&quot;The third big factor is that autonomous vehicles are coming. We probably will have them by 2030; they’ll be fairly common. &quot; I honestly think this is wishful thinking. At least not in the &quot;autonomous&quot; form that many people imagine. If anything, they will be like Tesla&#x27;s autopilot mode - so the car will keep itself in lane, brake and accelerate, but not much more - you still have to pay attention all the time and be ready to take control at a moment notice. Fully autonomous vehicles where you can take a nap or turn around in your seat and read a book or watch a film will take half a century if not more, if not because of technological reasons then because of legal ones. I would say both are going to be huge.