of the IP within the 14 days prior to restrictions being served, including Loch Fitty and the Firth of Forth. IP in direct flight path of gulls between Loch Fitty and waste disposal site. A fishing lake is situated within 0.5 km of IP. IP is not far from the coast. Flooded field harbouring wild waterfowl adjacent to the IP (for approx. 1 month), approx.50 meters from houses 7, 9 and 10. Small risk of fomite (feathers etc.) being sucked in through roof ventilation system (only houses 9 & 10). The egg trolley wheels are not disinfected and so present a potential risk pathway of fomite transfer to and from the lobby areas and their external connecting pathways into the poultry houses. Cats roaming on site but not believed to enter the sheds. Undisclosed The birds on the IP were placed in Negligible likelihood infection in the April 2015 at 19 weeks of age. Low uncertainty UK: Direct All-in, all-out policy (no live birds introduction by moved on or off the premises since purchased birds placement). Undisclosed Recent analysis of the UK AI Very low likelihood infection in the poultry survey supports that there Low uncertainty UK: Indirect has been no undisclosed infection contact with an in poultry flocks in the UK. infected flock No clinical signs consistent with the (Please note that Very low likelihood propagating disease profile there is medium Medium uncertainty expected of an LPAI introduction uncertainty (see presented at any traced premises table 10) visited. associated with the likelihood of undisclosed
of the IP within the 14 days prior to restrictions being served, including Loch Fitty and the Firth of Forth. IP in direct flight path of gulls between Loch Fitty and waste disposal site. A fishing lake is situated within 0.5 km of IP. IP is not far from the coast. Flooded field harbouring wild waterfowl adjacent to the IP (for approx. 1 month), approx.50 meters from houses 7, 9 and 10. Small risk of fomite (feathers etc.) being sucked in through roof ventilation system (only houses 9 & 10). The egg trolley wheels are not disinfected and so present a potential risk pathway of fomite transfer to and from the lobby areas and their external connecting pathways into the poultry houses. Cats roaming on site but not believed to enter the sheds. Undisclosed infection in the UK: Direct introduction by purchased birds The birds on the IP were placed in April 2015 at 19 weeks of age. All-in, all-out policy (no live birds moved on or off the premises since placement). Negligible likelihood Low uncertainty Undisclosed infection in the UK: Indirect contact with an infected flock (Please note that there is medium uncertainty (see table 10) associated with the likelihood of undisclosed Recent analysis of the UK AI poultry survey supports that there has been no undisclosed infection in poultry flocks in the UK. No clinical signs consistent with the propagating disease profile expected of an LPAI introduction presented at any traced premises visited. Very low likelihood Low uncertainty Very low likelihood Medium uncertainty