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| "name": "Jean Mahfouz Profile ImageJean Mahfouz19 Oct, 2024 04:41 amI would be wary of Lichtman's model. There's an excellent Atlantic piece deconstructing it. Lichtman originally asserted his model predicted popular-vote winners; not state-by-state results. So in 2016, his prediction of Trump winning was then essentially backwards -- ...Reply to a comment·Vote UpVote Down·Show more repliesdavid be Profile Imagedavid be19 Oct, 2024 04:47 amThe polls did not say that Hillary would win in a landslide. They said she would get a majority of the vote, which she did. They also said that it would be close in many key states, which it was. The media reading out those polls chose to focus on the 1st conclusion without further reflection. They...Reply to a comment·Vote UpVote Down·Show more replies", | |
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