Annexure A: Result Framework Outcome/Output Indicator Baseline Target Sources of Risks and Assumptions Verification Component 1: Strengthening knowledge base through long term monitoring and field based studies like estimation of lake depth, and other critical parameters to estimate the extent of inundation and other risks Outcome 1: Enhanced understanding Climate There are currently By the end of Interviews and Valley level accurate data from vulnerability 77 lakes in the the project the PRA reports the ground of the climate change related risk and mapping in the Parvati Valley and planning vulnerabilities associated with GLOF and flood sector initiated this has increased process would Output 1.1 Location based Targeting of from 12 in last 25 have reflected Vulnerability Sensitization of the district targeting/plan household low years enhancing the vulnerability report, Disaster administration of the new probability of flood based targeting medium and management plan approach events not only in and a robust high based on for the valley but also model for at vulnerability to the Kullu region least 2-3 index networked Output 1.2 Development of a Model based Model and Data capture especially valley institution in model in association with on future and Predicants on level the region national international research current GLOF risk including networks vulnerability NDMA developed Satellite images Component 2: GLOF and hazard zonation and vulnerability mapping conducted in the Parvati valleys Outcome 2: Strengthened institutional Current master plan Field verification, Timely availability of & individual capacity to reduce risks monitoring report recommended inputs associated with climate-induced socioeconomic and environmental losses. Output 2.1 Risk and hazard Risk and Hazard District Disaster Sensitization of line maps hazard maps mapped across Management Plan departments in scale for the the whole valley valley Output 2.2 Zonations based on Master No. of people who Risk maps District Disaster related risks updated with are currently updated and Management Plan
Annexure A: Result Framework Outcome/Output Indicator Baseline Target Sources of Verification Risks and Assumptions Component 1: Strengthening knowledge base through long term monitoring and field based studies like estimation of lake depth, and other critical parameters to estimate the extent of inundation and other risks Outcome 1: Enhanced understanding of the climate change related risk and vulnerabilities associated with GLOF and flood Climate vulnerability mapping in the sector initiated There are currently 77 lakes in the Parvati Valley and this has increased from 12 in last 25 years enhancing the probability of flood events not only in the valley but also to the Kullu region By the end of the project the planning process would have reflected vulnerability based targeting and a robust model for at least 2-3 networked institution in the region including NDMA Interviews and PRA reports Valley level accurate data from the ground Output 1.1 Location based targeting/plan Targeting of household low medium and high based on vulnerability index Vulnerability report, Disaster management plan for Sensitization of the district administration of the new approach Output 1.2 Development of a model in association with national international research networks Model based on future and current vulnerability developed Model and Predicants on GLOF risk Satellite images Data capture especially valley level Component 2: GLOF and hazard zonation and vulnerability mapping conducted in the Parvati valleys Outcome 2: Strengthened institutional & individual capacity to reduce risks associated with climate-induced socioeconomic and environmental losses. Current master plan Field verification, monitoring report Timely availability of recommended inputs Output 2.1 Risk and hazard maps Risk and hazard maps in scale for the valley Hazard mapped across the whole valley District Disaster Management Plan Sensitization of line departments Output 2.2 Zonations based on risks Master updated with No. of people who are currently Risk maps updated and District Disaster Management Plan related
section_b_hp_dpr_1_glof_and_flood_risk.docx