I agree that the 2016 election becoming a foregone conclusion is a circumstance in which a nomination might happen, but it&#x27;s the only one. Equally importantly, by the time the election becomes reasonably predictable, Obama will be butting up against the limits of the window in which he can get a nomination through <i>even in favorable conditions</i>.<p>Obama will not replace Scalia. I like the Dem&#x27;s chances this cycle and so am not despondent about this.