Counterpoint(s) to this theory: <a href="http:&#x2F;&#x2F;lesswrong.com&#x2F;lw&#x2F;hl&#x2F;lotteries_a_waste_of_hope&#x2F;" rel="nofollow">http:&#x2F;&#x2F;lesswrong.com&#x2F;lw&#x2F;hl&#x2F;lotteries_a_waste_of_hope&#x2F;</a> and <a href="http:&#x2F;&#x2F;lesswrong.com&#x2F;lw&#x2F;hm&#x2F;new_improved_lottery&#x2F;" rel="nofollow">http:&#x2F;&#x2F;lesswrong.com&#x2F;lw&#x2F;hm&#x2F;new_improved_lottery&#x2F;</a><p>Care of ikeboy on the lottery simulator thread.<p><a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;news.ycombinator.com&#x2F;item?id=10868702" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;news.ycombinator.com&#x2F;item?id=10868702</a>