How we determine demand for occupations Introduction: Determining demand,” in demand” or “in “not “balanced” The 2018 methodology is based on occupational projections and current supply-demand data. Specific levels of job growth and total job openings are used to designate an occupation as demand,” in demand” or “in “not “balanced.” Occupations that are included Unsuppressed occupations with employment in base year 2016, consisting of 50 or more jobs, are included in this analysis. Time frames used for projections Five-year projections for 2016-2021, average annual growth rates and total job openings. Ten-year projections for 2016-2026, using average annual growth rates and total job openings. A combination of two-year (2017Q2-2019Q2) and ten-year (2016-2026) projections, using average annual growth rates and total job openings. The methodology Step one: Identifying initial demand” and in demand” categories for each “in “not time frame Occupations with average annual growth rates of at least 90 percent of their respective geographic areas (statewide or workforce development area) total average annual growth rates a share of total openings of at least .08 percent and are demand.” “in Occupations with average annual growth rates less than 70 percent of their respective geographic areas total growth rates and a share of total openings of less than 1 percent are in demand.” “not Step two: Identifying provisional occupational categories If within any of the three projection time frames (five years, ten years and two/ten years), an occupation is categorized as being demand,” it receives a first “in provisional identification of demand.” “in If within any of the three projection time frames, an occupation is categorized as in demand,” it receives a second provisional identification of in “not “not demand.”
How we determine demand for occupations Introduction: Determining “in demand,” “not in demand” or “balanced” The 2018 methodology is based on occupational projections and current supply-demand data. Specific levels of job growth and total job openings are used to designate an occupation as “in demand,” “not in demand” or “balanced.” Occupations that are included Unsuppressed occupations with employment in base year 2016, consisting of 50 or more jobs, are included in this analysis. Time frames used for projections Five-year projections for 2016-2021, average annual growth rates and total job openings. Ten-year projections for 2016-2026, using average annual growth rates and total job openings. A combination of two-year (2017Q2-2019Q2) and ten-year (2016-2026) projections, using average annual growth rates and total job openings. The methodology Step one: Identifying initial “in demand” and “not in demand” categories for each time frame Occupations with average annual growth rates of at least 90 percent of their respective geographic areas (statewide or workforce development area) total average annual growth rates and a share of total openings of at least .08 percent are “in demand.” Occupations with average annual growth rates less than 70 percent of their respective geographic areas total growth rates and a share of total openings of less than 1 percent are “not in demand.” Step two: Identifying provisional occupational categories If within any of the three projection time frames (five years, ten years and two/ten years), an occupation is categorized as being “in demand,” it receives a first provisional identification of “in demand.” If within any of the three projection time frames, an occupation is categorized as “not in demand,” it receives a second provisional identification of “not in demand.”
OID_2018_methodology.docx