Probability of Alternative recommended Scenarios biological catch (RBC) On 12 January 2017 (or other levels of SERAG considered the catch) causing a biological implications decline below limit to the flathead stock of reference under adopting the following proposed management phased approaches to Species that follow a reducing the TAC over HS rule that has been time: MSE tested will have a A 50 per cent cut in unlikely” score in “very the proposed this section (i.e. reduction in TAC for P<10%). 2017-18, with the view to updating the assessment in 2017. A 50 per cent cut in the proposed reduction in TAC for 2017-18, with the remaining 50 per cent to be deducted in 2018-19 with the view to updating the assessment in 2018. A 33.3 per cent cut in the proposed reduction in TAC each year over three years with the view to updating the assessment in 2019. For all options, the estimated spawning biomass depletion is at or above the target reference point of 40 per cent of virgin spawning biomass over the next five years as is consistent with objectives of the SESSF Harvest Strategy. TAC and trends Assessment 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Year
Probability of recommended biological catch (RBC) (or other levels of catch) causing a decline below limit reference under proposed management Species that follow a HS rule that has been MSE tested will have a “very unlikely” score in this section (i.e. P<10%). Alternative Scenarios On 12 January 2017 SERAG considered the biological implications to the flathead stock of adopting the following phased approaches to reducing the TAC over time: A 50 per cent cut in the proposed reduction in TAC for 2017-18, with the view to updating the assessment in 2017. A 50 per cent cut in the proposed reduction in TAC for 2017-18, with the remaining 50 per cent to be deducted in 2018-19 with the view to updating the assessment in 2018. A 33.3 per cent cut in the proposed reduction in TAC each year over three years with the view to updating the assessment in 2019. For all options, the estimated spawning biomass depletion is at or above the target reference point of 40 per cent of virgin spawning biomass over the next five years as is consistent with objectives of the SESSF Harvest Strategy. TAC and trends Assessment Year 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016