No Escalation General – Strikes won’t escalate Barnett, ‘12 (Thomas P.M. Barnett is Chief Analyst at Wikistrat and contributor to Esquire, February 13, New Rules: The Coming War “The with Iran” ) all of America's allies and rivals will forgive our involvement because, Virtually strategic ultimately in the end, each will benefit: China and India, from Iran's resurrection as an energy exporter; Turkey, from Iran's diminution as a regional leader; and the rest of the world, from the Persian Gulf being spared from nuclear brinkmanship. Only Russia stands to lose outright, but a lengthy period of unstable Moscow cannot that has been true regarding virtually every good thing that has happened in this world for the past two decades, and do anything about it, Beijing and Moscow will regret save for beating down a tiny neighbor now and then. Of course, the precedent of another Western-led regime-change effort But since yet targeting a fellow authoritarian state. this war will be conducted prior to Iran's weaponization the rule-set of its nuclear capacity, enduring regarding nuclear weapons being off-limits will be preserved.
No Escalation – General Strikes won’t escalate Barnett, ‘12 (Thomas P.M. Barnett is Chief Analyst at Wikistrat and contributor to Esquire, February 13, “The New Rules: The Coming War with Iran” ) Virtually all of America's strategic allies and rivals will ultimately forgive our involvement because, in the end, each will benefit: China and India, from Iran's resurrection as an energy exporter; Turkey, from Iran's diminution as a regional leader; and the rest of the world, from the Persian Gulf being spared from a lengthy period of unstable nuclear brinkmanship. Only Russia stands to lose outright, but that has been true regarding virtually every good thing that has happened in this world for the past two decades, and Moscow cannot do anything about it, save for beating down a tiny neighbor now and then. Of course, Beijing and Moscow will regret the precedent of yet another Western-led regime-change effort targeting a fellow authoritarian state. But since this war will be conducted prior to Iran's weaponization of its nuclear capacity, the enduring rule-set regarding nuclear weapons being off-limits will be preserved.
MGW12___Elections___Obama_Bad_UNT_2012.docx