IHS Global Insight, Mnemonic: Consumer price index, all-urban, Source: Baseline: CPI.Q.FMS Index is used to calculate real prices, CPI BLS, Units: - 1982-84=1.00 seasonally Indirectly such as yield Optimistic: CPI.Q.FMBA2 adjusted Pessimistic: CPI.Q.FMBA1 A ratio of U.S. GDP to region specific IHS Global Insight, GDP Real annual GDP history and forecast GDP was developed for each of the GDP Indirectly Components, Interim forecast, estimates by country region specific models (Atlantic, Latin monthly, sheet GDPR$A and Pacific) by APO. Aviation Variables (all data are converted to fiscal year by APO) Model Model label Description Notes input Source International regional carrier passengers are grouped with the Passengers Mainline carrier passengers Indirectly Latin mainline carrier region’s Bureau of Transportation Statistics, passengers TranStats, Historical data is calculated via Average passenger trip length (PTL) in RPMs/Passengers by region. PTL is Trip length Indirectly miles by region used to estimate regional passenger forecasts (RPMs / PTL) by APO.
CPI Consumer price index, all-urban, Source: BLS, Units: - 1982-84=1.00 seasonally adjusted Index is used to calculate real prices, such as yield Indirectly IHS Global Insight, Mnemonic: Baseline: CPI.Q.FMS Optimistic: CPI.Q.FMBA2 Pessimistic: CPI.Q.FMBA1 GDP Real annual GDP history and forecast estimates by country A ratio of U.S. GDP to region specific GDP was developed for each of the region specific models (Atlantic, Latin and Pacific) by APO. Indirectly IHS Global Insight, GDP Components, Interim forecast, monthly, sheet GDPR$A Aviation Variables (all data are converted to fiscal year by APO) Model label Description Notes Model input Source Passengers Mainline carrier passengers International regional carrier passengers are grouped with the Latin region’s mainline carrier passengers Indirectly Bureau of Transportation Statistics, TranStats, Trip length Average passenger trip length (PTL) in miles by region Historical data is calculated via RPMs/Passengers by region. PTL is used to estimate regional passenger forecasts (RPMs / PTL) by APO. Indirectly
FY2016-36_National_Forecast_Methodology.docx