Table 18. Landscape 5 Climate Stressors, Risks, Impacts and Potential Adaptive Responses for Queen Elizabeth Protected Area (QEPA), – Murchison Falls Protected Area (MFPA) and Surrounding Communities INDIRECT IMPACTS INDIRECT IMPACTS POTENTIAL TO LIVELIHOODS TO BIODIVERSITY CLIMATE DIRECT IMPACTS TO CLIMATE RISKS ADAPTIVE STRESSORS BIODIVERSITY FROM BIODIVERSITY FROM LIVELIHOOD RESPONSES IMPACTS IMPACTS Responses to As droughts biodiversity impacts: intensify, rainfall Integrate PA fire patterns change and management temperatures planning into increase, GMPs to address fire undercutting threats. traditional pastoralist, Fire will directly Decreased Train PA staff in fire fishing and farming affect wildlife by revenue and quality management/ livelihoods practiced, killing animals that of tourism experience controlled burning. are unable to escape populations will be due to increased and by destroying dispersal of wildlife compelled to habitat, especially of and Responses to accelerate draining of species with highly decreased number of livelihoods impacts: wetlands and cutting specific niches. Higher temperatures animals within the Support tourism of trees, both While most PAs. infrastructure adjacent to PAs and Fewer PA grazers, such as development at to encroach on the Uganda kob, thrive resources for alternative Increased incidence and PAs themselves, Decreased precipitation when fire stimulates community use. PA locations, where spread of fires. exacerbating wildlife congregates. new grass shoots for resources could be biodiversity impacts Support grazing, drier and destroyed due to noted in the “Direct domestication/onfarm hotter conditions increased incidence Impacts to Longer dry periods production of would mean that and spread of fires; Biodiversity” resources used by vegetation will take communities that rely column. communities. on these resources longer to return and Update sustainable bare ground will will be affected; and use agreements remain for longer community support between the PAs and periods, adversely for the PAs could communities that take decrease. affecting grazers. into account effects of the new fire regime on PA resources. Undertake collaborative PA management for
Table 18. Landscape 5 – Climate Stressors, Risks, Impacts and Potential Adaptive Responses for Queen Elizabeth Protected Area (QEPA), Murchison Falls Protected Area (MFPA) and Surrounding Communities CLIMATE STRESSORS CLIMATE RISKS DIRECT IMPACTS TO BIODIVERSITY INDIRECT IMPACTS TO LIVELIHOODS FROM BIODIVERSITY IMPACTS INDIRECT IMPACTS TO BIODIVERSITY FROM LIVELIHOOD IMPACTS POTENTIAL ADAPTIVE RESPONSES Higher temperatures Decreased precipitation Longer dry periods Increased incidence and spread of fires. Fire will directly affect wildlife by killing animals that are unable to escape and by destroying habitat, especially of species with highly specific niches. While most grazers, such as Uganda kob, thrive when fire stimulates new grass shoots for grazing, drier and hotter conditions would mean that vegetation will take longer to return and bare ground will remain for longer periods, adversely affecting grazers. Decreased revenue and quality of tourism experience due to increased dispersal of wildlife and decreased number of animals within the PAs. Fewer PA resources for community use. PA resources could be destroyed due to increased incidence and spread of fires; communities that rely on these resources will be affected; and community support for the PAs could decrease. As droughts intensify, rainfall patterns change and temperatures increase, undercutting traditional pastoralist, fishing and farming livelihoods practiced, populations will be compelled to accelerate draining of wetlands and cutting of trees, both adjacent to PAs and to encroach on the PAs themselves, exacerbating biodiversity impacts noted in the “Direct Impacts to Biodiversity” column. Responses to biodiversity impacts: Integrate PA fire management planning into GMPs to address fire threats. Train PA staff in fire management/ controlled burning. Responses to livelihoods impacts: Support tourism infrastructure development at alternative locations, where wildlife congregates. Support domestication/onfarm production of resources used by communities. Update sustainable use agreements between the PAs and communities that take into account effects of the new fire regime on PA resources. Undertake collaborative PA management for
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