Production data from the Et = [EIit . Pit]) ∑( fugitives sector and Where: LNG emissions intensity from Et = emissions in year t (Mt CO2-e) EIit = facility-specific emissions NGER, Lewis Grey Advisory intensity in year t 2016 and various EIS Pit = production at facilityi in year t Et = Et-1 . Production Gas demand from AEMO Δ Other oil and gas extraction 2016, AEMO 2016a Where: Et = emissions in year t (Mt CO2-e) Manufacture of solid fuels Iron and steel growth rates Et-1 = emissions in the previous year from OCE 2017, OCE 2017a Production = percentage change in Δ and AME Group’s industry production between year t and year t-1 analysis Domestic gas production Gas demand from AEMO and distribution 2016, AEMO 2016a Total refinery output from Petroleum refining OCE 2017a Mining Et = Et-1 . Production Δ Where: Production data from the Coal mining Et = emissions in year t (Mt CO2-e) fugitives sector Et-1 = emissions in the previous year Production = percentage change in Δ production between year t and year t-1 Production data from OCE Other mining (iron ore; gold; 2017, OCE 2017a, AME copper; nickel; zinc; bauxite Group’s industry analysis and manganese) and derived proportion of the base year from NGER data Manufacturing Production data from OCE Non-ferrous metals 2017, OCE 2017a, AME (alumina; aluminium and Group’s industry analysis refined nickel) and derived proportion of the base year from NGER data Non-metallic minerals IBISWorld industry reports (cement, lime, plaster and analysis and derived concrete; ceramics; glass proportion of the base year and glass products and from NGER data other) Production data from OCE Iron and steel 2017, OCE 2017a, and AME Group’s industry analysis IBISWorld industry reports Pulp, paper and print analysis
LNG Production data from the fugitives sector and emissions intensity from NGER, Lewis Grey Advisory 2016 and various EIS Et = ∑( [EIit . Pit]) Where: Et = emissions in year t (Mt CO2-e) EIit = facility-specific emissions intensity in year t Pit = production at facilityi in year t Other oil and gas extraction Gas demand from AEMO 2016, AEMO 2016a Et = Et-1 . Δ Production Where: Et = emissions in year t (Mt CO2-e) Et-1 = emissions in the previous year Δ Production = percentage change in production between year t and year t-1 Manufacture of solid fuels Iron and steel growth rates from OCE 2017, OCE 2017a and AME Group’s industry analysis Domestic gas production and distribution Gas demand from AEMO 2016, AEMO 2016a Petroleum refining Total refinery output from OCE 2017a Mining Coal mining Production data from the fugitives sector Et = Et-1 . Δ Production Where: Et = emissions in year t (Mt CO2-e) Et-1 = emissions in the previous year Δ Production = percentage change in production between year t and year t-1 Other mining (iron ore; gold; copper; nickel; zinc; bauxite and manganese) Production data from OCE 2017, OCE 2017a, AME Group’s industry analysis and derived proportion of the base year from NGER data Manufacturing Non-ferrous metals (alumina; aluminium and refined nickel) Production data from OCE 2017, OCE 2017a, AME Group’s industry analysis and derived proportion of the base year from NGER data Non-metallic minerals (cement, lime, plaster and concrete; ceramics; glass and glass products and other) IBISWorld industry reports analysis and derived proportion of the base year from NGER data Iron and steel Production data from OCE 2017, OCE 2017a, and AME Group’s industry analysis Pulp, paper and print IBISWorld industry reports analysis
2017-projections-methodology.docx