Sure, but Yegge&#x27;s original post wasn&#x27;t cautioning about speed of adoption being slow, it was ridiculing the notion that companies were even close to knowing what consumers wanted and suggesting there were huge collaboration and content problems, as well as technical issues, questioning the idea of a $500 price point for ordinary consumers and suggesting that smartphones and tablets people actually wanted to buy weren&#x27;t going to happen for a &quot;long time&quot;.<p>In practice, the ultimate form of today&#x27;s smartphone was starting to take shape in secret in Cupertino pretty much as he wrote his article, the now ubiquitous design went on sale within 2 and a half years, the App store came the following year and Apple alone had already shipped 30M units before the &quot;at least&quot; 5 years were up. The release of the iPad also took less than six years.<p>Yegge didn&#x27;t see significant enough innovations taking place within 5 or so years to make an impact. In fact, <i>all</i> the innovations that lead to over a billion people owning smartphones today took place in that time frame, with only incremental improvements since then.<p>I think it&#x27;s pretty generous of Steve to give himself more than half marks for that!