Being openminded isn&#x27;t much of a start though. How do you narrow down which seemingly-normal things are really facades for something? How do you privilege the hypothesis[1]?<p>If you were, in this case, claiming it was because the CI was looking for Russian ships - what evidence do you have? Given enough conspiracy theories, at least <i>one</i> will be right. But that one right one shouldn&#x27;t be accorded any point if there was no reason to believe it over other ideas.<p>1: <a href="http:&#x2F;&#x2F;lesswrong.com&#x2F;lw&#x2F;19m&#x2F;privileging_the_hypothesis&#x2F;" rel="nofollow">http:&#x2F;&#x2F;lesswrong.com&#x2F;lw&#x2F;19m&#x2F;privileging_the_hypothesis&#x2F;</a>