Table 2: Scenario 3 Metrics 2032 Input Parameters Units Scenario 3 Reference Value Fuel & Carbon Costs Natural Gas 2012$/MMBtu $6.90 $6.90 Coal 2012$/MMBtu $2.84 $2.84 Carbon 2012$/metric ton $37.11 $0.00 Capital Cost Reductions % below 2012 Geothermal 0% 0% cost % below 2012 IGCC w/ CCS 0% 0% cost % below 2012 Solar PV 31% 15% cost % below 2012 Solar Thermal 25% 12% cost % below 2012 Wind 8% 0% cost Net Energy for Load Base Energy GWh 1,163,526 1,118,518 Policy-Driven Energy GWh 0 0 Reductions Policy-Driven Electrification GWh 0 0 WECC Net Energy GWh 1,163,526 1,118,518 Implied Growth Rate, %/yr 1.54% 1.14% Unadjusted Load Implied Growth Rate, %/yr 1.54% 1.14% Adjusted Load Coincident Peak Demand Base Demand MW 198,715 191,023 Policy-Driven Demand MW -3,780 -3,780 Reductions Policy-Driven Electrification MW 0 0 WECC Coincident Peak MW 194,935 187,243 Implied Growth Rate, %/yr 1.45% 1.05% Unadjusted Load Implied Growth Rate, %/yr 1.25% 0.85% Adjusted Load Renewable Goals % of Load Current state policies, State RPS Current state policies Energy reduced by 50% % of Load Federal RPS none none Energy
Table 2: Scenario 3 Metrics Input Parameters Units 2032 Reference Value Scenario 3 Fuel & Carbon Costs Natural Gas 2012$/MMBtu $6.90 $6.90 Coal 2012$/MMBtu $2.84 $2.84 Carbon 2012$/metric ton $37.11 $0.00 Capital Cost Reductions Geothermal % below 2012 cost 0% 0% IGCC w/ CCS % below 2012 cost 0% 0% Solar PV % below 2012 cost 31% 15% Solar Thermal % below 2012 cost 25% 12% Wind % below 2012 cost 8% 0% Net Energy for Load Base Energy GWh 1,163,526 1,118,518 Policy-Driven Energy Reductions GWh 0 0 Policy-Driven Electrification GWh 0 0 WECC Net Energy GWh 1,163,526 1,118,518 Implied Growth Rate, Unadjusted Load %/yr 1.54% 1.14% Implied Growth Rate, Adjusted Load %/yr 1.54% 1.14% Coincident Peak Demand Base Demand MW 198,715 191,023 Policy-Driven Demand Reductions MW -3,780 -3,780 Policy-Driven Electrification MW 0 0 WECC Coincident Peak MW 194,935 187,243 Implied Growth Rate, Unadjusted Load %/yr 1.45% 1.05% Implied Growth Rate, Adjusted Load %/yr 1.25% 0.85% Renewable Goals State RPS % of Load Energy Current state policies Current state policies, reduced by 50% Federal RPS % of Load Energy none none