manual charts looking for similarities with the current conditions. Then they link the meteorological events in the past with the foreseen conditions one month ahead. This procedure is carried out on the 28th of the month. They could benefit a lot by using the ECMWF monthly forecast updated twice a week. Medium range D+3 to D+10 EPS (ECMWF access required) EM and spread for MSLP, T and wind 850 hPa (this charts are freely available to everyone). EFI to check if any unusual event is present in the forecast. In case relevant values of EFI are found in your area look for more details (see next bullet) Details for weather parameters on particular areas can be extracted from the 10 days EPSgrams and 15 days EPSgrams with the model climate overlaid. A similar procedure can be done with the ocean waves. TC tracks in case a tropical storm is in the neighbourhood. Comparisons with the ECMWF deterministic forecast (available on Diana). Short range H+24 to D+3 Combination of ECMWF and WRF products. important to compute detailed verification statistics for both models on Myanmar to clearly assess It’s the reliability of both models for different weather situations (e.g. monsoon season). Very short range to now casting: up to H+24 Radar, satellite imagery and real time observations. ______________
manual charts looking for similarities with the current conditions. Then they link the meteorological events in the past with the foreseen conditions one month ahead. This procedure is carried out on the 28th of the month. They could benefit a lot by using the ECMWF monthly forecast updated twice a week. Medium range D+3 to D+10 EPS (ECMWF access required) EM and spread for MSLP, T and wind 850 hPa (this charts are freely available to everyone). EFI to check if any unusual event is present in the forecast. In case relevant values of EFI are found in your area look for more details (see next bullet) Details for weather parameters on particular areas can be extracted from the 10 days EPSgrams and 15 days EPSgrams with the model climate overlaid. A similar procedure can be done with the ocean waves. TC tracks in case a tropical storm is in the neighbourhood. Comparisons with the ECMWF deterministic forecast (available on Diana). Short range H+24 to D+3 Combination of ECMWF and WRF products. It’s important to compute detailed verification statistics for both models on Myanmar to clearly assess the reliability of both models for different weather situations (e.g. monsoon season). Very short range to now casting: up to H+24 Radar, satellite imagery and real time observations. ______________
SummaryReportStakeholderWorkshopIBF-FINAL.docx