1968 1969 1972 19701979 1976 1977 1982 19801989 1986 1987 1991 1992 19901999 1994 1997 2002 2004 20002009 2006 2009 Projected changes in tropical cyclones across the globe associated with a warming of the climate. Table 2. The IPCC expresses confidence in their projections. Their terminology equating to probability of occurrence is explained in the text (section 5.1). Confidence in projections for global changes in tropical cyclone characteristics ranges from medium to likely as listed in this table. A GCM refers to atmospheric global climate models; these models do not have direct ocean feedbacks. Increase in peak wind intensities likely Over most tropical cyclone areas (based upon high-resolution AGCM and embedded hurricane model projections)
1968 1969 19701979 1972 1976 1977 19801989 1982 1986 1987 19901999 1991 1992 1994 1997 20002009 2002 2004 2006 2009 Table 2. Projected changes in tropical cyclones across the globe associated with a warming of the climate. The IPCC expresses confidence in their projections. Their terminology equating to probability of occurrence is explained in the text (section 5.1). Confidence in projections for global changes in tropical cyclone characteristics ranges from medium to likely as listed in this table. A GCM refers to atmospheric global climate models; these models do not have direct ocean feedbacks. Increase in peak wind intensities likely Over most tropical cyclone areas (based upon high-resolution AGCM and embedded hurricane model projections)
Earth-Atmosphere_Interactions_FINAL.docx