In this paper, the credit scoring problem is studied by incorporating network information, where the advantages of such incorporation are investigated  in two scenarios. Firstly, a Bayesian optimal filter is proposed to provide a prediction for lenders assuming that published credit scores are estimated merely from structured individual data. Such prediction is used as a monitoring indicator for the risk warning in lenders' future financial decisions. Secondly, we further propose a recursive Bayes estimator  to improve the accuracy of credit scoring estimation by incorporating the dynamic interaction topology of clients as well . It is shown that under the proposed evolution framework, the designed estimator has a higher precision than any efficient estimator, and the mean square errors are strictly smaller than the Cram\'er-Rao lower bound for clients within a certain range of scores. Finally, simulation results for a specific case illustrate the effectiveness and feasibility of the proposed methods .
In this paper, the credit scoring problem is studied by incorporating networked information, where the advantages of such incorporation are investigated theoretically in two scenarios. Firstly, a Bayesian optimal filter is proposed to provide risk prediction for lenders assuming that published credit scores are estimated merely from structured financial data. Such prediction can then be used as a monitoring indicator for the risk management in lenders' future decisions. Secondly, a recursive Bayes estimator is further proposed to improve the precision of credit scoring by incorporating the dynamic interaction topology of clients . It is shown that under the proposed evolution framework, the designed estimator has a higher precision than any efficient estimator, and the mean square errors are strictly smaller than the Cram\'er-Rao lower bound for clients within a certain range of scores. Finally, simulation results for a special case illustrate the feasibility and effectiveness of the proposed algorithms .
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network
networked
A
theoretically
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a
risk
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individual
financial
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is
can then be
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warning
management
D
financial
D
we further propose
A
is further proposed
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accuracy
precision
D
estimation
D
as well
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specific
special
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effectiveness and feasibility
feasibility and effectiveness
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methods
algorithms