I think Jaron knows what many engineers who have worked on AI know: That the external promise of AI is far more inflated than the capability of the actual technology.  It&#x27;s simply that when the current technology gets just complicated enough for the above-average person to no longer understand, everyone starts assigning magical properties and expectations to it.  This results in short term over-valuations, which inevitably lead to disappointment [1].<p>Jaron has observed this several times and rightly seems to be tired of repeating the same naive cycle.<p>As I&#x27;m just now entering my second cycle and watching tech repeat itself again -- I&#x27;m beginning to understand his weariness.<p>[1] <a href="https:&#x2F;&#x2F;hbr.org&#x2F;2015&#x2F;12&#x2F;the-overvaluation-trap" rel="nofollow">https:&#x2F;&#x2F;hbr.org&#x2F;2015&#x2F;12&#x2F;the-overvaluation-trap</a>