 The Math Behind Why Trump Will NEVER Be PresidentI m often told that Trump can beat Hillary, and therefore she shouldn t be the nominee. It s a good argument;  electability  and all that, but it s not true. Even slightly. In fact, never mind Hillary, we could nominate a potted plant on the left and Trump would STILL lose.How can I be so sure? Easy: Trump has to win 70% of the white male vote to become president.Good fucking luck with that.I know what you re thinking: Trump appeals directly to white resentment, how could he not have the angry white male vote totally locked up? Honestly, he probably does. This is something that, as a white male myself, I find incredibly annoying. That more than half of all white males would support such a piece of trash is embarrassing to say the least. But more than half is not the same as 70%.No one gets 70% of the white male vote. No. One.That s a larger percentage than Republicans have ever won before   more than the GOP won in the landslide victories of Ronald Reagan and George H.W. Bush, and far more than they won during the racially polarized elections of Barack Obama.Of course, the argument often made by Trump s followers is that he will win in November because he will bring so many disengaged Americans to the polls. But they re talking about disengaged white voters, mostly mostly men   and unfortunately for him, the turnout rate for white men is already relatively high. Got that? Even when White America went completely insane at the idea of a black president, they STILL couldn t muster more than the 63% Reagan and Poppy Bush took in 1980 and 1988 or the 62% Dubya got in 2004. More importantly, as the country gets less lily white, even that 60%+ is losing its punch:By 2004, however, winning 62 percent of white men barely got George W. Bush past John Kerry in a squeaker. And eight years later, Romney won 62 percent of white men and lost to Barack Obama by 3.5 million votes.So what happened? Between Reagan and Romney, the white male share of the total vote had dropped from 45 percent to 35 percent.Ironically, the very thing Trump is harnessing to propel his campaign, white resentment at the waning of white supremacy, is what will ensure he can never win. It s such a thing a beauty that I want to redefine marriage again so I can walk it down the aisle.If you want a full breakdown of why Trump needs 70% of white men and how women, Latinos and black voters spell his doom, take a look at Politico s excellent analysis.Featured image via AI archives News
the math behind why trump will never be president often told trump beat hillary therefore nominee it good argument electability true even slightly in fact never mind hillary could nominate posted plant left trump would still i sure easy trump win white male vote become fucking luck know thinking trump appeals directly white resentment could angry white male vote totally locked honestly probably this something white male i find incredibly annoying that half white males would support piece trash embarrassing say least but half one gets white male vote no larger percentage republicans ever gop landslide victories ronald reagan george bush far racially polarized elections barack course argument often made trump followers win november bring many disengage americans polls but talking disengage white voters mostly mostly men unfortunately turnout rate white men already relatively high got even white america went completely insane idea black president still muster reagan poppy bush took dubia got more importantly country gets less lily white even losing punch by however winning percent white men barely got george bush past john kerry speaker and eight years later romney percent white men lost barack obama million happened between reagan romney white male share total vote dropped percent thing trump harvesting propel campaign white resentment waning white supremacy ensure never win it thing beauty i want redefine marriage i walk want full breakdown trump needs white men women latino black voters spell doom take look politico excellent image via ai archives news
Your task is to classify the provided input as real or fake news. Label 0 is meant for fake news, Label 1 is for real news. TEXT:  The Math Behind Why Trump Will NEVER Be PresidentI m often told that Trump can beat Hillary, and therefore she shouldn t be the nominee. It s a good argument;  electability  and all that, but it s not true. Even slightly. In fact, never mind Hillary, we could nominate a potted plant on the left and Trump would STILL lose.How can I be so sure? Easy: Trump has to win 70% of the white male vote to become president.Good fucking luck with that.I know what you re thinking: Trump appeals directly to white resentment, how could he not have the angry white male vote totally locked up? Honestly, he probably does. This is something that, as a white male myself, I find incredibly annoying. That more than half of all white males would support such a piece of trash is embarrassing to say the least. But more than half is not the same as 70%.No one gets 70% of the white male vote. No. One.That s a larger percentage than Republicans have ever won before   more than the GOP won in the landslide victories of Ronald Reagan and George H.W. Bush, and far more than they won during the racially polarized elections of Barack Obama.Of course, the argument often made by Trump s followers is that he will win in November because he will bring so many disengaged Americans to the polls. But they re talking about disengaged white voters, mostly mostly men   and unfortunately for him, the turnout rate for white men is already relatively high. Got that? Even when White America went completely insane at the idea of a black president, they STILL couldn t muster more than the 63% Reagan and Poppy Bush took in 1980 and 1988 or the 62% Dubya got in 2004. More importantly, as the country gets less lily white, even that 60%+ is losing its punch:By 2004, however, winning 62 percent of white men barely got George W. Bush past John Kerry in a squeaker. And eight years later, Romney won 62 percent of white men and lost to Barack Obama by 3.5 million votes.So what happened? Between Reagan and Romney, the white male share of the total vote had dropped from 45 percent to 35 percent.Ironically, the very thing Trump is harnessing to propel his campaign, white resentment at the waning of white supremacy, is what will ensure he can never win. It s such a thing a beauty that I want to redefine marriage again so I can walk it down the aisle.If you want a full breakdown of why Trump needs 70% of white men and how women, Latinos and black voters spell his doom, take a look at Politico s excellent analysis.Featured image via AI archives News
Your task is to classify the provided input as real or fake news. Label 0 is meant for fake news, Label 1 is for real news. TEXT: the math behind why trump will never be president often told trump beat hillary therefore nominee it good argument electability true even slightly in fact never mind hillary could nominate posted plant left trump would still i sure easy trump win white male vote become fucking luck know thinking trump appeals directly white resentment could angry white male vote totally locked honestly probably this something white male i find incredibly annoying that half white males would support piece trash embarrassing say least but half one gets white male vote no larger percentage republicans ever gop landslide victories ronald reagan george bush far racially polarized elections barack course argument often made trump followers win november bring many disengage americans polls but talking disengage white voters mostly mostly men unfortunately turnout rate white men already relatively high got even white america went completely insane idea black president still muster reagan poppy bush took dubia got more importantly country gets less lily white even losing punch by however winning percent white men barely got george bush past john kerry speaker and eight years later romney percent white men lost barack obama million happened between reagan romney white male share total vote dropped percent thing trump harvesting propel campaign white resentment waning white supremacy ensure never win it thing beauty i want redefine marriage i walk want full breakdown trump needs white men women latino black voters spell doom take look politico excellent image via ai archives news