site availability. No logic to assuming village growth will be unlimited and continue at historic rates. 7 Strategic Projections of the growth The SMHA is a Low Housing Objectively in housing needs are based district wide Market Assessed on a national forecast and assessment that Need local employment growth. does not take / A district requirement of account of local AECOM 12720 units is identified. circumstances i.e. Para. 91 Warnham’s share: 1.6% of the prior 12750 = 204 (See Note 1) allocations of the strategic sites in the HDPF and the settlement hierarchy. 8 DCLG Household Dept. of Communities and The SMHA is a Low /AECOM Projections Local Govt. produce district wide Para. 99 forecasts of household assessment that growth. The projected total does not take for Horsham district in account of local 2031 is 66854. This leads to circumstances i.e. an allocation to Warnham the prior of 218 homes. (See Note 1) allocations of the strategic sites in the HDPF and the settlement hierarchy. Note 1. In AECOM’s analyses, gross figures have been reduced by 12 to take account of dwellings built in the parish between 2011 and 2016. However, these may be considered as individual windfall sites, not part of planned development meeting the specific allocations of the HDPF, and are excluded in the assessment of gross figures included in the table. Key Column Housing need Weighting Data sources assessment 1 30 High HDPF (Local Plan) – ‘fair share’ of at least 1500 2 31 Medium HDC Housing Waiting List (at 35% affordable) 3 37 Low HDC Home growth since 2011 4 43 Medium AirS Warnham affordable housing needs (at 35% affordable) 5 110 Low Home growth 2001 to 2016 6 148 Low 2011 Census - home growth 2001 to 2011
site availability. No logic to assuming village growth will be unlimited and continue at historic rates. 7 Strategic Housing Market / AECOM Para. 91 Objectively Assessed Need Projections of the growth in housing needs are based on a national forecast and local employment growth. A district requirement of 12720 units is identified. Warnham’s share: 1.6% of 12750 = 204 (See Note 1) The SMHA is a district wide assessment that does not take account of local circumstances i.e. the prior allocations of the strategic sites in the HDPF and the settlement hierarchy. Low 8 DCLG /AECOM Para. 99 Household Projections Dept. of Communities and Local Govt. produce forecasts of household growth. The projected total for Horsham district in 2031 is 66854. This leads to an allocation to Warnham of 218 homes. (See Note 1) The SMHA is a district wide assessment that does not take account of local circumstances i.e. the prior allocations of the strategic sites in the HDPF and the settlement hierarchy. Low Note 1. In AECOM’s analyses, gross figures have been reduced by 12 to take account of dwellings built in the parish between 2011 and 2016. However, these may be considered as individual windfall sites, not part of planned development meeting the specific allocations of the HDPF, and are excluded in the assessment of gross figures included in the table. Key Column Housing need assessment Weighting Data sources 1 30 High HDPF (Local Plan) – ‘fair share’ of at least 1500 2 31 Medium HDC Housing Waiting List (at 35% affordable) 3 37 Low HDC Home growth since 2011 4 43 Medium AirS Warnham affordable housing needs (at 35% affordable) 5 110 Low Home growth 2001 to 2016 6 148 Low 2011 Census - home growth 2001 to 2011
Warnham-Draft_SEA-260118.docx