I&#x27;m all for people having fun.  I&#x27;m also all for people really understanding their odds.  In my experience, &#x27;pick a dime&#x27; works better than &#x27;struck by a meteorite&#x27; in the limited time I&#x27;ve used the example.  It seems that people around me have a harder time grasping the wide gulf between abstract stuff like &quot;struck by lightning&quot; vs &quot;10 times as likely to be struck by a meteorite&quot;, and something they can measure&#x2F;visualize and break down in to pieces.<p>The driving example is exactly the same as saying &quot;put 250M dimes in a big pot, then pick the exact one randomly&quot;.  However, restating the problem, in a way that breaks down naturally into individual units that people can grasp, can help prevent it from becoming too abstract.