I don&#x27;t think anyone can give you that level of analysis. To do it &#x27;properly&#x27; would require a set of interlinked models on the scale of the IPCC models. Certainly not in a <i>free</i> analysis; Gartner probably have some papers on this.<p>But as usual the truth lies somewhere between the delusional hype and the denialists, in the form of a gradual rollout. Realistically the newly-commissioned gas power plants are not going anywhere for 30 years, especially when shale gas is so cheap in the US. The short term in Europe is dominated by the Combustion Plant Directive closing down coal plants that reach the end of their working lives. Southern US will see more and more solar. The grid is not going anywhere and will probably require ongoing point upgrades. And so on.