All Sectors 298 310 422 522 526 NOTE: Individual entries may not sum to total due to rounding. Source: California Energy Commission, Demand Analysis Office, 2013 Table 5 shows the savings impact of emerging technologies across all scenarios for the combined IOUs in selected years. This category encompasses technologies that are not yet available in today’s market or at very low penetration levels but expected to become commercially viable during the forecast period. For electricity, most of the savings from emerging technologies comes from light-emitting diode (LED) lighting and new technologies. Natural gas savings come mainly from new furnace and dishwasher technologies. As indicated in the next section, assumptions for emerging technologies varied significantly among the scenarios, both in terms of cost-benefit adoption criteria and adjustments to the Navigant model results. For GWh, the percentage of total AAEE savings provided by emerging technologies ranges from 2 percent in Scenario 1 to 29 percent in Scenario 4. Table 5: Combined IOU Emerging Technology Savings by Scenario Year Scenario 1 Scenario 2 Scenario 3 Scenario 4 Scenario 5 (low) (low mid) (mid) (high mid) (high) 10 20 99 291 290 GWh 2015 53 107 613 1,704 1,754 2018 2020 102 206 1,201 3,583 3,677 2022 176 356 2,127 6,320 6,322 281 599 3,369 9,735 9,660 2024 1 1 9 31 30 MW 2015 6 12 77 258 259 2018 14 28 174 597 597 2020 2022 27 55 341 1,123 1,127 2024 47 96 575 1,841 1,827 0 0 0 0 0 Million 2015 1 2 5 10 9 Therms 2018 2 4 13 28 27 2020 2022 4 8 26 56 55 2024 6 13 44 96 92 Source: California Energy Commission, Demand Analysis Office, 2013 illustrates AAEE savings by individual IOU in the mid savings scenario for selected 6 years. Total savings are generally a function of total sales or peak demand in each IOU, although electricity savings percentages (relative to sales or peak) are slightly lower for SDG&E
All Sectors 298 310 422 522 526 NOTE: Individual entries may not sum to total due to rounding. Source: California Energy Commission, Demand Analysis Office, 2013 Table 5 shows the savings impact of emerging technologies across all scenarios for the combined IOUs in selected years. This category encompasses technologies that are not yet available in today’s market or at very low penetration levels but expected to become commercially viable during the forecast period. For electricity, most of the savings from emerging technologies comes from light-emitting diode (LED) lighting and new technologies. Natural gas savings come mainly from new furnace and dishwasher technologies. As indicated in the next section, assumptions for emerging technologies varied significantly among the scenarios, both in terms of cost-benefit adoption criteria and adjustments to the Navigant model results. For GWh, the percentage of total AAEE savings provided by emerging technologies ranges from 2 percent in Scenario 1 to 29 percent in Scenario 4. Table 5: Combined IOU Emerging Technology Savings by Scenario Year Scenario 1 (low) Scenario 2 (low mid) Scenario 3 (mid) Scenario 4 (high mid) Scenario 5 (high) GWh 2015 10 20 99 291 290 2018 53 107 613 1,704 1,754 2020 102 206 1,201 3,583 3,677 2022 176 356 2,127 6,320 6,322 2024 281 599 3,369 9,735 9,660 MW 2015 1 1 9 31 30 2018 6 12 77 258 259 2020 14 28 174 597 597 2022 27 55 341 1,123 1,127 2024 47 96 575 1,841 1,827 Million 2015 0 0 0 0 0 Therms 2018 1 2 5 10 9 2020 2 4 13 28 27 2022 4 8 26 56 55 2024 6 13 44 96 92 Source: California Energy Commission, Demand Analysis Office, 2013 6 illustrates AAEE savings by individual IOU in the mid savings scenario for selected years. Total savings are generally a function of total sales or peak demand in each IOU, although electricity savings percentages (relative to sales or peak) are slightly lower for SDG&E