affordable this would give from this an allocation to Warnham assessment can of 31 to 55 be taken as the lower figure i.e. 31. 3 HDC/ Home HDC records show that 12 Historic parish Low AECOM growth since homes were developed in growth rates Para. 102 2011 the period April 2011 to provide little March 2016. Projecting this guidance on growth rate to 2031 future housing provides a growth figure of needs to be 37. accommodated in the NP. 4 Action in Local A survey was undertaken The survey Medium rural affordable for the NP mainly to provides relevant Sussex housing identify the local need for local data but at a needs affordable housing i.e. specific time. those with family or Short listed sites employment connections will enable 35% to the parish. This showed affordable to be a total need for 22 units realised and but local transfers to new hence the affordable housing would housing need release 7 units. The net from this increase is 15 units. HDPF assessment can Policy 16 requires 20% to be taken as the 35% of new developments lower figure i.e. to be affordable. Total 43 number of homes to provide affordable housing: 43 to 75 5 HDC/ Home Combining the records Historic growth Low AECOM growth 2001 2001 to 2011 (below) and trends vary Para. 103 to 2016 growth to 2016 (3, above) widely depending gives growth rate over a on the time span longer period and this considered and leads to a future need of hence cannot be 110. used with confidence. 6 Census/ Home Records of housing growth Figures record Low AECOM growth 2001 to 2011 in Warnham growth in the Para. 101 2001 to 2011 parish shows 106 homes. parish rather than Applying this growth rate the village of to the period 2017 to 2031 Warnham where provides a figure of 148. growth will be focussed in accordance with policy. Growth of the village will be constrained by
affordable this would give an allocation to Warnham of 31 to 55 from this assessment can be taken as the lower figure i.e. 31. 3 HDC/ AECOM Para. 102 Home growth since 2011 HDC records show that 12 homes were developed in the period April 2011 to March 2016. Projecting this growth rate to 2031 provides a growth figure of 37. Historic parish growth rates provide little guidance on future housing needs to be accommodated in the NP. Low 4 Action in rural Sussex Local affordable housing needs A survey was undertaken for the NP mainly to identify the local need for affordable housing i.e. those with family or employment connections to the parish. This showed a total need for 22 units but local transfers to new affordable housing would release 7 units. The net increase is 15 units. HDPF Policy 16 requires 20% to 35% of new developments to be affordable. Total number of homes to provide affordable housing: 43 to 75 The survey provides relevant local data but at a specific time. Short listed sites will enable 35% affordable to be realised and hence the housing need from this assessment can be taken as the lower figure i.e. 43 Medium 5 HDC/ AECOM Para. 103 Home growth 2001 to 2016 Combining the records 2001 to 2011 (below) and growth to 2016 (3, above) gives growth rate over a longer period and this leads to a future need of 110. Historic growth trends vary widely depending on the time span considered and hence cannot be used with confidence. Low 6 Census/ AECOM Para. 101 Home growth 2001 to 2011 Records of housing growth 2001 to 2011 in Warnham parish shows 106 homes. Applying this growth rate to the period 2017 to 2031 provides a figure of 148. Figures record growth in the parish rather than the village of Warnham where growth will be focussed in accordance with policy. Growth of the village will be constrained by Low
Warnham-Draft_SEA-260118.docx