20:- Summary of falls epidemiology based on various sources. Document Reference Time Data source Age Numbers Geography Comment section period group of falls 2 Gribben et al ?? GP data 60+ 475,000 UK This figure appears to be a gross under Background (2009) per estimate ONS (2009) 2008 Deaths ?? 3,400 pa England Suggestion is that mortality data under and Wales estimate true mortality associated with falls. See Lyons et al (2005) below. Scuffman 1999 A and E 60+ years 647,721 pa UK Data now over 12 years old, figures would (2003) attendances be expected to be substantially higher IP admissions 60+ years 204,424 pa UK 4.2 Our 2010 Population falls 60+ 230,000 to Wales Incidence estimates 460,000 of falls (see section 2010 Population 60+ 11,500 to Wales for injury 45,900 references) (fracture, head injury, serious laceration) 4.3 Fall Stats Wales deaths All ages Approx 200 Wales Probably in line with ONS data, but based related pa on Lyons et al (2005) gross underestimate mortality Lyons et al Hip fracture 10,800 pa England (2005) deaths expected and Wales 4.4 PEDW 2005/06 Falls All ages Average Wales Assuming increases in Scuffman (2003) to admissions 21,000 pa over time, figures appear to be in right burden 2008/09 area. Plus fit with epidemiological Falls FCEs 60+ years Average Wales 15,260 pa estimates of injury falls (section 3.2) 4.5 ED ED data 2009/10 60+ years 12,600 Wales Appears to be a considerable burden attendances underestimate, especially when compared with Scuffman (2003) above
20:- Summary of falls epidemiology based on various sources. Document section Reference Time period Data source Age group Numbers of falls Geography Comment 2 Background Gribben et al (2009) ?? GP data 60+ 475,000 per UK This figure appears to be a gross under estimate ONS (2009) 2008 Deaths ?? 3,400 pa England and Wales Suggestion is that mortality data under estimate true mortality associated with falls. See Lyons et al (2005) below. Scuffman (2003) 1999 A and E attendances 60+ years 647,721 pa UK Data now over 12 years old, figures would be expected to be substantially higher IP admissions 60+ years 204,424 pa UK 4.2 Incidence of falls Our estimates (see section for references) 2010 Population falls 60+ 230,000 to 460,000 Wales 2010 Population injury (fracture, head injury, serious laceration) 60+ 11,500 to 45,900 Wales 4.3 Fall related mortality Stats Wales deaths All ages Approx 200 pa Wales Probably in line with ONS data, but based on Lyons et al (2005) gross underestimate Lyons et al (2005) Hip fracture deaths 10,800 pa expected England and Wales 4.4 burden PEDW 2005/06 to 2008/09 Falls admissions All ages Average 21,000 pa Wales Assuming increases in Scuffman (2003) over time, figures appear to be in right area. Plus fit with epidemiological estimates of injury falls (section 3.2) Falls FCEs 60+ years Average 15,260 pa Wales 4.5 ED burden ED data 2009/10 attendances 60+ years 12,600 Wales Appears to be a considerable underestimate, especially when compared with Scuffman (2003) above
Injury%20Prevention%20Guidance%201%20-%20Falls%20v4.docx