May Use the rules of probability to compute S.CP.5 Recognize and explain the concepts of conditional 1 Various problem sets and handouts will be probabilities of compound events in a probability and independence in everyday language and everyday used as needed from Stats Modeling the uniform probability model. situations. For World book chapter 15 example, compare the chance of having lung cancer if you are a Formative Assessment smoker with the chance of being a smoker if you have lung cancer. 164 S.CP.6 Find the conditional probability of A given B as the fraction of B’s outcomes that also belong to A, and interpret the answer in terms of the model. Use the rules of probability to compute S.CP.7 Apply the Addition Rule, P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B) – P(A 4 5 6 7 8 Various problem sets and handouts will be probabilities of compound events in a and B), and interpret the answer in terms of the model. used as needed from Stats Modeling the uniform probability model. S.CP.8 (+) Apply the general Multiplication Rule in a uniform World book chapter 15 probability model, P(A and B) = P(A)P(B|A) = P(B)P(A|B), and Quiz interpret the answer in terms of the model. Various problem sets and handouts will be S.CP.9 (+) Use permutations and combinations to compute used as needed from Stats Modeling the probabilities of compound events and solve problems. World book chapter 15 S.MD.6 (+) Use probabilities to make fair decisions (e.g., drawing Test by lots, using a random number generator). S.MD.7 (+) Analyze decisions and strategies using probability concepts (e.g., product testing, medical testing, pulling a hockey goalie at the end of a game). 12 12 13 X X Semester Exams
May 1 164 Use the rules of probability to compute probabilities of compound events in a uniform probability model. S.CP.5 Recognize and explain the concepts of conditional probability and independence in everyday language and everyday situations. For example, compare the chance of having lung cancer if you are a smoker with the chance of being a smoker if you have lung cancer. S.CP.6 Find the conditional probability of A given B as the fraction of B’s outcomes that also belong to A, and interpret the answer in terms of the model. Various problem sets and handouts will be used as needed from Stats Modeling the World book chapter 15 Formative Assessment 4 5 6 7 8 Use the rules of probability to compute probabilities of compound events in a uniform probability model. S.CP.7 Apply the Addition Rule, P(A or B) = P(A) + P(B) – P(A and B), and interpret the answer in terms of the model. S.CP.8 (+) Apply the general Multiplication Rule in a uniform probability model, P(A and B) = P(A)P(B|A) = P(B)P(A|B), and interpret the answer in terms of the model. S.CP.9 (+) Use permutations and combinations to compute probabilities of compound events and solve problems. S.MD.6 (+) Use probabilities to make fair decisions (e.g., drawing by lots, using a random number generator). S.MD.7 (+) Analyze decisions and strategies using probability concepts (e.g., product testing, medical testing, pulling a hockey goalie at the end of a game). Various problem sets and handouts will be used as needed from Stats Modeling the World book chapter 15 Quiz Various problem sets and handouts will be used as needed from Stats Modeling the World book chapter 15 Test 12 12 13 X X Semester Exams
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