Executive summary Key points Emissions from agriculture were 15 per cent of Australia’s preliminary 2013–14 national greenhouse gas inventory, • at 82 Mt CO2-e. Emissions from agriculture in the 2014–15 Projections are lower than in the 2013 Projections because growth in • export demand is expected to be lower. Emissions from agriculture are projected to be: • 85 Mt CO2-e in 2019–20, a fall of 6 per cent on 1999–2000 levels – 92 Mt CO2-e in 2029–30, an increase of 1 per cent on 1999–2000 levels – 95 Mt CO2-e in 2034–35, an increase of 5 per cent on 1999–2000 levels. – World economic growth and depreciation of the Australian dollar against its US counterpart are expected to lead • to stronger export demand, which would support growth in agricultural activity over the period 2013–14 to Seasonal conditions are assumed to return to normal in 2015, which would allow for increased livestock numbers • and crop production. Emissions from beef cattle, sheep and dairy are more than 70 per cent of emissions from agriculture. • Throughout this report: 1. Totals may not sum due to rounding. 2. Percentages have been calculated prior to rounding. 3. Years in charts and tables are financial years ending in the stated year.
Executive summary Key points • Emissions from agriculture were 15 per cent of Australia’s preliminary 2013–14 national greenhouse gas inventory, at 82 Mt CO2-e. • Emissions from agriculture in the 2014–15 Projections are lower than in the 2013 Projections because growth in export demand is expected to be lower. • Emissions from agriculture are projected to be: – 85 Mt CO2-e in 2019–20, a fall of 6 per cent on 1999–2000 levels – 92 Mt CO2-e in 2029–30, an increase of 1 per cent on 1999–2000 levels – 95 Mt CO2-e in 2034–35, an increase of 5 per cent on 1999–2000 levels. • World economic growth and depreciation of the Australian dollar against its US counterpart are expected to lead to stronger export demand, which would support growth in agricultural activity over the period 2013–14 to • Seasonal conditions are assumed to return to normal in 2015, which would allow for increased livestock numbers and crop production. • Emissions from beef cattle, sheep and dairy are more than 70 per cent of emissions from agriculture. Throughout this report: 1. Totals may not sum due to rounding. 2. Percentages have been calculated prior to rounding. 3. Years in charts and tables are financial years ending in the stated year.
agriculture-emissions-projection-2014-15.docx