6-2 Pacific Gas and Electric Company Categorization of impacts on RPS Position Impact Categorization Retail Sales Variability: Variable and persistent Changes in retail sales tend to (If an outcome occurs, the persist beyond the current year effect persists through (e.g., economic growth, EE, CCA more than one year). and direct access (DA), and distributed generation impacts). Variable and short-term RPS Generation Variability: (If an outcome occurs, the Variability in yearly generation is effect may only occur for largely an annual phenomenon the individual year.) that has little persistence across time. Curtailment: Impact increases with higher Variable and persistent penetration of renewables and will be persistent. Project Failure Variability: Lost volume from project failure Variable and persistent persists through more than one year. Quantitative Information Deterministic Model Results Results from the deterministic model under the 33% RPS target are shown as the physical net short in Row Ga of Appendices C.1a and C.2a of its 2015 RPS Plan, while the results from the deterministic model under the 40% RPS scenario are shown as the physical net short in Row Ga of Appendices C.1b and C.2b. Appendices C.1a and C.1b provide a physical net
6-2 Pacific Gas and Electric Company Categorization of impacts on RPS Position Impact Categorization Retail Sales Variability: Changes in retail sales tend to persist beyond the current year (e.g., economic growth, EE, CCA and direct access (DA), and distributed generation impacts). RPS Generation Variability: Variability in yearly generation is largely an annual phenomenon that has little persistence across time. Variable and persistent (If an outcome occurs, the effect persists through more than one year). Variable and short-term (If an outcome occurs, the effect may only occur for the individual year.) Curtailment: Impact increases with higher penetration of renewables and will be persistent. Variable and persistent Project Failure Variability: Lost volume from project failure persists through more than one year. Variable and persistent Quantitative Information Deterministic Model Results Results from the deterministic model under the 33% RPS target are shown as the physical net short in Row Ga of Appendices C.1a and C.2a of its 2015 RPS Plan, while the results from the deterministic model under the 40% RPS scenario are shown as the physical net short in Row Ga of Appendices C.1b and C.2b. Appendices C.1a and C.1b provide a physical net