They lost me at the basketball story. The point would be valid if the scoring baskets were uncorrelated events, but they&#x27;re not - a player&#x27;s physical and mental state on the day of play will be similar for all of them, and different than on another day.<p>Then immediately after he talks about the probability of dice rolls, without realizing that rolling a 7 is much more likely than rolling a 2 if you&#x27;re using a pair of dice.