I don&#x27;t know anything about oil, but it seems unrealistic to claim to be able to predict markets. Liquidating all your reserves at current price is unlikely to be seen as a wise move. (And wouldn&#x27;t selling more oil than the US uses annually impact prices somehow?)<p>If you magically had knowledge of the range of prices over 10+ years you could do all sorts of money making things.<p>Edit: Looked into this a bit. Futures on oil 2 years out are already over $50. So &quot;the market&quot; is far less certain then the author. I&#x27;d also imagine quite a bit of damage to oil producers if the price stays low. After they shut down, why wouldn&#x27;t the price rise?