The whole concept of &quot;being good at prediction&quot; is extraordinarily difficult to back up. If you were even a few percentage points better at prediction (especially economic predictions) than the average person, your life is pretty much made. You would literally be better than the average person at seeing into the future. There is a 1% of people (Warren Buffett and James Harris Simons for example) who are significantly better than the average person at predictions, but chances are some random Australian on a tech forum is not part of that 1%.