Table 3 - Projects exhibiting high confidence level of delivering supply contribution volumes - modelled Project name TLM environmental works Hume Dam airspace Barmah-Millewa Forest South East Flows Flexible rates (6 projects) management and Environmental Allocation below releases rule changes Criteria used to assess confidence levels Confidence level Environmental outcomes evident High High High High Adequacy of information High Moderate High High High Satisfactory progress in project development High High High High High Project independence Moderate Moderate High High High Issues likely to be resolved High Moderate Moderate High High Risks managed High High Moderate High Low to Supply contribution estimate basis (modelling) High High High High High System-wide river operation rules change impacts High Low to moderate High High minimum Factors limiting supply contribution estimate managed Moderate Moderate High N/A Investment-ready High High High High High Certainty of implementation within Basin Plan High High High High High timeframes Moderate High High High Potential for constraint removal to improve supply contribution Assists limits of change 136 GL* 70GL* 40 GL* 0* Plausible supply contribution maintenance to support overall supply contribution Overall confidence rating HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH *A possible increase of 30 GL in the plausible supply contribution is the total for all projects in Table 3 collectively
Table 3 - Projects exhibiting high confidence level of delivering supply contribution volumes - modelled Project name TLM environmental works (6 projects) Hume Dam airspace management and Barmah-Millewa Forest Environmental Allocation rule changes South East Flows Flexible rates below Criteria used to assess confidence levels Confidence level Environmental outcomes evident High High High High Adequacy of information High Moderate High High High Satisfactory progress in project development High High High High High Project independence Moderate Moderate High High High Issues likely to be resolved High Moderate Moderate High High Risks managed High High Moderate High Low to Supply contribution estimate basis (modelling) High High High High High System-wide river operation rules change impacts minimum High Low to moderate High High Factors limiting supply contribution estimate managed Moderate Moderate High N/A Investment-ready High High High High High Certainty of implementation within Basin Plan timeframes High High High High High Potential for constraint removal to improve supply contribution Moderate High High High Plausible supply contribution 136 GL* 70GL* 40 GL* Assists limits of change maintenance to support overall supply contribution 0* Overall confidence rating HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH HIGH *A possible increase of 30 GL in the plausible supply contribution is the total for all projects in Table 3 collectively releases
SDL-Adjustment-Stocktake-Report.docx