Required reading Assignments Date Topic/Content in class prior to due prior to class class Basics in the science of decision making Reading 1-3 Forecasting exercise: Forecast 1 Decision making the Reading 4 Weekly Assignment 1: “by numbers”: Normative approaches to decisions under uncertainty Intake questionnaire due by 11:59 PM on DATE (Qualtrics Case discussion: What went wrong in link posted on Blackboard) predicting the 2016 U.S. election? Forecasting exercise: Forecast 2 Cognitive and motivational Influences on Reading 5-7 Weekly Assignment 2: Decisions Networks questionnaire due by 11:59 PM on DATE (Qualtrics Weighting evidence in everyday social link posted on Blackboard) judgment (applying Bayes) Advice from Charlie Munger Heuristics and biases assessment Forecasting exercise: Forecast 3 Decision making simulation exercise Reading 8-9 Individual case analysis due by *Bring laptops to class* 11:59 PM on DATE (submitted through Turnitin on Case discussion: Does awareness of biases Blackboard) matter? Forecasting exercise: Forecast 4 Social influences on decision making and Reading Weekly Assignment 3: perceptions of influence Sender-Receiver questionnaire due by 11:59 PM on DATE Forecasting exercise: Forecast 5 (Qualtrics link posted on Blackboard) Sensemaking exercise Reading Case discussion: How do experts make decisions? Forecasting exercise: Forecast 6 Group presentations No assigned Group Assignment due by reading 11:59 PM on DATE (submitted Forecasting exercise: Forecast 7 through Turnitin on Blackboard) Final Examination
Date Topic/Content in class Required reading prior to class Assignments due prior to class Basics in the science of decision making Forecasting exercise: Forecast 1 Reading 1-3 Decision making “by the numbers”: Normative approaches to decisions under uncertainty Case discussion: What went wrong in predicting the 2016 U.S. election? Forecasting exercise: Forecast 2 Reading 4 Weekly Assignment 1: Intake questionnaire due by 11:59 PM on DATE (Qualtrics link posted on Blackboard) Cognitive and motivational Influences on Decisions Weighting evidence in everyday social judgment (applying Bayes) Advice from Charlie Munger Heuristics and biases assessment Forecasting exercise: Forecast 3 Reading 5-7 Weekly Assignment 2: Networks questionnaire due by 11:59 PM on DATE (Qualtrics link posted on Blackboard) Decision making simulation exercise *Bring laptops to class* Case discussion: Does awareness of biases matter? Forecasting exercise: Forecast 4 Reading 8-9 Individual case analysis due by 11:59 PM on DATE (submitted through Turnitin on Blackboard) Social influences on decision making and perceptions of influence Forecasting exercise: Forecast 5 Reading Weekly Assignment 3: Sender-Receiver questionnaire due by 11:59 PM on DATE (Qualtrics link posted on Blackboard) Sensemaking exercise Case discussion: How do experts make decisions? Forecasting exercise: Forecast 6 Reading Group presentations Forecasting exercise: Forecast 7 No assigned reading Group Assignment due by 11:59 PM on DATE (submitted through Turnitin on Blackboard) Final Examination
913.611_AY17-18.docx