Originality is not required - being pointed in the right direction is.<p>This is sadly another one of these &quot;HN does negativity&quot; again (as opposed to nativity, which I would pay for tickets)<p>Andreessen is right in <i>most</i> of his (yes,bombastic) pronouncements - right in the direction of travel, right in the wave to catch.<p>Which is what is wanted.  Society has a lot of challenges ahead and we need plenty of scouts out ahead warning of the danger and the opportunities.  The more scouts who come back, and are right about the lay of the land, the better prepared we will be.<p>So, are his rationales for the future correct? Mostly. Are his investments based on those rationales profitable - less than previous, but that&#x27;s only relevant if you are an investor in a16z<p>I hope he keeps calling them, and I look forward to robust discussions about the correctness of his calls - but don&#x27;t expect that discussion to occur in mainstream papers - HN is where we should do that.