projections in the maps shown here are arranged vertically rather than horizontally, as is the case with the CSAG statistically downscaled projections. These modelling exercises show that there are wide range of plausible rainfall futures for South Africa. In general though, the seasonal projections suggest little overall change in the near term future (2015-2035) for summer rainfall, but drier autumns. The South-Western Cape and Limpopo regions seems particularly at risk to an overall decrease in rainfall, particularly in the longer term.
projections in the maps shown here are arranged vertically rather than horizontally, as is the case with the CSAG statistically downscaled projections. These modelling exercises show that there are wide range of plausible rainfall futures for South Africa. In general though, the seasonal projections suggest little overall change in the near term future (2015-2035) for summer rainfall, but drier autumns. The South-Western Cape and Limpopo regions seems particularly at risk to an overall decrease in rainfall, particularly in the longer term.
risk_and_vulnerability_260803part1.docx