&gt;<i>The thing is, most industries begin with a short period of super-exponential improvements, most of what happen in the lab before the products even get sold.</i><p>Can you name any of those industries? Because most (if not all) industries and products I know, aside of IT, have none such &quot;super-exponential&quot; improvements at their beginnings, not even exponential ones year over year.<p>We don&#x27;t have 100x better cars than in 1950.<p>Film cameras didn&#x27;t get x better in their first years -- it was a slow and painful evolution that lasted decades to get to something like the 35mm film and standardized functionality.<p>We don&#x27;t have 10x better air-conditioning, watches, guitars, etc.<p>The only places I can think of where that holds are things like memory, storage, CPUs, GPUs etc -- all IT related. And maybe batteries, though I doubt it.