And immediately follows that with an example where &quot;four hits is no less likely to happen by chance than two hits and two misses or three hits and one miss&quot; (perhaps if he said &quot;two hits followed by two misses&quot;, but that would make no sense in the context, so I think he meant exactly what he wrote, i.e. that having 2 hits out of 4 is as likely as having 4 out of 4.)<p>Honestly, this is just ridiculous.