1. Privacy becomes more important to social networks<p>2. Social networks withdraw more APIs to protect not only privacy but their own business interests<p>3. Privacy becomes more annoying to lawmakers<p>4. Lawmakers in the US vote in more surveillance powers to force social networks to comply with their information demands<p>5. Lawmakers in the EU create new laws to constrain their citizens&#x27; data to EU countries<p>6. Distributed social networks pick up traction in both the EU and US in response to #3 and #4. One will be promoted by a major player, probably Google as a play against Facebook.