Table . Bulk statistics for prescribed burn and wildfire forecasts issued in the continental United States for maximum temperature, minimum relative humidity, and maximum wind speed. Number of (Spot (Spot Number of (NDFD (NDFD Number (Spot (Spot – – – – – – Forecasts Observation) Observation) Forecasts Observation) Observation) of RTMA) RTMA) (Spot Mean Error Median (NDFD Mean Error Median Forecasts Mean Median – – Observation) Absolute Observation) Absolute (Spot Error Absolute – Error Error RTMA) Error 44,901 -0.5 oC 1.3 oC 42,924 -1.7oC 1. oC 39,457 0.4 oC 1. oC Prescribed Burn Temperature Prescribed Burn 44,901 1.% 5.% 42,924 6.0% 6.6% 39,457 -3.26% 5.7% Relative Humidity Prescribed Burn 38,017 0.2 m s-1 1.3 m s-1 35,979 0.4 m s-1 1.4 m s-1 33,298 0.2 m s-1 1.1 m s-1 Wind Speed Wildfire 16,280 -0. oC 1. oC 14,680 -1. oC oC 15,885 0.2 oC 1.6 oC Temperature 16,280 0.% 4.0% 14,680 4.1% 5.% 15,885 -1.8% 4.2% Wildfire Relative Humidity Wildfire 8,860 0.7 m s-1 1.5 m s-1 8,075 0. m s-1 1. m s-1 8,872 0.3 m s-1 1. m s-1 Wind Speed
Table . Bulk statistics for prescribed burn and wildfire forecasts issued in the continental United States for maximum temperature, minimum relative humidity, and maximum wind speed. Number of Forecasts (Spot – Observation) (Spot – Observation) Mean Error (Spot – Observation) Median Absolute Error Number of Forecasts (NDFD – Observation) (NDFD – Observation) Mean Error (NDFD – Observation) Median Absolute Error Number of Forecasts (Spot – RTMA) (Spot – RTMA) Mean Error (Spot – RTMA) Median Absolute Error Prescribed Burn Temperature 44,901 -0.5 oC 1.3 oC 42,924 -1.7oC 1. oC 39,457 0.4 oC 1. oC Prescribed Burn Relative Humidity 44,901 1.% 5.% 42,924 6.0% 6.6% 39,457 -3.26% 5.7% Prescribed Burn Wind Speed 38,017 0.2 m s-1 1.3 m s-1 35,979 0.4 m s-1 1.4 m s-1 33,298 0.2 m s-1 1.1 m s-1 Wildfire Temperature 16,280 -0. oC 1. oC 14,680 -1. oC oC 15,885 0.2 oC 1.6 oC Wildfire Relative Humidity 16,280 0.% 4.0% 14,680 4.1% 5.% 15,885 -1.8% 4.2% Wildfire Wind Speed 8,860 0.7 m s-1 1.5 m s-1 8,075 0. m s-1 1. m s-1 8,872 0.3 m s-1 1. m s-1