3: Chief Justice Roberts vote to join the Majority to Uphold Precedent in Salient versus Non-salient Cases (2005-2014) Independent Roberts’s Change in Roberts’s Change in Conservative Probabilities Liberal Voting Voting Constant -6.013 -6.332 High Case Salience .350 .001 -.404 -.001 (.425) (.451) Low Case Salience .870* .003 1.251** .004 (.394) (.381) Minimum Winning .108 .000 -1.113*** -.001 Coalition (.119) (.204) Constitutional Cases 2.409*** .026 3.458*** .047 (.234) (.234) Federal Statute 2.709*** .034 3.051*** .029 (.128) (.145) Civil Rights cases .767*** .003 .681*** .001 (.164) (.189) Chi-Square 694.3 626.9 Log Likelihood 5236.9 3750.3 Dependent variable: Justice voted with majority to uphold precedent; *: p<0. 05; **: p<0. 01; ***: p<0.001 N=770 Probabilities represent the increase (or decline) in the probability that the justice joined the majority to uphold precedent for one standard deviation change in the independent variable from 0 to 1 for dummy variables, holding all the other independent variables at their respective means. SPSS and Excel
3: Chief Justice Roberts vote to join the Majority to Uphold Precedent in Salient versus Non-salient Cases (2005-2014) Independent Roberts’s Conservative Voting Change in Probabilities Roberts’s Liberal Voting Change in Constant -6.013 -6.332 High Case Salience .350 (.425) .001 -.404 (.451) -.001 Low Case Salience .870* (.394) .003 1.251** (.381) .004 Minimum Winning Coalition .108 (.119) .000 -1.113*** (.204) -.001 Constitutional Cases 2.409*** (.234) .026 3.458*** (.234) .047 Federal Statute 2.709*** (.128) .034 3.051*** (.145) .029 Civil Rights cases .767*** (.164) .003 .681*** (.189) .001 Chi-Square 694.3 626.9 Log Likelihood 5236.9 3750.3 Dependent variable: Justice voted with majority to uphold precedent; *: p<0. 05; **: p<0. 01; ***: p<0.001 N=770 Probabilities represent the increase (or decline) in the probability that the justice joined the majority to uphold precedent for one standard deviation change in the independent variable from 0 to 1 for dummy variables, holding all the other independent variables at their respective means. SPSS and Excel
ModerateBehaviorontheRobertsCourtbyPaulFoote.docx