Yes, what I mean is that, if you got a &quot;yes&quot; from the detector, it either means that:<p>- The sun hasn&#x27;t gone nova and the detector is lying (with 1&#x2F;36 chance)<p>- The sun has gone nova and the detector is not lying (negligible)<p>Now, given the result, one can calculate the probability of which of the cases<p>And the betting aspect of it makes sense as well