%(N) Race of defendant (% 45 (109) 39 (124) 62 (182)*** 31 (62)*** African American) High school graduate 42 (60) 54 (76) 44 (97)*** 82 (28)*** Previous criminal 65 (81)** 46 (109)** 66 (157)*** 38 (53)*** conviction Female defendant 5 (109) 5 (131) 1 (185)* 5 (67)* Mean age of defendant 25 (106)** 28 (128)** 25 (65)** 30 (181)** Strength of suspect characteristics None: 26 (85) 43 (118) 24 (161)** 50 (54)** Weak: 57 (85) 32 (118) 53 (161) 33 (54) Probative: 14 (85) 21 (118) 19 (161) 17 (54) Highly probative: 4 (85) 3 (118) 4 (161) 0 (54) * p<0.05 ** p<0.01 ***p<0.001 no control applied † Note: The following variables are not represented as percentages: mean age of defendant. Table 12. Bivariate Results: Nature of the Defendant, Significant Variables Controlled for Pre- and Post-DNA Resolution Erroneous Near Misses Erroneous Near Misses Nature of the Defendant Convictions Pre-DNA Cases Convictions Post-DNA Cases Variables Pre-DNA Cases % (N) Post-DNA Cases %(N) %(N) %(N) Race of defendant (% 65 (147)*** 39 (26)*** 47 (109) 37 (163) African American) High school graduate 48 (75) 62 (13) 40 (53)* 65 (92)* Previous criminal conviction 65 (130)*** 37 (19)*** 68 (82)* 43 (147)* Strength of suspect characteristics None: 25 (134) 44 (23) 22 (88)** 46 (151)**
%(N) Race of defendant (% African American) 45 (109) 39 (124) 62 (182)*** 31 (62)*** High school graduate 42 (60) 54 (76) 44 (97)*** 82 (28)*** Previous criminal conviction 65 (81)** 46 (109)** 66 (157)*** 38 (53)*** Female defendant 5 (109) 5 (131) 1 (185)* 5 (67)* Mean age of defendant 25 (106)** 28 (128)** 25 (65)** 30 (181)** Strength of suspect characteristics None: Weak: Probative: Highly probative: 26 (85) 57 (85) 14 (85) 4 (85) 43 (118) 32 (118) 21 (118) 3 (118) 24 (161)** 53 (161) 19 (161) 4 (161) 50 (54)** 33 (54) 17 (54) 0 (54) * p<0.05 ** p<0.01 ***p<0.001 † no control applied Note: The following variables are not represented as percentages: mean age of defendant. Table 12. Bivariate Results: Nature of the Defendant, Significant Variables Controlled for Pre- and Post-DNA Resolution Nature of the Defendant Variables Erroneous Convictions Pre-DNA Cases %(N) Near Misses Pre-DNA Cases % (N) Erroneous Convictions Post-DNA Cases %(N) Near Misses Post-DNA Cases %(N) Race of defendant (% African American) 65 (147)*** 39 (26)*** 47 (109) 37 (163) High school graduate 48 (75) 62 (13) 40 (53)* 65 (92)* Previous criminal conviction 65 (130)*** 37 (19)*** 68 (82)* 43 (147)* Strength of suspect characteristics None: 25 (134) 44 (23) 22 (88)** 46 (151)**
Predicting%20Erroneous%20Convictions%20Final%20Report_Edited%20EMBARGOED.docx