By ending up being the only one who was correct about a catastrophe warning, and being vocal about it in the aftermath, you somehow implicitly throw everyone else under the bus.<p>Since &quot;everyone else&quot; &gt; &quot;you&quot;, majority rules, you go.<p>It&#x27;s a bureaucracy problem. I&#x27;ve seen it, and it&#x27;s also gotten me at least once, when I decided to stick up for principles. My ego left intact, my job did not.<p>This is also why getting fired should not automatically carry a negative stigma.<p>I have a counterpoint- I bet that, given any risky endeavour, there are ALWAYS some naysayers&#x2F;doubters. So the probability that <i>someone</i> at an organization ends up being correct when a disaster occurs, is probably fairly high. Thus, just because you won the disaster prediction lottery, may not entitle you to as much acclaim as you might think.