a further "birmingham post" poll on 15 march showed an increased labour lead with labour on 50%, the conservatives on 38%, the green party and sdp on 4%, liberal democrats on 3% and independents at 1%, while polls in the "daily telegraph" and the "daily mail" put the labour lead at 20% and 25% respectively. charles prior responded to poor polls by issuing a warning that a labour win in the byelection would damage the pound. labour leader neil kinnock visited the campaign in lichfield on 16 march, forecasting victory which he said would be a notice to quit for thatcher.