According to you, in the past, your vague power &quot;theories&quot; predict that &quot;the pattern is long periods of stability&quot;. In fact, that&#x27;s the only concrete prediction you&#x27;ve ever been willing to state.<p><a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;news.ycombinator.com&#x2F;item?id=9987011" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;news.ycombinator.com&#x2F;item?id=9987011</a><p>It&#x27;s &quot;conservative&quot; to take as an assumption a prediction from your &quot;theory&quot;? (&quot;Theory&quot; is in quotes, since you work so hard to avoid testable predictions.)