Wyndham Vale and Tarneit are only about 30-35 kilometres from the city, with much less density between them and the city. The current and forecast population distribution is shown in table 8. Table 8. Melbourne current and forecast future population distribution (number of people) North Region 2011 2021 2031 Annual percentage change Northwest 1 488 300 1 899 300 2 339 400 2.3% Melbourne Southeast 2 17 0000 2 504 200 2 830 1.3% Melbourne Difference 681 604 900 491 100 Source: Adapted by Infrastructure Victoria from Victoria in Future 2016 data. This means even with the northwest growing at nearly twice the rate of the southeast, the historical distribution of Melbourne’s population means the southeast is growing from a much larger base, and so the geographical population centre of Melbourne will remain in the southeast. Table 8 shows, however, that the population spread of Melbourne is forecast to become more balanced over time. As Melbourne’s population spread becomes more balanced, will be significant freight demand across the metropolitan area. This means regardless of deciding to locate a port at either Bay West or Hastings, we will need to plan for significant cross-city movements as goods travel between the port, warehouses and retail locations. A port at Hastings will generate more warehousing and container unpacking in the southeast. This will create significant east to west movements from these warehouses to industry and population in the west, especially as retail demand grows to service the growing population in the northwest. A port at Bay West would generate significant west to east movements as warehousing consolidates in the west and north. This means cargo from unpacked containers will need to be moved east to service the significant population and retail centres in the southeast. In either case, planning for increased cross-city movements will be an important part of planning a second container port. QUESTION Have we identified the Port of Melbourne supply chains correctly?
Wyndham Vale and Tarneit are only about 30-35 kilometres from the city, with much less density between them and the city. The current and forecast population distribution is shown in table 8. Table 8. Melbourne current and forecast future population distribution (number of people) North Region 2011 2021 2031 Annual percentage change Northwest Melbourne 1 488 300 1 899 300 2 339 400 2.3% Southeast Melbourne 2 17 0000 2 504 200 2 830 1.3% Difference 681 604 900 491 100 Source: Adapted by Infrastructure Victoria from Victoria in Future 2016 data. This means even with the northwest growing at nearly twice the rate of the southeast, the historical distribution of Melbourne’s population means the southeast is growing from a much larger base, and so the geographical population centre of Melbourne will remain in the southeast. Table 8 shows, however, that the population spread of Melbourne is forecast to become more balanced over time. As Melbourne’s population spread becomes more balanced, will be significant freight demand across the metropolitan area. This means regardless of deciding to locate a port at either Bay West or Hastings, we will need to plan for significant cross-city movements as goods travel between the port, warehouses and retail locations. A port at Hastings will generate more warehousing and container unpacking in the southeast. This will create significant east to west movements from these warehouses to industry and population in the west, especially as retail demand grows to service the growing population in the northwest. A port at Bay West would generate significant west to east movements as warehousing consolidates in the west and north. This means cargo from unpacked containers will need to be moved east to service the significant population and retail centres in the southeast. In either case, planning for increased cross-city movements will be an important part of planning a second container port. QUESTION Have we identified the Port of Melbourne supply chains correctly?
Second_container_port_advice_evidence_base_discussion_paper_-_word_accessible.docx