<i>I&#x27;m simply extrapolating current trends.</i><p>Extrapolating current trends doesn&#x27;t work in the face of exponential mumbo jumbo.<p>Who would have expected training a character-by-character network could produce reasonable output?  <a href="http:&#x2F;&#x2F;karpathy.github.io&#x2F;2015&#x2F;05&#x2F;21&#x2F;rnn-effectiveness&#x2F;" rel="nofollow">http:&#x2F;&#x2F;karpathy.github.io&#x2F;2015&#x2F;05&#x2F;21&#x2F;rnn-effectiveness&#x2F;</a><p>Sure, there&#x27;s no &quot;understanding&quot; or &quot;consciousness&quot; behind the output, but purely statistically, it generates something readable by humans.<p>Also, let&#x27;s not forget scale.  A human brain has between 100 and 200 trillion synapses connecting ~100 billion neurons to make consciousness work.  Our toy neural nets so far aren&#x27;t anywhere near those levels.