The Republicans have more or less already announced that they will refuse to consent to a replacement this term. That could change if Hillary wins (she will likely take the Senate with her if she does), but, the odds-on outcome is: Obama nominates someone, but no Obama nomination is confirmed.<p>It&#x27;s not just that it&#x27;s an election year, but that it&#x27;s a closely divided Senate with a liberal President replacing the most reliable and influential conservative on the Court.