GAME CHANGER: HOW TRUMP IS BRINGING BACK The “Missing Voter” The GOP Forgot AboutOne of the most interesting and insightful pieces you will read on the reason Americans are drawn to Trump Where did all the Trump voters come from, and where did the Cruz evangelicals go? One of the great mysteries of the 2016 primary is how so many assessments of the Republican electorate turned out to be wrong. The primary electorate that gave us Donald Trump as the presumptive nominee was dramatically different from the one that chose Mitt Romney in 2012.Jeb Bush thought there was a huge, quiescent moderate majority nostalgic for a return to the Bush era, or looking for a doggedly inoffensive candidate like himself, blessed with endorsements from all the right people and a campaign war chest so huge it was supposed to scare other candidates out of the race. Senator Rand Paul thought the GOP s libertarian moment had arrived, driven by young voters who were deeply concerned about privacy issues in the online era and weary of interventionist foreign policy under Bush and Obama alike. Senator Marco Rubio thought he had crossover appeal to every faction of the Republican Party and so much electability that GOP voters would be crazy to turn him down. Governors like Rick Perry and Scott Walker thought voters in other states would be impressed by their successful resumes.Most baffling was the miscalculation of Senator Ted Cruz, who was counting on a Southern conservative and evangelical firewall that should have made him an early front-runner. Cruz had every reason to think those voters were out there and every reason to suppose they would be unwilling to support Donald Trump, on both moral and policy grounds.Instead, Trump cleaned up with evangelicals, and his eventual victory in the primary was heralded by many observers as a death knell for  movement conservatism.  At the very least, we were told, conservatives were in such disarray that they couldn t unite around a candidate who could stop Trump, even though well over half the party didn t want him as the nominee.The alternative theory of Trump s primary victory is that he s bringing new voters into the Republican primaries, and it s clearly not just a few saboteurs looking to set Hillary Clinton up with her preferred GOP opponent.NBC News is the latest outlet to run a story on Trump bringing new voters into the GOP fold, noting that the 2016 Florida primary saw tens of thousands more votes cast than Mitt Romney s take in the 2012 general election, and the lion s share of the new votes went to Trump. In Establishment-friendly Northeastern races, Ohio Governor John Kasich pulled vote totals comparable to Romney s primary vote in 2012, but Trump s new voters swamped him.Sean Trende at RealClearPolitics suggested in January that neglected white working-class voters were coming back to the GOP after taking a pass on Mitt Romney in 2012. Trende described them as  mostly lower-income, blue-collar voters who lived in areas that had also voted for Ross Perot,  who had been turned off by  Mitt Romney s wealth and upper-class demeanor. Missing voter  theories abound after big elections, because so much of the eligible American electorate consistently chooses not to vote. With voter participation well under 60%, even in big presidential elections, the  missing electorate  is big enough to be a theoretical game-changer in virtually every race. It s arresting when a missing electorate returns, as Trende suggests is happening with Trump.Along the way, he makes the point that Ted Cruz was fundamentally wrong about who the missing voters were, as he frequently quoted analysts who misunderstood what Trende was saying in his 2012 election post-mortem.They weren t evangelicals miffed that Mitt Romney was a Mormon, or a moderate. The missing voters weren t mainly conservative Christians at all, since Trende notes that that cohort has always maintained a level of voter participation far above the national average. Many of the missing voters disengaged from politics long before 2012, and it s mostly because they didn t think either party had anything to offer them.The key to understanding this theory is to remember that Ross Perot brought a lot of disengaged working-class people into politics too, and besides his famous disdain for deficit spending, the big planks in his platform were opposition to illegal immigration and criticism of big trade deals, particularly the North American Free Trade Agreement, which both Bill Clinton and George H. W. Bush supported. In the second presidential debate in 1992, Perot famously spoke of  a giant sucking sound going south  to describe the effect NAFTA would have when American jobs went to Mexico.It s no surprise that Donald Trump is talking about NAFTA too, and getting a huge response at his campaign rallies, even as analysts on the Left and Right scratch their heads and wonder why he s talking about a  settled issue  from two decades ago after Bill Clinton signed it into law.To the missing voters, NAFTA has never been a settled issue, or a forgotten one. They re still hurting from the shift of jobs and opportunities out of the country. They were told not to worry about it, because new high-tech jobs with better pay and working conditions would replace the  jobs Americans just won t do  and then those jobs got sent overseas as well, or filled with H1-B visa workers.There is a line of argument from free trade enthusiasts that insists such policies are good for the country overall. We re told that controlling legal immigration, or even cracking down on illegal immigration could significantly damage the U.S. economy. These grand strategies overlook the fact that the people who have been getting clobbered for decades to provide this higher level of national prosperity are tired of being the designated losers. On both the Left and Right, there is anger from people who believe they have been exploited to make others wealthy. That s the fundamental argument of liberal ideology, but Republican leaders really should have noticed when a substantial number of their traditional constituents began feeling that way.These disaffected working-class people are especially weary of master plans that deliberately injure Americans for the benefit of big U.S. investors and foreign interests. That s why a willingness to speak frankly about immigration was such a powerful signal to the missing voters, a sign that Trump was aware of them, in a way that few other Republicans were.The core element of any fair deal for neglected American workers is the acknowledgement that America exists, and its government understands that it has a unique responsibility to American citizens. There is nothing inherently hostile or xenophobic about that understanding. The put-upon citizens of the most open and generous country in the world are tired of being insulted as selfish and hateful for insisting our national priority should be our nation.For decades now, our central government has asserted the wisdom and moral stature to pick  winners and losers.  Those assertions are especially loud from Barack Obama, but he wasn t the first to make them. The people who feel they ve been picked as losers, for generations, are tired of it.Trende talked about the shifting  priorities  of these voters, which could go a long way toward explaining why Cruz didn t get the support he was looking for in the South. It s not so much a question of those voters rejecting Constitutional conservatism, as their political priorities shifting to more immediate concerns.They re under attack by the federal government, and they want relief. Intellectual discourse on the Constitutional basis for freedom of religious expression has less political value when the federal government is sending a battalion of lawyers to escort men into the women s restroom. They still care about our future of unsustainable government debt, but their more immediate concern is getting the economy moving for their regions and income brackets again. Abstract discussion about the proper limits of government gives way to more concrete concerns: What will you do to bring the jobs back, nourish our wages back to health, and make us feel like something more than targets?Some of the blame for those errors is due to the Republican Party at large, which frittered away the Reagan legacy through both Bush presidencies, and allowed the Left to teach the masses what  capitalism  means. Reagan brilliantly redefined the relationship between American citizens and their government, but as soon as he was gone, the GOP allowed that new understanding to be erased, perhaps mistakenly convinced it was unnecessary to defend capitalism from socialism while the Soviet Union was busy collapsing into a pile of ashes.A gulf developed between Republican leadership and the voters they should be able to reach. Until now, they didn t realize how wide that gulf was. They didn t invest nearly enough effort in figuring out who the missing voters were or how to bring them back. On the contrary, the GOP leadership devoted more energy to stamping out the first sign of renewed political life from those disaffected Americans, the Tea Party movement. Instead of understanding who those people were, absorbing their strength into the Republican coalition, or really listening to what they were saying, the GOP Establishment set about marginalizing them. They didn t realize how much damage they were doing to themselves among people who were watching the fate of the Tea Party movement, without being active members of it. Exasperating signals were sent, and received.For entire story: Breitbart News politics
game changer how trump is bringing back the missing voter the gop forgot aboutone interesting insightful pieces read reason americans drawn trump where trump voters come cruz evangelicals go one great mysteries primary many assessments republican electorate turned wrong the primary electorate gave us donald trump presumptive nominee dramatically different one chose mitt romney bush thought huge quiescent moderate majority nostalgic return bush era looking dogged offensive candidate like blessed endorsements right people campaign war chest huge supposed scare candidates race senator rand paul thought gop libertarian moment arrived driven young voters deeply concerned privacy issues online era weary interventions foreign policy bush obama alike senator marco rubio thought crossover appeal every faction republican party much electability gop voters would crazy turn governors like rick perry scott walker thought voters states would impressed successful battling miscalculation senator ted cruz counting southern conservative evangelical firewall made early cruz every reason think voters every reason suppose would unwilling support donald trump moral policy trump cleaned evangelicals eventual victory primary heralded many observers death nell movement conservatism at least told conservatives disarray unite around candidate could stop trump even though well half party want alternative theory trump primary victory bringing new voters republican primaries clearly saboteurs looking set hillary clinton preferred gop news latest outlet run story trump bringing new voters gop fold noting florida primary saw tens thousands votes cast mitt romney take general election lion share new votes went trump in northeastern races ohio governor john basic pulled vote totals comparable romney primary vote trump new voters swamped trend realclearpolitics suggested january neglected white voters coming back gop taking pass mitt romney trend described mostly voters lived areas also voted ross prot turned mitt romney wealth demeanor missing voter theories abound big elections much eligible american electorate consistently chooses vote with voter participation well even big presidential elections missing electorate big enough theoretical virtually every race it arresting missing electorate returns trend suggests happening way makes point ted cruz fundamentally wrong missing voters frequently quoted analysts misunderstood trend saying election evangelicals mixed mitt romney mormon moderate the missing voters mainly conservative christians since trend notes cohort always maintained level voter participation far national average many missing voters disengage politics long mostly think either party anything offer key understanding theory remember ross prot brought lot disengage people politics besides famous disdain deficit spending big planks platform opposition illegal immigration criticism big trade deals particularly north american free trade agreement bill clinton george bush supported in second presidential debate prot famously spoke giant sucking sound going south describe effect bafta would american jobs went surprise donald trump talking bafta getting huge response campaign rallies even analysts left right scratch heads wonder talking settled issue two decades ago bill clinton signed missing voters bafta never settled issue forgotten one they still hurting shift jobs opportunities country they told worry new jobs better pay working conditions would replace jobs americans jobs got sent overseas well filled visa line argument free trade enthusiasts insists policies good country overall we told controlling legal immigration even cracking illegal immigration could significantly damage economy these grand strategies overlook fact people getting clobbered decades provide higher level national prosperity tired designated losers on left right anger people believe exploited make others wealthy that fundamental argument liberal ideology republican leaders really noticed substantial number traditional constituents began feeling disaffected people especially weary master plans deliberately injure americans benefit big investors foreign interests that willingness speak frankly immigration powerful signal missing voters sign trump aware way republicans core element fair deal neglected american workers acknowledgement america exists government understands unique responsibility american citizens there nothing inherently hostile xenophobia understanding the citizens open generous country world tired insulted selfish hateful insisting national priority decades central government asserted wisdom moral stature pick winners losers those assertions especially loud barack obama first make the people feel picked losers generations tired talked shifting priorities voters could go long way toward explaining cruz get support looking south it much question voters rejecting constitutional conservatism political priorities shifting immediate attack federal government want relief intellectual discourse constitutional basis freedom religious expression less political value federal government sending battalion lawyers escort men women restroom they still care future unsustainable government debt immediate concern getting economy moving regions income brackets abstract discussion proper limits government gives way concrete concerns what bring jobs back tourism wages back health make us feel like something targets some blame errors due republican party large filtered away reagan legacy bush residencies allowed left teach masses capitalism means reagan brilliantly redefined relationship american citizens government soon gone gop allowed new understanding erased perhaps mistakenly convinced unnecessary defend capitalism socialism soviet union busy collapsing pile gulf developed republican leadership voters able reach until realize wide gulf they invest nearly enough effort figuring missing voters bring back on contrary gop leadership devoted energy stamping first sign renewed political life disaffected americans tea party movement instead understanding people absorbing strength republican coalition really listening saying gop establishment set marginalizing they realize much damage among people watching fate tea party movement without active members exasperating signals sent entire story breitbart news politics
Your task is to classify the provided input as real or fake news. Label 0 is meant for fake news, Label 1 is for real news. TEXT: GAME CHANGER: HOW TRUMP IS BRINGING BACK The “Missing Voter” The GOP Forgot AboutOne of the most interesting and insightful pieces you will read on the reason Americans are drawn to Trump Where did all the Trump voters come from, and where did the Cruz evangelicals go? One of the great mysteries of the 2016 primary is how so many assessments of the Republican electorate turned out to be wrong. The primary electorate that gave us Donald Trump as the presumptive nominee was dramatically different from the one that chose Mitt Romney in 2012.Jeb Bush thought there was a huge, quiescent moderate majority nostalgic for a return to the Bush era, or looking for a doggedly inoffensive candidate like himself, blessed with endorsements from all the right people and a campaign war chest so huge it was supposed to scare other candidates out of the race. Senator Rand Paul thought the GOP s libertarian moment had arrived, driven by young voters who were deeply concerned about privacy issues in the online era and weary of interventionist foreign policy under Bush and Obama alike. Senator Marco Rubio thought he had crossover appeal to every faction of the Republican Party and so much electability that GOP voters would be crazy to turn him down. Governors like Rick Perry and Scott Walker thought voters in other states would be impressed by their successful resumes.Most baffling was the miscalculation of Senator Ted Cruz, who was counting on a Southern conservative and evangelical firewall that should have made him an early front-runner. Cruz had every reason to think those voters were out there and every reason to suppose they would be unwilling to support Donald Trump, on both moral and policy grounds.Instead, Trump cleaned up with evangelicals, and his eventual victory in the primary was heralded by many observers as a death knell for  movement conservatism.  At the very least, we were told, conservatives were in such disarray that they couldn t unite around a candidate who could stop Trump, even though well over half the party didn t want him as the nominee.The alternative theory of Trump s primary victory is that he s bringing new voters into the Republican primaries, and it s clearly not just a few saboteurs looking to set Hillary Clinton up with her preferred GOP opponent.NBC News is the latest outlet to run a story on Trump bringing new voters into the GOP fold, noting that the 2016 Florida primary saw tens of thousands more votes cast than Mitt Romney s take in the 2012 general election, and the lion s share of the new votes went to Trump. In Establishment-friendly Northeastern races, Ohio Governor John Kasich pulled vote totals comparable to Romney s primary vote in 2012, but Trump s new voters swamped him.Sean Trende at RealClearPolitics suggested in January that neglected white working-class voters were coming back to the GOP after taking a pass on Mitt Romney in 2012. Trende described them as  mostly lower-income, blue-collar voters who lived in areas that had also voted for Ross Perot,  who had been turned off by  Mitt Romney s wealth and upper-class demeanor. Missing voter  theories abound after big elections, because so much of the eligible American electorate consistently chooses not to vote. With voter participation well under 60%, even in big presidential elections, the  missing electorate  is big enough to be a theoretical game-changer in virtually every race. It s arresting when a missing electorate returns, as Trende suggests is happening with Trump.Along the way, he makes the point that Ted Cruz was fundamentally wrong about who the missing voters were, as he frequently quoted analysts who misunderstood what Trende was saying in his 2012 election post-mortem.They weren t evangelicals miffed that Mitt Romney was a Mormon, or a moderate. The missing voters weren t mainly conservative Christians at all, since Trende notes that that cohort has always maintained a level of voter participation far above the national average. Many of the missing voters disengaged from politics long before 2012, and it s mostly because they didn t think either party had anything to offer them.The key to understanding this theory is to remember that Ross Perot brought a lot of disengaged working-class people into politics too, and besides his famous disdain for deficit spending, the big planks in his platform were opposition to illegal immigration and criticism of big trade deals, particularly the North American Free Trade Agreement, which both Bill Clinton and George H. W. Bush supported. In the second presidential debate in 1992, Perot famously spoke of  a giant sucking sound going south  to describe the effect NAFTA would have when American jobs went to Mexico.It s no surprise that Donald Trump is talking about NAFTA too, and getting a huge response at his campaign rallies, even as analysts on the Left and Right scratch their heads and wonder why he s talking about a  settled issue  from two decades ago after Bill Clinton signed it into law.To the missing voters, NAFTA has never been a settled issue, or a forgotten one. They re still hurting from the shift of jobs and opportunities out of the country. They were told not to worry about it, because new high-tech jobs with better pay and working conditions would replace the  jobs Americans just won t do  and then those jobs got sent overseas as well, or filled with H1-B visa workers.There is a line of argument from free trade enthusiasts that insists such policies are good for the country overall. We re told that controlling legal immigration, or even cracking down on illegal immigration could significantly damage the U.S. economy. These grand strategies overlook the fact that the people who have been getting clobbered for decades to provide this higher level of national prosperity are tired of being the designated losers. On both the Left and Right, there is anger from people who believe they have been exploited to make others wealthy. That s the fundamental argument of liberal ideology, but Republican leaders really should have noticed when a substantial number of their traditional constituents began feeling that way.These disaffected working-class people are especially weary of master plans that deliberately injure Americans for the benefit of big U.S. investors and foreign interests. That s why a willingness to speak frankly about immigration was such a powerful signal to the missing voters, a sign that Trump was aware of them, in a way that few other Republicans were.The core element of any fair deal for neglected American workers is the acknowledgement that America exists, and its government understands that it has a unique responsibility to American citizens. There is nothing inherently hostile or xenophobic about that understanding. The put-upon citizens of the most open and generous country in the world are tired of being insulted as selfish and hateful for insisting our national priority should be our nation.For decades now, our central government has asserted the wisdom and moral stature to pick  winners and losers.  Those assertions are especially loud from Barack Obama, but he wasn t the first to make them. The people who feel they ve been picked as losers, for generations, are tired of it.Trende talked about the shifting  priorities  of these voters, which could go a long way toward explaining why Cruz didn t get the support he was looking for in the South. It s not so much a question of those voters rejecting Constitutional conservatism, as their political priorities shifting to more immediate concerns.They re under attack by the federal government, and they want relief. Intellectual discourse on the Constitutional basis for freedom of religious expression has less political value when the federal government is sending a battalion of lawyers to escort men into the women s restroom. They still care about our future of unsustainable government debt, but their more immediate concern is getting the economy moving for their regions and income brackets again. Abstract discussion about the proper limits of government gives way to more concrete concerns: What will you do to bring the jobs back, nourish our wages back to health, and make us feel like something more than targets?Some of the blame for those errors is due to the Republican Party at large, which frittered away the Reagan legacy through both Bush presidencies, and allowed the Left to teach the masses what  capitalism  means. Reagan brilliantly redefined the relationship between American citizens and their government, but as soon as he was gone, the GOP allowed that new understanding to be erased, perhaps mistakenly convinced it was unnecessary to defend capitalism from socialism while the Soviet Union was busy collapsing into a pile of ashes.A gulf developed between Republican leadership and the voters they should be able to reach. Until now, they didn t realize how wide that gulf was. They didn t invest nearly enough effort in figuring out who the missing voters were or how to bring them back. On the contrary, the GOP leadership devoted more energy to stamping out the first sign of renewed political life from those disaffected Americans, the Tea Party movement. Instead of understanding who those people were, absorbing their strength into the Republican coalition, or really listening to what they were saying, the GOP Establishment set about marginalizing them. They didn t realize how much damage they were doing to themselves among people who were watching the fate of the Tea Party movement, without being active members of it. Exasperating signals were sent, and received.For entire story: Breitbart News politics
Your task is to classify the provided input as real or fake news. Label 0 is meant for fake news, Label 1 is for real news. TEXT: game changer how trump is bringing back the missing voter the gop forgot aboutone interesting insightful pieces read reason americans drawn trump where trump voters come cruz evangelicals go one great mysteries primary many assessments republican electorate turned wrong the primary electorate gave us donald trump presumptive nominee dramatically different one chose mitt romney bush thought huge quiescent moderate majority nostalgic return bush era looking dogged offensive candidate like blessed endorsements right people campaign war chest huge supposed scare candidates race senator rand paul thought gop libertarian moment arrived driven young voters deeply concerned privacy issues online era weary interventions foreign policy bush obama alike senator marco rubio thought crossover appeal every faction republican party much electability gop voters would crazy turn governors like rick perry scott walker thought voters states would impressed successful battling miscalculation senator ted cruz counting southern conservative evangelical firewall made early cruz every reason think voters every reason suppose would unwilling support donald trump moral policy trump cleaned evangelicals eventual victory primary heralded many observers death nell movement conservatism at least told conservatives disarray unite around candidate could stop trump even though well half party want alternative theory trump primary victory bringing new voters republican primaries clearly saboteurs looking set hillary clinton preferred gop news latest outlet run story trump bringing new voters gop fold noting florida primary saw tens thousands votes cast mitt romney take general election lion share new votes went trump in northeastern races ohio governor john basic pulled vote totals comparable romney primary vote trump new voters swamped trend realclearpolitics suggested january neglected white voters coming back gop taking pass mitt romney trend described mostly voters lived areas also voted ross prot turned mitt romney wealth demeanor missing voter theories abound big elections much eligible american electorate consistently chooses vote with voter participation well even big presidential elections missing electorate big enough theoretical virtually every race it arresting missing electorate returns trend suggests happening way makes point ted cruz fundamentally wrong missing voters frequently quoted analysts misunderstood trend saying election evangelicals mixed mitt romney mormon moderate the missing voters mainly conservative christians since trend notes cohort always maintained level voter participation far national average many missing voters disengage politics long mostly think either party anything offer key understanding theory remember ross prot brought lot disengage people politics besides famous disdain deficit spending big planks platform opposition illegal immigration criticism big trade deals particularly north american free trade agreement bill clinton george bush supported in second presidential debate prot famously spoke giant sucking sound going south describe effect bafta would american jobs went surprise donald trump talking bafta getting huge response campaign rallies even analysts left right scratch heads wonder talking settled issue two decades ago bill clinton signed missing voters bafta never settled issue forgotten one they still hurting shift jobs opportunities country they told worry new jobs better pay working conditions would replace jobs americans jobs got sent overseas well filled visa line argument free trade enthusiasts insists policies good country overall we told controlling legal immigration even cracking illegal immigration could significantly damage economy these grand strategies overlook fact people getting clobbered decades provide higher level national prosperity tired designated losers on left right anger people believe exploited make others wealthy that fundamental argument liberal ideology republican leaders really noticed substantial number traditional constituents began feeling disaffected people especially weary master plans deliberately injure americans benefit big investors foreign interests that willingness speak frankly immigration powerful signal missing voters sign trump aware way republicans core element fair deal neglected american workers acknowledgement america exists government understands unique responsibility american citizens there nothing inherently hostile xenophobia understanding the citizens open generous country world tired insulted selfish hateful insisting national priority decades central government asserted wisdom moral stature pick winners losers those assertions especially loud barack obama first make the people feel picked losers generations tired talked shifting priorities voters could go long way toward explaining cruz get support looking south it much question voters rejecting constitutional conservatism political priorities shifting immediate attack federal government want relief intellectual discourse constitutional basis freedom religious expression less political value federal government sending battalion lawyers escort men women restroom they still care future unsustainable government debt immediate concern getting economy moving regions income brackets abstract discussion proper limits government gives way concrete concerns what bring jobs back tourism wages back health make us feel like something targets some blame errors due republican party large filtered away reagan legacy bush residencies allowed left teach masses capitalism means reagan brilliantly redefined relationship american citizens government soon gone gop allowed new understanding erased perhaps mistakenly convinced unnecessary defend capitalism socialism soviet union busy collapsing pile gulf developed republican leadership voters able reach until realize wide gulf they invest nearly enough effort figuring missing voters bring back on contrary gop leadership devoted energy stamping first sign renewed political life disaffected americans tea party movement instead understanding people absorbing strength republican coalition really listening saying gop establishment set marginalizing they realize much damage among people watching fate tea party movement without active members exasperating signals sent entire story breitbart news politics