I seriously believe it&#x27;ll be here in no more than 3 years, maybe 5 if there are regulatory hurdles. There&#x27;s just too much value to capture for everyone to be half-assing it.<p>EDIT: Citations<p>&quot;Google Self-Driving Car Project Monthly Report | December 2015&quot;
<a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;static.googleusercontent.com&#x2F;media&#x2F;www.google.com&#x2F;en&#x2F;&#x2F;selfdrivingcar&#x2F;files&#x2F;reports&#x2F;report-1215.pdf" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;static.googleusercontent.com&#x2F;media&#x2F;www.google.com&#x2F;en...</a><p>&quot;We’re currently averaging 10,000-15,000 autonomous miles per week on public streets&quot;<p>There are ~100K Model S vehicles. Somewhere around VIN 55K is when autopilot hardware was introduced (<a href="http:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.teslamotorsclub.com&#x2F;showthread.php&#x2F;44787-Autopilot-production-start-VIN-and-or-date" rel="nofollow">http:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.teslamotorsclub.com&#x2F;showthread.php&#x2F;44787-Autopilo...</a>). Let&#x27;s conservatively say that there are 40K Model S vehicles out there with self-driving hardware that are refining their data, and consequently, algorithms Tesla is updating. 40K vehicles * 12K miles&#x2F;year&#x2F;vehicle (average) = 40,000,000 miles&#x2F;month (!!!) in &quot;autonomous experience&quot; Tesla is gaining. (Fun fact: The average human drives ~500K miles in their lifetime)<p>&quot;According to Fred Lambert from Electrek, Musk referred to the first round of Model S owners with Autopilot as &quot;expert trainers&quot; that will collect and deliver tons of important data for Tesla&#x27;s intelligence network. Musk said the system should improve each week as the driving algorithm constantly updates, adding Model S drivers could add around 1 million miles of new data every day.&quot;<p><a href="http:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.techinsider.io&#x2F;elon-musk-explains-tesla-autopilot-2015-10" rel="nofollow">http:&#x2F;&#x2F;www.techinsider.io&#x2F;elon-musk-explains-tesla-autopilot...</a><p>That&#x27;s a lot of progress being made each month.