Mean of 0 –0.303±0.187 –0.244±0.990 Systematic error = 4.3 [includes from FTOA –0.087 [22]. Adjust to mean of interior heat of earth] Argo in overlap period Slope of (W/m2)/yr 0.001 ± (end Solar is in –0.485 effects) decreasing part FTOA of 11 year cycle 2001 to 2007 peak-to-peak 18.7 ±0.7 17.3±2 22.7 All in phase. span of Depends on instrument Depends on instrument Depends on Max near calibration calibration and 0.62. No January. FTOA S0; uncertainty CERES≈Argo; Slope of ±0.86 0 CERES and –0.016 –1.16±3.19 peak-to-peak W/m2/year ARGO of Expect 0 from consistent with FTOA eccentricity effect zero Table S-3. Summary of implied and measured values of Values in the fourth column that are derived from the third FTOA. column are reduced by 0.087 W/m2 because of the geothermal energy contribution. Fg = in dHO/dt Time Implied or measured Source Comment flux units period (W/m2) FTOA (W/m2) Levitus 1955–1998 +0.20 +0.113 0 to 3000m [16] et al. data HO Levitus [18] 1969-2003 0.198±0.03 0.111±0.03 et al. Levitus [18] 2004-2007 0±0.03 et al. –0.087±0.03 IPCC [9] chap 5, 1961–2003 +0.21±0.04 +0.123±0.04 0 to 3000m page 387 Based on [16]
Mean of FTOA –0.303±0.187 Systematic error = 4.3 [22]. Adjust to mean of Argo in overlap period –0.244±0.990 [includes –0.087 from interior heat of earth] 0 Slope of FTOA –0.485 (W/m2)/yr 0.001 ± (end effects) Solar is in decreasing part of 11 year cycle 2001 to 2007 peak-to-peak span of FTOA 18.7 ±0.7 Depends on instrument calibration 17.3±2 Depends on instrument calibration and 0.62. 22.7 Depends on S0; No uncertainty All in phase. Max near January. CERES≈Argo; Slope of peak-to-peak of FTOA –0.016 ±0.86 W/m2/year Expect 0 from eccentricity effect –1.16±3.19 0 CERES and ARGO consistent with zero Table S-3. Summary of implied and measured values of FTOA. Values in the fourth column that are derived from the third column are reduced by Fg = 0.087 W/m2 because of the geothermal energy contribution. Source Time period dHO/dt in flux units (W/m2) Implied or measured FTOA (W/m2) Comment Levitus et al. [16] 1955–1998 +0.20 +0.113 0 to 3000m HO data Levitus et al. [18] 1969-2003 0.198±0.03 0.111±0.03 Levitus et al. [18] 2004-2007 0±0.03 –0.087±0.03 IPCC [9] chap 5, page 387 1961–2003 +0.21±0.04 +0.123±0.04 0 to 3000m Based on [16]
Douglass_Knox_pla_suppl.docx