Black voters seem likely to vote in higher numbers for Trump than any other Republican as do working class White Democrats. That isn&#x27;t to say Trump will win those demographics, but 20% of the Black vote should be enough for any Republican to win nationally when the Republican average is 5% lately.<p>Hispanics don&#x27;t vote in large numbers and Chicanos -- the only category Trump might be especially unpopular with -- overwhelmingly don&#x27;t live in swing states or turn out to vote. Muslims don&#x27;t make up a large voting block and already are overwhelmingly Democrats.<p>I&#x27;m not predicting a Trump victory, but you are far too sanguine about his chances and the underlying demographic realities.