&quot;People who&#x27;s day job is to predict this stuff can&#x27;t even make good predictions.&quot;<p>That&#x27;s probably a good part of why everyone has an opinion - when the &quot;experts&quot; are so clearly clueless, everybody&#x27;s an expert.<p>&quot;If we&#x27;ve got data, let&#x27;s look at data.  If all we have are opinions, let&#x27;s go with mine.&quot;  -- Jim Barksdale