If SpaceX get their launch cost per Falcon 9 down to the close order of $1M, and succeed in re-using Dragon 2 for multiple flights,  then that&#x27;s a price on the order of $100-200K <i>per seat to orbit</i>.<p>If Bigelow then have an inflatastation on orbit -- made a whole lot more plausible with Falcon Heavy on-stream and semi-reusable -- then there&#x27;s a plausible market for <i>real</i> space tourism (as in, stay in a hotel for multiple nights in orbit) for under $1M, possibly considerably less.<p>What&#x27;s the next step? Some kind of Earth Departure Stage and a lunar fly-by?<p>Just speculating here, but Blue Origin&#x27;s current rocket is purely sub-orbital. It&#x27;ll tap out the $100K space tourism market <i>really fast</i>. While SpaceX is building a commercial launch manifest and the infrastructure to support orbital and trans-lunar space tourism <i>as a hobby on the side</i> (I&#x27;d expect Musk to go this route with free rides for billionaire potential investors when he&#x27;s gearing up for Mars).<p>Oh, I&#x27;ll bet National Geographic is already thinking about ways and means of recording and monetizing a &quot;Return to the Moon&quot; mega-documentary before 2030. It&#x27;d probably be do-able by 2022 for on the order of $1Bn with Apollo-levels of risk and the equivalent of a Block 1 LEM (two astronauts to surface, 24-48 hour excursion, no rover); assume half the money goes on developing the LEM and the rest  on Falcon Heavy launches. By 2030 it&#x27;ll be the same price, but a whole lot more comprehensive (a 4-6 body crew, multi-week excursion).<p>Utility of Blue Origin&#x27;s current platform in developing such a &quot;real&quot; space tourism market? Approximately zip.