<s>[INST] The Bermuda Triangle is a region in the western part of the Atlantic Ocean where a number of aircraft and ships are said to have mysteriously disappeared. It is defined by the points where the island of Bermuda meets a line connecting Florida with Puerto Rico.

Given a list of plane and ship exposures and its disappearance in the Bermuda Triangle
What is the probability of disappearing if a flight/ship goes through Bermuda Triangle?[/INST]