Let&#x27;s see:  Event A will cause event B.  Event B will
will be really bad.  So, let&#x27;s go on and on 
about how bad event B will be, all the
direct effects and all the indirect
effects.  On and on.<p>So, get people all up on their hind legs
based on how bad event B will be.<p>But event A, what about event A?<p>How do we know that event A will happen?<p>When do we get solid information about
the chances of event A?<p>Event B:  Gigantic flocks of 
pigs flying over our largest cities
and dropping huge piles of pig poop.
Let&#x27;s talk about all the really horrible
problems all those flying pigs will 
cause.  Let&#x27;s get the EPA, USDA, 
CDC, etc. working really hard on the
problem.  Let&#x27;s pass a lot of new
laws restricting and taxing pigs.
Let&#x27;s have the NIH doing genetic
studies on how to do genetic engineering
to throttle the flying pigs.  We need
a UN effort to constrain all those
flying pigs with some treaties with
some severe sanctions to protect
the world, including the poorest 
people who will be hurt the <i>worst</i>,
from all those flying pigs.<p>In all of this, what is the chance
of event A, the chances of the 
gigantic flocks of flying pigs?<p>So, since event B with those pigs
would be so bad, we get to neglect
talking about event A that the
pigs will fly at all?<p>I smell the faint whiff of propaganda
pig poop.