You&#x27;re correct in the narrow sense (a commercial flight is less likely to crash) but wrong on the big picture (a commercial flight is safer for passengers).<p>Here&#x27;s the thing: we don&#x27;t care about the number of crashed airplanes, we care about crashed people (the number of deaths).  And the number of deaths is about the same per passenger mile flown.<p>Passengers are no safer in either form of flying, according to this source.