Appendix B Sensitivity analysis – Table 7 Historical water allocation price impact of Commonwealth water purchases, to 2014-15 95 percent confidence limits sensitivity analysis – Potential impact of Potential price impact of Potential price impact of Year purchases ($/ML) lower purchases ($/ML) purchases ($/ML) upper – – $1 $1 2008–09 $1 2009–10 $10 $11 $11 $3 $6 2010–11 $5 2011–12 $5 $8 $11 $10 $22 2012-13 $17 2013-14 $16 $24 $29 $18 $27 2014-15 $24 Source: Aither 2015. New South Wales Water Register, South Australian Water Register and Victorian Water Register. Based on Commonwealth water purchase data provided to Aither by the Department of the Environment. Table 8 Estimated water allocation price impacts of Commonwealth water purchases for hypothetical future water years 95 percent confidence limits sensitivity analysis – Potential price impact Potential price impact Potential impact Scenario of purchases ($/ML) of purchases ($/ML) – – of purchases ($/ML) lower upper Expected 2015-16 $25 $30 $30 Repeat of extreme $23 $31 $35 dry year (2008-09) Repeat of average $15 $21 $22 year (2005-06) Repeat of wet year $5 $9 $12 (2011-12) Source: Aither 2015. New South Wales Water Register, South Australian Water Register and Victorian Water Register. Based on Commonwealth water purchase data provided to Aither by the Department of the Environment.
Appendix B – Sensitivity analysis Table 7 Historical water allocation price impact of Commonwealth water purchases, to 2014-15 – 95 percent confidence limits sensitivity analysis Year Potential impact of purchases ($/ML) – lower Potential price impact of purchases ($/ML) Potential price impact of purchases ($/ML) – upper 2008–09 $1 $1 $1 2009–10 $10 $11 $11 2010–11 $3 $5 $6 2011–12 $5 $8 $11 2012-13 $10 $17 $22 2013-14 $16 $24 $29 2014-15 $18 $24 $27 Source: Aither 2015. New South Wales Water Register, South Australian Water Register and Victorian Water Register. Based on Commonwealth water purchase data provided to Aither by the Department of the Environment. Table 8 Estimated water allocation price impacts of Commonwealth water purchases for hypothetical future water years – 95 percent confidence limits sensitivity analysis Scenario Potential price impact of purchases ($/ML) – lower Potential impact of purchases ($/ML) Potential price impact of purchases ($/ML) – upper Expected 2015-16 $25 $30 $30 Repeat of extreme dry year (2008-09) $23 $31 $35 Repeat of average year (2005-06) $15 $21 $22 Repeat of wet year (2011-12) $5 $9 $12 Source: Aither 2015. New South Wales Water Register, South Australian Water Register and Victorian Water Register. Based on Commonwealth water purchase data provided to Aither by the Department of the Environment.
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