Combined factors Four different regression models have been created to determine the extent to which different factors are associated with contravention, according to the contravention type and the court level that imposed the CCO. A detailed discussion of the regression analyses and results is presented in Appendix 3. An overview of the results of the four models is presented in Table 4 and discussed at [5.7]–[5.17]. Table 4: Association between factors and likelihood of contravention by contravention type and court level Variable 1. Contravention 2. Contravention 3. Contravention 4. Contravention by further by by further by offending offending CCOs imposed in the Magistrates’ CCOs imposed in the Court higher courts Offender factors Age of offender (18 Increased Increased Increased No change in to 24) likelihood likelihood likelihood likelihood Gender of offender No change in Increased No change in No change in (female) likelihood likelihood likelihood likelihood Prior convictions Increased Increased Increased No change in likelihood likelihood likelihood likelihood CCO type and length CCO type (combined Increased No change in No change in No change in with imprisonment) likelihood likelihood likelihood likelihood CCO length Increased Increased Increased No change in (Magistrates’ Court likelihood likelihood likelihood likelihood > 12 months, higher courts 24 months) ≥ CCO conditions No community work No change in Decreased Increased Increased (vs community work likelihood likelihood likelihood likelihood only) Community work + Increased No change in Increased No change in (vs community likelihood likelihood likelihood likelihood work only) Offence type (higher courts) Sexual offences vs Increased – – Decreased offences against the likelihood person likelihood Drug offences vs – – No change in No change in offences against the likelihood likelihood person No change in No change in – – offences vs offences likelihood likelihood against the person Weapons offences No change in No change in – – vs offences against likelihood likelihood the person
Combined factors Four different regression models have been created to determine the extent to which different factors are associated with contravention, according to the contravention type and the court level that imposed the CCO. A detailed discussion of the regression analyses and results is presented in Appendix 3. An overview of the results of the four models is presented in Table 4 and discussed at [5.7]–[5.17]. Table 4: Association between factors and likelihood of contravention by contravention type and court level Variable 1. Contravention by further offending 2. Contravention by 3. Contravention by further offending 4. Contravention by CCOs imposed in the Magistrates’ Court CCOs imposed in the higher courts Offender factors Age of offender (18 to 24) Increased likelihood Increased likelihood Increased likelihood No change in likelihood Gender of offender (female) No change in likelihood Increased likelihood No change in likelihood No change in likelihood Prior convictions Increased likelihood Increased likelihood Increased likelihood No change in likelihood CCO type and length CCO type (combined with imprisonment) Increased likelihood No change in likelihood No change in likelihood No change in likelihood CCO length (Magistrates’ Court > 12 months, higher courts ≥ 24 months) Increased likelihood Increased likelihood Increased likelihood No change in likelihood CCO conditions No community work (vs community work only) No change in likelihood Decreased likelihood Increased likelihood Increased likelihood Community work + (vs community work only) Increased likelihood No change in likelihood Increased likelihood No change in likelihood Offence type (higher courts) Sexual offences vs offences against the person – – Increased likelihood Decreased likelihood Drug offences vs offences against the person – – No change in likelihood No change in likelihood offences vs offences against the person – – No change in likelihood No change in likelihood Weapons offences vs offences against the person – – No change in likelihood No change in likelihood