A – This Appendix presents results for time-weighted average prices, in the same form as the results for trade-weighted average prices that are presented in Section 3 and Section 4. Table 5 provides time-weighted average quarterly base swap prices from ASXEnergy. It is the equivalent of Table 1, although using time-weighted average prices rather than trade-weighted average prices. Table 6 presents averages of the half-hourly price forecasts for 2019/20, both for a flat annual average and for peak, shoulder and off-peak periods of the year. It is the equivalent of Table 2, although using time-weighted average prices rather than trade-weighted average prices. Table 7 presents export-weighted average prices based on typical solar PV exports. It is the equivalent of Table 3, although using time-weighted average prices rather than trade-weighted average prices. Table 5: Time-weighted average price levels for 2019/20 (after removing 5 per cent contract premium) 40 12 24 Q3 2019 76.90 72.91 73.75 Q4 2019 67.74 63.71 65.13 Q1 2020 94.78 84.48 78.93 Q2 2020 64.32 66.15 66.97 Source: Base swap price data from ASX Energy and Analysis from Frontier Economics Table 6: Summary of draft half-hourly spot prices for 2019/20 (based on historical quarters Q4 2017 to Q3 2018) Single-flat rate 7.59 Peak 10.82 Time-varying rate Shoulder 7.66 Off-peak 5.97
A – This Appendix presents results for time-weighted average prices, in the same form as the results for trade-weighted average prices that are presented in Section 3 and Section 4. Table 5 provides time-weighted average quarterly base swap prices from ASXEnergy. It is the equivalent of Table 1, although using time-weighted average prices rather than trade-weighted average prices. Table 6 presents averages of the half-hourly price forecasts for 2019/20, both for a flat annual average and for peak, shoulder and off-peak periods of the year. It is the equivalent of Table 2, although using time-weighted average prices rather than trade-weighted average prices. Table 7 presents export-weighted average prices based on typical solar PV exports. It is the equivalent of Table 3, although using time-weighted average prices rather than trade-weighted average prices. Table 5: Time-weighted average price levels for 2019/20 (after removing 5 per cent contract premium) 40 12 24 Q3 2019 76.90 72.91 73.75 Q4 2019 67.74 63.71 65.13 Q1 2020 94.78 84.48 78.93 Q2 2020 64.32 66.15 66.97 Source: Base swap price data from ASX Energy and Analysis from Frontier Economics Table 6: Summary of draft half-hourly spot prices for 2019/20 (based on historical quarters Q4 2017 to Q3 2018) Single-flat rate 7.59 Time-varying rate Peak 10.82 Shoulder 7.66 Off-peak 5.97
Frontier_Economics_Report_-_Wholesale_price_forecasts_for_2019-20_feed-in_tariff.DOCX