with the modal pathway. This enabled an issue-specific comparison as set out in Table 5. This showed that the most popular preferences for eleven of the thirteen sliders fall within the range of options proposed by DECC through their three published scenarios. However, for two sliders (‘wind turbines on sea’ and ‘solar, marine and hydro power’), a greater level of effort was selected more frequently than is currently proposed in DECC’s scenarios. 5 – Range of effort settings: a comparison Alignment Supply / demand option Setting range: DECC’s three scenarios setting: ‘My2050’ respondents’ Exact match Manufacturing growth 2 2 ‘My2050’ respondents’ modal choice is within the range for DECC’s three scenarios Modal choice at the lower end of the DECC range Wind turbines on land 2-3 2 Biofuel production 2-4 2 Nuclear power 2-3 2 Heating fuel 3-4 3 Modal choice in the middle of the DECC range Home temperature 2-4 3 How we travel 2-4 3 Transport fuel 2-4 3 Modal choice at the higher end of the DECC range Home efficiency 3-4 4 Business greenness 1-4 4 Clean coal and gas power 1-2 2 ‘My2050’ respondents’ modal choice is for higher effort than DECC’s three scenarios Wind turbines on sea 1-2 3 marine and hydro power 1-2 3 An illustration of the alignment between modal choices in this sample and the range of effort proposed through DECC’s three scenarios is provided in Figure 11.
Allen%20and%20Chatterton%20my2050%20paper%20(Version%20for%20resubmission%20190713).docx