Carrier's operation region. Carriers report data by operation region For the domestic forecasts, Region = CarrierRegion (Atlantic, Latin, Pacific, System, Domestic International, and Domestic) T320_ASM Available seat miles T140_RPM Revenue passenger miles Summed by airline category Yes T110_RPax Revenue passengers enplaned T410_RMilesFlown Revenue aircraft miles flown Is used to calculate stage length Indirectly Revenue aircraft departures T510_RDPerformed performed Historical data is calculated (RPMs/Passengers); future years is Mainline carrier passenger trip length MainPTL an exogenous variable decided by Regional carrier passenger trip Yes ComPTL APO. These data are calculated length separately for mainline and regional carriers. Historical data is calculated; futures Mainline of passenger carrier’s share MainPaxShr years is an exogenous variable Yes market (versus the regional carriers) decided by APO Historical data is calculated Average stage length for mainline MainStage (T410_RMilesFlown/ Yes carriers T510_RDPerformed) by APO Total passengers (mainline and TotalEnpl Yes regional) MainLF Mainline and regional load factors Is calculated by APO (RPMs/ASMs) Yes ComLF
CarrierRegion Carrier's operation region. Carriers report data by operation region (Atlantic, Latin, Pacific, System, International, and Domestic) For the domestic forecasts, Region = Domestic T320_ASM Available seat miles Summed by airline category Yes T140_RPM Revenue passenger miles T110_RPax Revenue passengers enplaned T410_RMilesFlown Revenue aircraft miles flown Is used to calculate stage length Indirectly T510_RDPerformed Revenue aircraft departures performed MainPTL ComPTL Mainline carrier passenger trip length Regional carrier passenger trip length Historical data is calculated (RPMs/Passengers); future years is an exogenous variable decided by APO. These data are calculated separately for mainline and regional carriers. Yes MainPaxShr Mainline carrier’s share of passenger market (versus the regional carriers) Historical data is calculated; futures years is an exogenous variable decided by APO Yes MainStage Average stage length for mainline carriers Historical data is calculated (T410_RMilesFlown/ T510_RDPerformed) by APO Yes TotalEnpl Total passengers (mainline and regional) Yes MainLF ComLF Mainline and regional load factors Is calculated by APO (RPMs/ASMs) Yes
FY2016-36_National_Forecast_Methodology.docx