Okay, here&#x27;s an extremely unscientific rebuttal to your sports analogy.<p>There are 13,700 professional athletes in the United States [0], compared to
670,000 amateur athletes in the Amateur Athletic Union [1] (there are surely many more outside of that particular group but let&#x27;s go with it). That gives us a 2% rate of 10x athleticism.<p>Let&#x27;s assume that 10x engineers occur at the same rate as athletic exceptionalism (yes, that&#x27;s silly but why not). According to another questionable statistic, there were 1,114,000 software developers in the US in 2014 [2].<p>Now we&#x27;ve already established that outstanding engineers occur at the same rate as professional atheletes. What does that give us? Tens of thousands of professional 10x engineers.<p>[0] <a href="http:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.bls.gov&#x2F;ooh&#x2F;entertainment-and-sports&#x2F;athletes-and-sports-competitors.htm" rel="nofollow">http:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.bls.gov&#x2F;ooh&#x2F;entertainment-and-sports&#x2F;athletes-and...</a><p>[1] <a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;en.wikipedia.org&#x2F;wiki&#x2F;Amateur_Athletic_Union" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;en.wikipedia.org&#x2F;wiki&#x2F;Amateur_Athletic_Union</a><p>[2] <a href="http:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.bls.gov&#x2F;ooh&#x2F;computer-and-information-technology&#x2F;software-developers.htm" rel="nofollow">http:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.bls.gov&#x2F;ooh&#x2F;computer-and-information-technology&#x2F;s...</a>