<i>&quot;If more of their bets pay off than don&#x27;t, they come out ahead. That is very hard for investors to understand but some get it and some don&#x27;t.&quot;</i><p>If you are an investor and don&#x27;t understand that, I strongly suggest you change jobs. Investing isn&#x27;t a lottery with guaranteed wins.<p>Also, the article hints that Tesla doesn&#x27;t have enough money in its pockets to withstand making few bad bets. They may have a strategy that is guaranteed to move them ahead after 20 bets, but if they have money for only 3 bets, they may run out of money before they can pay for those 20 bets.<p>But yes, from what I understand, the financial journalists aren&#x27;t reporting what kind of deadline was talked about. If you have a zillion suppliers, you don&#x27;t tell them &quot;July 1, but if you don&#x27;t make it, it is OK&quot;, but you also know that, statistically, something will go wrong. A fire in a factory, a strike, an earthquake, or a design change, all can lead to delays, and cannot be avoided.