&gt; <i>&quot;there&#x27;s a good chance that&#x27;ll be Donald Trump&quot;</i><p>it&#x27;s actually pretty unlikely.  Fivethirtyeight has a bunch of good articles about this, but the simplest piece of information pointing to it: Trump is intensely disliked by about 60% of the voting public.  He&#x27;s got a vocal and enthusiastic following, but once you go outside that bubble, he simply doesn&#x27;t have room to grow.<p>I voted for Bush twice, McCain, and Romney, and I&#x27;ll vote for either Hillary or Bernie (two candidates I can&#x27;t stand) over Trump, and I&#x27;m far from alone.