What leading indicators reveal well in advance.” International Journal of Forecasting. 24(2008): 218 226. – Erickson, Robert S. and Christopher Wlezien. 2008. Economic Indicators, the Polls, “Leading and the Presidential Vote.” 41(4): 703-708. PS: Political Science and Politics. Fair, Ray C. 1978. Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President.” “The Review of 60(2): 159-173. Economics and Statistics. Farrell, David M. and Rudiger Schmitt-Beck. 2002. Do Political Campaigns Matter? London: Routledge. Campaign effects in elections and referendums. Finkel, Steven E. 1993. the Effects’ Model in Recent Presidential “Reexamining ‘Minimal Campaigns.” 55(1): 1-21. Journal of Politics. Gelman, Andrew and Gary King. 1993. are American Presidential Election Campaign “Why Polls so Variable When Voters Are so Predictable?” British Journal of Political Science. 23(4): 409-451. Gelman, Andrew, David Park, Boris Shor, Joseph Bafumi, and Jeronimo Cortina. 2008. Red Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press. State, Blue State, Rich State, Poor State. Hillygus, D. Sunshine and Todd G. Shields. 2008. The Persuadable Voter: Wedge Issues in Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press. Presidential Campaigns. Holbrook, Thomas M. 1996. Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage Publications. Do Campaigns Matter? Holbrook, Thomas M. 2002. the Whistle-Stop Campaign Matter?” PS: Political Science “Did 35(1): 59-66. and Politics. Holbrook, Thomas M. 2008. National Conditions, and the 2008 Presidential “Incumbency, Election.” 41(4): 709-712. PS: Political Science and Politics. Holbrook, Thomas M. and Scott D. McClurg. 2005. Mobilization of Core Supporters: “The Campaigns, Turnout, and Electoral Composition in United States Presidential Elections.” 49(4): 689-703. American Journal of Political Science. Jones, Randall J. 2002. Who will be in the White House? Predicting Presidential Elections. New York: Addison Wesley Longman Educational Publishers Inc.
What leading indicators reveal well in advance.” International Journal of Forecasting. 24(2008): 218 – 226. Erickson, Robert S. and Christopher Wlezien. 2008. “Leading Economic Indicators, the Polls, and the Presidential Vote.” PS: Political Science and Politics. 41(4): 703-708. Fair, Ray C. 1978. “The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President.” Review of Economics and Statistics. 60(2): 159-173. Farrell, David M. and Rudiger Schmitt-Beck. 2002. Do Political Campaigns Matter? Campaign effects in elections and referendums. London: Routledge. Finkel, Steven E. 1993. “Reexamining the ‘Minimal Effects’ Model in Recent Presidential Campaigns.” Journal of Politics. 55(1): 1-21. Gelman, Andrew and Gary King. 1993. “Why are American Presidential Election Campaign Polls so Variable When Voters Are so Predictable?” British Journal of Political Science. 23(4): 409-451. Gelman, Andrew, David Park, Boris Shor, Joseph Bafumi, and Jeronimo Cortina. 2008. Red State, Blue State, Rich State, Poor State. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press. Hillygus, D. Sunshine and Todd G. Shields. 2008. The Persuadable Voter: Wedge Issues in Presidential Campaigns. Princeton, NJ: Princeton University Press. Holbrook, Thomas M. 1996. Do Campaigns Matter? Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage Publications. Holbrook, Thomas M. 2002. “Did the Whistle-Stop Campaign Matter?” PS: Political Science and Politics. 35(1): 59-66. Holbrook, Thomas M. 2008. “Incumbency, National Conditions, and the 2008 Presidential Election.” PS: Political Science and Politics. 41(4): 709-712. Holbrook, Thomas M. and Scott D. McClurg. 2005. “The Mobilization of Core Supporters: Campaigns, Turnout, and Electoral Composition in United States Presidential Elections.” American Journal of Political Science. 49(4): 689-703. Jones, Randall J. 2002. Who will be in the White House? Predicting Presidential Elections. New York: Addison Wesley Longman Educational Publishers Inc.
Day_Jonathan__Daily_Effects_on_Presidential_Candidate_Choice_3-01-10.docx