Growth in Median Income Scenario Flat Change in Income Distribution Creeping Inequality Prices and Affordability Flat Percentile 25% Income Ratio 3.2 Proportion of market who buy 40% Upper income-to-rent threshold 25% income-to-let threshold 35% Rent Growth Recovery Modest Increases Table 18 Scenario 5South Ayrshire (Constrained) 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 111 121 119 120 115 128 87 82 75 59 Social Rent 51 52 46 41 35 37 25 22 20 16 Below Market 86 81 71 66 58 56 38 37 35 27 PRS 87 89 82 78 71 75 51 48 44 34 Buyers 334 343 318 304 278 296 201 190 174 136 Total Table 19 Scenario 5 Ayr Urban HMA (Constrained) 2016 2017 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2018 99 107 105 106 102 114 77 73 67 52 Social Rent 45 46 40 35 30 32 22 19 17 13 Below Market 79 75 67 62 54 52 36 35 33 26 PRS 77 79 73 69 63 67 45 43 39 30 Buyers 299 307 285 272 249 265 180 170 155 122 Total Table 20 Scenario 5 G&SC HMA (Constrained) 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 12 14 13 13 13 14 10 9 9 7 Social Rent 6 6 6 5 5 5 3 3 3 2 Below Market
Growth in Median Income Scenario Flat Change in Income Distribution Creeping Inequality Prices and Affordability Flat Percentile 25% Income Ratio 3.2 Proportion of market who buy 40% Upper income-to-rent threshold 25% income-to-let threshold 35% Rent Growth Recovery Modest Increases Table 18 Scenario 5South Ayrshire (Constrained) 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Social Rent 111 121 119 120 115 128 87 82 75 59 Below Market 51 52 46 41 35 37 25 22 20 16 PRS 86 81 71 66 58 56 38 37 35 27 Buyers 87 89 82 78 71 75 51 48 44 34 Total 334 343 318 304 278 296 201 190 174 136 Table 19 Scenario 5 Ayr Urban HMA (Constrained) 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Social Rent 99 107 105 106 102 114 77 73 67 52 Below Market 45 46 40 35 30 32 22 19 17 13 PRS 79 75 67 62 54 52 36 35 33 26 Buyers 77 79 73 69 63 67 45 43 39 30 Total 299 307 285 272 249 265 180 170 155 122 Table 20 Scenario 5 G&SC HMA (Constrained) 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Social Rent 12 14 13 13 13 14 10 9 9 7 Below Market 6 6 6 5 5 5 3 3 3 2
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