Table 1 provides details of the Analysis for program and the associated “Predictive Extremism” threshold decisions covered under this program/activity. Table 1: Project/Activity Types of Activities with Threshold Determination Remarks Environmental Implications IRI will conduct research through CE. No environmental PAE is similar USAID’s survey polling and focus group impact is anticipated. in scope and Predictive Analysis for discussions, amongst other tools, nature to SPL, Extremism (PAE) on characteristics that increase an PHR and other to related activities Program individuals’ vulnerability recruitment or radicalization by a covered by the FY 2019 FY2021 violent extremist organization IEE-Asia – $550,000 (VEO). Identification of the and, Award Number: characteristics will help narrow the therefore, is TBD vulnerable population and allow expected to for more targeted and tailored have similar This activity will countering violent environmental be covered by IEE (CVE) interventions. This activity threshold Asia 15-041 as would generate data that could be decisions for long as it is valid. used by other USAID CVE activities under activities. the program. CE= Categorical Exclusion Table 2: Climate risk management covered under this memorandum. Defined or Climate Risk Rating - How Risks Further Opportunities Anticipated Risks - List Low/ are Analysis and to Strengthen Project key risks Moderate/High Addressed Actions for Climate Elements related to at Project Activity Design/ Resilience the project Level - Implementation- Area elements Describe Describe CRM opportunities of Focus, or identified how risks measures to be to achieve Activity/ through have been integrated into development Mechanism, either the addressed activity design objectives by etc.) strategy or at the or integrating project level project implementation, climate climate risk level. If a including resilience or assessment. decision additional mitigation has been analysis, if measures. made to applicable. accept the risk, briefly explain why. Flooding and Low The project N/A USAID and its
Table 1 provides details of the “Predictive Analysis for Extremism” program and the associated threshold decisions covered under this program/activity. Table 1: Project/Activity Types of Activities with Environmental Implications Threshold Determination Remarks USAID’s Predictive Analysis for Extremism (PAE) Program FY 2019 – FY2021 $550,000 Award Number: TBD This activity will be covered by IEE Asia 15-041 as long as it is valid. IRI will conduct research through survey polling and focus group discussions, amongst other tools, on characteristics that increase an individuals’ vulnerability to recruitment or radicalization by a violent extremist organization (VEO). Identification of the characteristics will help narrow the vulnerable population and allow for more targeted and tailored countering violent (CVE) interventions. This activity would generate data that could be used by other USAID CVE activities. CE. No environmental impact is anticipated. PAE is similar in scope and nature to SPL, PHR and other related activities covered by the IEE-Asia and, therefore, is expected to have similar environmental threshold decisions for activities under the program. CE= Categorical Exclusion Table 2: Climate risk management covered under this memorandum. Defined or Anticipated Project Elements Area of Focus, or Activity/ Mechanism, etc.) Climate Risks - List key risks related to the project elements identified through either the strategy or project level climate risk assessment. Risk Rating - Low/ Moderate/High How Risks are Addressed at Project Level - Describe how risks have been addressed at the project level. If a decision has been made to accept the risk, briefly explain why. Further Analysis and Actions for Activity Design/ Implementation- Describe CRM measures to be integrated into activity design or implementation, including additional analysis, if applicable. Opportunities to Strengthen Climate Resilience opportunities to achieve development objectives by integrating climate resilience or mitigation measures. Flooding and Low The project N/A USAID and its
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