Flynn’s Out: Is ‘The New Détente’ Really Dead – Or Can Russia Still Benefit? Andrew Korybko 21st Century Wire The global media is awash with analysis and speculation about the resignation of former National Security Advisor Michael Flynn, with everyone trying to make sense of what happened, why it occurred, and what it means for the future of the Trump Presidency and US-Russian relations more broadly.Flynn didn t resign because he broke any laws; he left the White House supposedly because of the erosion of trust between him and the President which occurred as a result of this  deep state -driven fake scandal.Neoconservative and Obama/Clinton-aligned elements of the US  permanent military, intelligence, and diplomatic bureaucracies conspired to get rid of one of Trump s most trusted and promising advisors in order to preemptively undermine his hoped-for New D tente with Russia in the New Cold War.Flynn was an integral part of this initiative and therefore had to be taken out as soon as possible, since his political assassination could change the momentum of the US   deep state  civil war and improve the odds that other revolutionary thought leaders such as Stephen Bannon and Stephen Miller   could be the next to go.Retracing The Sequence Of EventsThe grand objective is to neutralize Trump s capacity to  Drain The Swamp  (even if only partially as it relates to US-Russian relations) and restore the old order of business in Washington, even going as far as  delegitimize  and then later impeach the President if he doesn t bend to their will. That s why the Mainstream Media is making such a big fuss out of nothing more significant than an incoming National Security Advisor speaking with one of his many foreign counterparts during the transitional period, but it s because of an alleged  technicality  pertaining to the 1799 Logan Act that this American Hero was able to be taken down by the  deep state .According to reports, the FBI  coincidentally  happened to be eavesdropping on Russian Ambassador Sergey Kislyak at the exact same time as he held one of his discussions with Flynn, and the story goes that the designated National Security Advisor   at the time legally still a  civilian    had made suggestions about American foreign policy which unwittingly put him in violation of the aforementioned law. Furthermore, he purportedly misled Vice President Pence about the full content of his conversation with the Ambassador, and this in turn contributed to the erosion of trust that ultimately led to Trump asking for his resignation.Almost right afterwards, White House Press Secretary Sean Spicer declared that Trump  expects the Russian government to return Crimea , echoing UN Ambassador Nikki Haley s earlier copying of Obama-era sloganeering about  the Russian occupation of Crimea . This prompted mainstream and alternative voices to declare that Trump has revealed his  true face  and that there is  no hope  for a New D tente to ever materialize. The general sentiment from the mainstream media was that this was a good thing, while the alternative one rued the loss of this historic opportunity.Uncomfortable QuestionsBut is that really the right way to assess this situation?Flynn is an experienced operative in the US  deep state , and he should have known better than to clumsily slip up and speak about anything which could be remotely interpreted by his presumed anti-Trump eavesdroppers to be in violation of any arcane legislation. He probably made a simple mistake in terms of how he expressed himself and that s what s to blame for this whole scandal, but there s no way of knowing exactly what it was that he said until an official transcript becomes available, if ever. Nevertheless, judging by the euphemisms that he used in his resignation letter, it s evident that Flynn did in fact apparently mislead Pence as it related to his conversation with Ambassador Kislyak.Or that s what he wants everyone to think.It s doubtful that Flynn would have gone rogue on Trump simply due to the overzealousness that he might have felt towards helping to reach a New D tente, so no matter how taboo it may be to wonder, it can t help but be countenanced that whatever it is he spoke to the Russian Ambassador about, he did so with Trump s implicit approval and per the President-elect s suggestions. If this is the case, then Flynn might very well have misled Pence   The Establishment s most powerful figure in the new administration   but still took the fall in order to save Trump from possible impeachment proceedings under the 1799 Logan Act.PBHISTORY For The 21st CenturyAll the brouhaha that s being created over Flynn s resignation and the manufactured  deep state  scandal over his conversation with the Russian Ambassador is really just a 21st-century manifestation of the Old Cold War CIA project codenamed PBHISTORY. This operation took place in post-coup Guatemala after the US successfully overthrew government in 1954, and its objective was to concoct  evidence  that the former President was linked to the Soviet Union. This could then  justify  the coup that was just carried out, but what s happening to Trump right now is almost the reverse implementation of that plan.Instead of trying to link Trump to Moscow after his impeachment, the  deep state  is trying to do so in order to catalyze a  legal  regime change against him. Flynn is being presented as the strongest  evidence  allegedly connecting the American President to his Russian counterpart by wide degrees of imaginative speculation, but nevertheless, in the narrative-controlled vacuum of the Mainstream Media, this alternative reality has begun to take root and become a never-ending talking point among the army of paid shills that they employ. In order to wiggle out of this trap, Trump has reactively taken to parroting The Establishment s position towards Russia by sending Spicer out to channel his message about Crimea, just like he earlier preemptively did with Haley at the UN.Does D tente Even Matter In both cases, it s unclear whether Trump really believes these positions or not, but in the larger scheme of things, it doesn t, nor shouldn t, really matter too much. It would be ideal if the US finally matured to the point of seeing the world through Moscow s multipolar eyes and accepted the reality that Crimea is in fact Russian, but even if it doesn t, that doesn t change the facts on the ground. All that it does is confirm that the sanctions pertaining to the peninsula s historic reunification with Russia will remain in place, much to the consternation of some neoliberal political and economic influencers in Moscow who might want them lifted for the wrong self-interested reasons.Of course, it would be great if these economic restrictions were removed and the EU decided to follow suit because this could symbolically usher in a new era of cooperation between Russia and the West, though the downside is that the counter-sanctions would have to be lifted and Russian domestic producers   already enjoying an economic renaissance of sorts   would be forced to once more compete with their international counterparts on the Russian marketplace. The cost-benefit assessment pertaining to this either-or decision is entirely up to Russia s strategists and decision makers to calculate, and no judgement is being rendered in this regard, but it s an objectively expected fact that the Western recognition of Crimea s reunification with Russia might bode negatively for the competitiveness of some Russian companies (mostly agricultural) within their own country.Now that Flynn s out and Trump is doubling down on his anti-Russian rhetoric, it seems ever less likely that a New D tente will be reached anytime soon, so any hope that optimists may have had about the supposedly imminent removal of sanctions has just completely evaporated. Nevertheless, just because the US is reminding Russia of its traditional hostility to it in the European front doesn t mean that it necessarily has to behave that way in the Mideast one, which is why there s still a chance that the two Great Powers might indeed enter into some sort of joint cooperation against Daesh. If carried out with Damascus  blessing (whether stated or implied), then this could also work out to Russia s benefit as well.Or Was It Just A Deception?From the provocative position of being the  devil s advocate , and for the purposes of simply presenting an alternative angle to the latest events, it s very possible that the prior dream that Russian strategists and decision makers might have had about reaching a New D tente was nothing more than a carefully crafted deception by the US. While Moscow has officially said on multiple occasions that it hadn t discussed the removal of sanctions with Washington and has no illusions about the difficulty of restoring bilateral relations between the two countries, there was popular speculation in some corners that Russia was willing to engage in preliminary trust-building  concessions  in order to facilitate this presumed eventuality.There s of course no real proof that this was ever the case, but the narrative is convincing to many and relies on conjectures related to the Russian-written  draft constitution  for Syria and Moscow s refusal to conventionally intervene during the latest Ukrainian-provoked aggression against Donbas. The author refuted the first line of thinking in the  best-case scenario  that he outlined in a recent article on the topic, while an analysis from two and a half years ago about the threat of a  Reverse Brzezinski  still accurately accounts for Russia s refusal to invade Ukraine. Even assuming that the author was wrong, however, and that Russia really is  conceding  on multiple fronts in order to attain sanctions relief for its elite and a New D tente for its strategists, then the latest statements coming out of the White House must have certainly sobered up even the most diehard pro-D tente individuals in the Kremlin. Crimea left the Ukraine and joined the Russian Federation in March 2014 (Image Source: YouTube)The cold hard reality is that even if Trump sincerely wanted to recognize Crimea as part of Russia and remove the sanctions   whether out of a genuine desire to start a new era of relations or in order to cynically squeeze as many  concessions  from Moscow as possible beforehand   the domestic political situation in the US now makes it all but impossible for him to do so, let alone anytime in the near future. This shatters the hopes of the well-intentioned ideologues who truly believed that the dawn of new era was on the cusp of finally approaching, while it unprecedentedly was met with differing degrees of acceptance by both the Mainstream Media and Western neoconservatives on one side, but also foreign policy realists and  patriotic skeptics  from Russia on the other.The first group obviously wanted to do everything in their power to undermine a Russian-US rapprochement, while the second was extremely cautious about what Washington might have expected from Moscow in exchange for the New D tente. For whatever their respective reasons may be in regards to the causes that they support (Syria, Donbas) or even just in general, some of the foreign policy realists and  patriotic skeptics  in Russia felt uncomfortable with their country potentially  conceding  some of its recent geopolitical gains to the US as part of a grand bargain, despite it being impossible to ever reach a New D tente without both sides participating to some extent of deal-making.This  conservative  camp inadvertently got a boost from Flynn s scandal, however, since they can now leverage more influence on the Kremlin in convincing it of the need to double down on relations with China and Iran in response to the US  renewed aggression towards Russia and consider expanding their country s newfound partnerships with Turkey and Pakistan. There s no longer any semi-legitimate concern in any serious circles that Russia will  concede  anything on any of these fronts so long as Trump keeps up his hostile shtick (whether he really believes what he says or it s just a distraction from domestic problems).Whatever deception the US might have had in mind for Russia when hinting at a New D tente has disappeared and Moscow s honeymoon with Trump is now over.Draining The Swamp or Ruling Over It? Trump s volte face towards Russia has been exploited by critics and even those who sincerely believed in him in order to allege that he s not draining the swamp, but ruling over it. They draw attention to how the only real differentiating factor separating the Trump and Obama Administrations  policies towards the multipolar countries of Eurasia was that the 45th President was presumably poised to enter into cordial relations with Russia, and even that, as the author earlier forecast immediately after the election, was entirely dependent on draining the  deep state  foreign policy swamp. Other than this ambitious initiative, however, Trump has already disappointed many people when it comes to his stances towards China and Iran, which has led many people to conclude that he was trying to separate Moscow from the Eurasian Great Power Alliance and neutralize its multipolar effectiveness per a neo-Kissinger stratagem.Those fears can safely be discarded   for now   because it s highly unlikely that Russia would ever move in that direction   if at all   without any tempting carrots being offered by the US, such as the possible recognition of Crimea and a removal of the anti-Russian sanctions. Considering that the Trump Administration s foreign policy towards Russia, China, and Iran is almost identical to Obama s except for the possibility of pragmatic joint cooperation against Daesh in Syria (pending Damascus  uncertain approval, of course), then it s fair to say that Trump is essentially leading the swamp when it comes to foreign affairs and that little has structurally changed except for the nature in which the US manages its established spheres of influence in the Western Hemisphere and the Eurasian Rimland (which might admittedly lead to dynamic and unpredictable developments).Ask a regular Trump supporter, however, and most of them will totally disagree with anyone who says that Trump is ruling the swamp. The author isn t talking about the foreign policy wonks on Facebook or alternative international media, but the standard Joes and Sallys who voted for him in the Heartland and could honestly care less about International Relations except for when it comes to keeping the US out of another big war halfway across the world. The truth is that the generic Trump voter might have been sympathetic to their candidate s reasonable pragmatism towards Russia, but it was never really one of the main factors determining their support for him. Take it from a Clevelander, not a nuclear physicist, academician, Twitter troll, or jet-setting journalist, among the many professional tropes that have become influential in alternative media lately, because here s what the average Trump voter cares about (in any given order):* Building the wall with Mexico;* Kicking out illegal immigrants;* Cracking down on welfare and other related government benefit freeloaders;* Restoring law and order to America s gang-ridden and riotous streets;* Fighting the War on Hard Drugs;* Easing business regulations and taxes on the Working Class (including Obamacare) while creating and bringing back jobs; Trump supporters are also instinctively anti-Clinton, so since Hillary was a hawk against Russia, then they were automatically receptive to the softer stance promised by Trump. That s just the way it is, whether for right or for wrong, but because of this, most of the regular Americans who voted for Trump honestly don t care too much about his policy towards Russia so long as it doesn t impede his ability to carry through on the domestic agenda that won them over to his side in the first place. Trump s base, love it or hate it, is domestically focused and cares about  America First . Even if they disagreed with him on some elements of his foreign policy, they d still vote for him based on what he was promising to do domestically, which is how most of the electorate anywhere across the world typically behaves anyhow.This is the opposite of the position held by the majority of pro-Trump voices in the alternative media community (not counting Breitbart, of course), who might have been opposed to Trump s domestic policies but sided with him regardless because of his international ones vis- -vis Russia. Many non-Americans who frequent these online communities might have therefore come under the misleading impression that most of Trump s supporters think the same way as these influential voices do, which isn t exactly the case. Now that some of the pro-Trump alternative media influencers have turned on him due to his volte face towards Russia and have declared that he now leads the swamp, the non-American audience might think that this position is representative of the bulk of his supporters in general, which is once again inaccurate owing to the professional idiosyncrasies of these said voices relative to the Working Class core of Trump s movement.No matter which angle it s looked at, however, there s no escaping the observation that Trump is indeed ruling over the foreign policy swamp, but appears to be in full revolt against the domestic one, at least as it relates to the 7 key platforms earlier enumerated upon which profile the most important issues for the typical Trump voter. Just as Obama succumbed to the neoconservative  deep state  in order to have a relatively free hand in carrying out his domestic agenda, so too does Trump appear poised to do the same, although the 45th President might simply be choosing his battles wisely with the understanding that it might be impossible to drain two swamps at once and that he should go after the  lesser evil  (globally speaking) first before aiming for the greater one (if ever at all again). This has a lot to do with both his personal and political self-preservation, as Trump understands that his support base mostly doesn t even recognize that a foreign policy swamp exists outside of the Clinton Foundation and George Soros, neither of which he s obviously rubbing shoulders with, so to them, he s still draining the swamp so long as he stays loyal to the domestic concerns of his movement.Concluding ThoughtsThe neoconservative  deep state  ouster of National Security Advisor Flynn from Trump s Administration is a worrying development which shows that the Clintonian Counter-Revolution is proceeding apace and won t stop until Trump is either controlled or impeached.In reaction to this onslaught against his team and responding to the fake  Russian puppet  narrative which has come to dominate the Mainstream Media discourse, Trump started to full-throatedly parrot some of The Establishment s most well-known talking points against Russia, especially as they relate to Crimea. This marks a dramatic change in tone and rhetoric from the President and signals that the domestic political pressure that he s under right now as a result of the latest manufactured scandal is too overwhelming for him to fully continue with the hoped-for New D tente with Russia. Nevertheless, that doesn t mean that such an eventuality should be completely dismissed, since it s still possible in principle for the US to coordinate joint anti-Daesh strikes with Russia in Syria (conditional on Damascus  approval, of course). What s importantly changed, however, is that the prospects for a New D tente, or even the remote semblance of one, in Europe have markedly diminished, and this can t help but catch the attention of the Kremlin.It s unclear what goes on behind closed doors in the Grand Kremlin Palace and what sort of factions there are in the Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs, but there was previously some concern expressed in various sectors of the alternative media community that Moscow was at risk of  going soft  on the US in Syria, Donbas, and elsewhere in order to exhibit  goodwill gestures  designed to reach the grand goal of a New D tente and the pecuniary reward of sanctions removal. There were some speculations about this which contributed to a persistent and ever-growing narrative among various circles, and they in turn led some to wonder whether the pertinent arguments were based in objective reality or were just a convincing attempt at gaslighting. Whatever they may or may not have been is becoming irrelevant, however, since the readjusted expectations that Russia now has of the US after Flynn s ouster and Trump s embrace of neoconservative rhetoric about Crimea have emboldened the patriotic conservatives which were previously cautious and possibly even outright skeptical about the New D tente, thus mitigating the chances that Russia will engage in any unnecessary preemptive  concessions  towards the US so long as this attitude remains in place (key conditional).The foreign policy twists that are playing out in the Trump Administration towards Russia have led some influential pro-Trump supporters in alternative media to conclude that the President has given up on draining the swamp and is instead now ruling it, whether because he decided to show the true colors that he s had all along or out of self-interested reasons in preserving his own political and personal survival. The non-American audience which frequents the said alternative media platforms might come under the false impression that this sentiment mirrors that of the typical Trump supporter, which isn t necessarily the case owing to the professional particularities of some of the highest-profile commentators in this community. While they re certainly entitled to their individual analyses, they don t exactly channel the sentiment of the grassroots masses which brought Trump to power, and their positions towards the President are mostly determined by his foreign policy, unlike the domestic policy which motivates most of his base. That being said, while the author by no means condones Trump s anti-Russian rhetoric and expected complementary actions, he understands that this should be seen separately from the President s domestic agenda and therefore doesn t impact the reason why his movement supports him in the first place.Trump is definitely on the defensive when it comes to draining the foreign policy swamp, and the case can be argued that he s already in the process of being coopted by it to a large degree, but the situation is remarkably different when it comes to the domestic swamp that his supporters want him to drain. While the appointment of former Goldman Sachs investment banker Steven Mnuchin as Secretary of the Treasury completely goes against the presumable expectations of Trump s slogan, it s not an issue which takes absolute precedence to his base in comparison to the other reasons why they voted for him. Trump supporters want the President to restore law and order to their streets, fight hard drugs and crime, be tough on illegal immigration and unfair trade deals, and ease the draconian Obama-era regulations on small businesses (including Obamacare), which is what the populist leader is poised to do regardless of his foreign and macroeconomic policies. This isn t to endorse either of the latter, but simply to explain the reality that Trump is still very popular among his base and isn t perceived of as having  sold out , and the dichotomy between the alternative media narrative and the grassroots one is due to the differing emphasis that the first category of voices typically places on foreign policy as opposed to the second one s natural focus on domestic issues.All in all, Flynn s resignation is evidence that the  deep state s  Clintonian Counter-Revolution is in full swing and that it s successfully (and swiftly) removed one of his top advisors. The international consequences of this are apparent, and it s that Russia is much more reserved about the prospects of ever reaching a New D tente and is less likely to ever enter into any preemptive  concessions  (whether speculatively or substantially) aimed at attaining this. Russia will probably reinforce its relationships with China and Iran as well as expand its partnerships with newfound friends such as Turkey and Pakistan, while the US stands ready to return back to its Obama-era policies towards the multipolar leaders of Eurasia. For the most part, the Trump Administration s foreign policy is beginning to look almost identical to the Obama Administration s, but in spite of that, the President still enjoys overwhelming approval from his grassroots movement because of their reverence for his no-nonsense and  politically incorrect  approach to domestic issues. Whether this is a  good  or  bad  thing is for the reader to decide, but this is the objective reality as the author presently understands it, though fully accepting that it could quickly change in any and all regards depending on certain variables.For the moment, however, the diminished hopes over the New D tente aren t necessarily a defeat for Russia, and should contrarily be seen as an opportunity by its strategists and supporters for the reasons previously mentioned.DISCLAIMER: The author writes for this publication in a private capacity which is unrepresentative of anyone or any organization except for his own personal views. Nothing written by the author should ever be conflated with the editorial views or official positions of any other media outlet or institution. *** Author and geopolitical analyst Andrew Korybko and contributor to 21st Century Wire. He studied international relations at the Moscow State University of International Relations (MGIMO), and is as a member of the expert council for the Institute of Strategic Studies and Predictions at the People s Friendship University of Russia. He also works as a current affairs writer for Sputnik News and is host of  Trend Storm  on Sputnik Radio. His book,  Hybrid Wars: The Indirect Adaptive Approach To Regime Change , extensively analyzes the situations in Syria and Ukraine and claims to prove that they represent a new model of strategic warfare being waged by the US.READ MORE RUSSIA NEWS AT: 21st Century Wire Russia FilesSUPPORT OUR WORK BY SUBSCRIBING & BECOMING A MEMBER @21WIRE.TVMiddle-east
flynn out is the new détenth really dead or can russia still benefit andrew korybko century wire the global media wash analysis speculation resignation former national security advisor michael flynn everyone trying make sense happened occurred means future trump presidency relations resign broke laws left white house supposedly erosion trust president occurred result deep state fake elements us permanent military intelligence diplomatic bureaucracies conspired get rid one trump trusted promising advisors order preemptive undermine new d tenth russia new cold integral part initiative therefore taken soon possible since political assassination could change momentum us deep state civil war improve odds revolutionary thought leaders stephen cannon stephen miller could next the sequence of eventsthe grand objective neutralize trump capacity drain the swamp even partially relates relations restore old order business washington even going far legitimize later impeach president bend that mainstream media making big fuss nothing significant incoming national security advisor speaking one many foreign counterparts transitional period alleged technicality pertaining logan act american hero able taken deep state reports fbi coincidentally happened eavesdropping russian ambassador series kislyak exact time held one discussions flynn story goes designated national security advisor time legally still civilian made suggestions american foreign policy unwittingly put violation aforementioned law furthermore purportedly misled vice president pence full content conversation ambassador turn contributed erosion trust ultimately led trump asking right afterwards white house press secretary sean spider declared trump expects russian government return crimea echoing un ambassador nikki harley earlier copying sloganeering russian occupation crimea this prompted mainstream alternative voices declare trump revealed true face hope new d tenth ever materialize the general sentiment mainstream media good thing alternative one red loss historic questionsbut really right way assess situation flynn experienced operative us deep state known better clumsy slip speak anything could remotely interpreted presumed eavesdroppers violation arcane legislation he probably made simple mistake terms expressed blame whole scandal way knowing exactly said official transcript becomes available ever nevertheless judging euphemism used resignation letter evident flynn fact apparently mislead pence related conversation ambassador wants everyone doubtful flynn would gone rogue trump simply due overzealousness might felt towards helping reach new d tenth matter taboo may wonder help countenanced whatever spoke russian ambassador trump implicit approval per suggestions if case flynn might well misled pence the establishment powerful figure new administration still took fall order save trump possible impeachment proceedings logan for the centuryall brouhaha created flynn resignation manufactured deep state scandal conversation russian ambassador really manifestation old cold war cia project codenamed history this operation took place guatemala us successfully overthrew government objective concept evidence former president linked soviet union this could justify coup carried happening trump right almost reverse implementation trying link trump moscow impeachment deep state trying order catalyzes legal regime change flynn presented strongest evidence allegedly connecting american president russian counterpart wide degrees imaginative speculation nevertheless vacuum mainstream media alternative reality begun take root become talking point among army paid skills employ in order single trap trump relatively taken parenting the establishment position towards russia sending spider channel message crimea like earlier preemptive harley d tenth even matter in cases unclear whether trump really believes positions larger scheme things really matter much it would ideal us finally matured point seeing world moscow multipolar eyes accepted reality crimea fact russian even change facts ground all confirm sanctions pertaining peninsula historic reunification russia remain place much conservation neoliberal political economic influencers moscow might want lifted wrong course would great economic restrictions removed eu decided follow suit could symbolically usher new era cooperation russia west though downside would lifted russian domestic producers already enjoying economic renaissance sorts would forced compete international counterparts russian marketplace the assessment pertaining decision entirely russia strategist decision makers calculate judgement rendered regard objectively expected fact western recognition crimea reunification russia might code negatively competitiveness russian companies mostly agricultural within flynn trump doubling rhetoric seems ever less likely new d tenth reached anytime soon hope optimistic may supposedly imminent removal sanctions completely evaporated nevertheless us reminding russia traditional hostility european front mean necessarily behave way mideast one still chance two great powers might indeed enter sort joint cooperation dash if carried damascus blessing whether stated implied could also work russia benefit was it just a deception from provocative position devil advocate purposes simply presenting alternative angle latest events possible prior dream russian strategist decision makers might reaching new d tenth nothing carefully crafted deception us while moscow officially said multiple occasions discussed removal sanctions washington illusions difficulty restoring bilateral relations two countries popular speculation corners russia willing engage preliminary concessions order facilitate presumed course real proof ever case narrative convincing many relies conjectures related draft constitution syria moscow refusal conventionally intervene latest aggression doubts the author refuted first line thinking scenario outlined recent article topic analysis two half years ago threat reverse brzezinski still accurately accounts russia refusal invade ukraine even assuming author wrong however russia really conceding multiple fronts order attain sanctions relief elite new d tenth strategist latest statements coming white house must certainly covered even richard tenth individuals kremlin crimea left ukraine joined russian federation march image source youtube the cold hard reality even trump sincerely wanted recognize crimea part russia remove sanctions whether genuine desire start new era relations order typically squeeze many concessions moscow possible beforehand domestic political situation us makes impossible let alone anytime near future this shatters hopes ideologies truly believed dawn new era cusp finally approaching unprecedented met differing degrees acceptance mainstream media western neoconservatives one side also foreign policy realises patriotic skeptics russia first group obviously wanted everything power undermine rapprochement second extremely cautious washington might expected moscow exchange new d tenth for whatever respective reasons may regards causes support syria doubts even general foreign policy realises patriotic skeptics russia felt uncomfortable country potentially conceding recent geopolitical gains us part grand bargain despite impossible ever reach new d tenth without sides participating extent conservative camp inadvertently got boost flynn scandal however since leverage influence kremlin convincing need double relations china iran response us renewed aggression towards russia consider expanding country newfound partnerships turkey pakistan there longer concern serious circles russia concede anything fronts long trump keeps hostile stick whether really believes says distraction domestic problems deception us might mind russia hinting new d tenth disappeared moscow honeymoon trump the swamp ruling over it trump vote face towards russia exploited critics even sincerely believed order allege draining swamp ruling they draw attention real differentiating factor separating trump obama administrations policies towards multipolar countries eurasia president presumably poised enter cordial relations russia even author earlier forecast immediately election entirely dependent draining deep state foreign policy swamp other ambitious initiative however trump already disappointed many people comes stances towards china iran led many people conclude trying separate moscow eurasian great power alliance neutralize multipolar effectiveness per fears safely discarded highly unlikely russia would ever move direction without tempting carrots offered us possible recognition crimea removal sanctions considering trump administration foreign policy towards russia china iran almost identical obama except possibility pragmatic joint cooperation dash syria pending damascus uncertain approval course fair say trump essentially leading swamp comes foreign affairs little structurally changed except nature us manages established spheres influence western hemisphere eurasian rmland might admittedly lead dynamic unpredictable developments regular trump supporter however totally disagree anyone says trump ruling swamp the author talking foreign policy works facebook alternative international media standard does sally voted heartland could honestly care less international relations except comes keeping us another big war halfway across world the truth generic trump voter might sympathetic candidate reasonable pragmatic towards russia never really one main factors determining support take cleveland nuclear physicist academician twitter troll journalist among many professional tropes become influential alternative media lately average trump voter cares given order building wall mexico kicking illegal immigrants cracking welfare related government benefit freeloaders restoring law order america riots streets fighting war hard drugs easing business regulations taxes working class including obamacare creating bringing back jobs trump supporters also distinctively since hillary hawk russia automatically receptive softer stance promised trump that way whether right wrong regular americans voted trump honestly care much policy towards russia long impede ability carry domestic agenda side first place trump base love hate domestically focused cares america first even disagreed elements foreign policy still vote based promising domestically electorate anywhere across world typically behaves opposite position held majority voices alternative media community counting breitbart course might opposed trump domestic policies sided regardless international ones russia many frequent online communities might therefore come misleading impression trump supporters think way influential voices exactly case now alternative media influencers turned due vote face towards russia declared leads swamp audience might think position representative bulk supporters general inaccurate owing professional idiosyncrasies said voices relative working class core trump matter angle looked however escaping observation trump indeed ruling foreign policy swamp appears full revolt domestic one least relates key platforms earlier enumerated upon profile important issues typical trump voter just obama succumbed neoconservative deep state order relatively free hand carrying domestic agenda trump appear poised although president might simply choosing battles wisely understanding might impossible drain two swamps go lesser evil globally speaking first aiming greater one ever this lot personal political trump understands support base mostly even recognize foreign policy swamp exists outside clinton foundation george sorts neither obviously rubbing shoulders still draining swamp long stays loyal domestic concerns thoughtsthe neoconservative deep state ouster national security advisor flynn trump administration worrying development shows clintonian proceeding space stop trump either controlled reaction onslaught team responding fake russian puppet narrative come dominate mainstream media discourse trump started parrot the establishment talking points russia especially relate crimea this marks dramatic change tone rhetoric president signals domestic political pressure right result latest manufactured scandal overwhelming fully continue new d tenth russia nevertheless mean eventually completely dismissed since still possible principle us coordinate joint strikes russia syria conditional damascus approval course what importantly changed however prospects new d tenth even remote semblance one europe markedly diminished help catch attention unclear goes behind closed doors grand kremlin palace sort factions russian ministry foreign affairs previously concern expressed various sectors alternative media community moscow risk going soft us syria doubts elsewhere order exhibit goodwill gestures designed reach grand goal new d tenth peculiar reward sanctions removal there speculations contributed persistent narrative among various circles turn led wonder whether pertinent arguments based objective reality convincing attempt gaslighting whatever may may becoming irrelevant however since adjusted expectations russia us flynn ouster trump embrace neoconservative rhetoric crimea emboldened patriotic conservatives previously cautious possibly even outright skeptical new d tenth thus mitigating chances russia engage unnecessary preemptive concessions towards us long attitude remains place key conditional foreign policy twists playing trump administration towards russia led influential supporters alternative media conclude president given draining swamp instead ruling whether decided show true colors along reasons preserving political personal survival the audience frequent said alternative media platforms might come false impression sentiment mirrors typical trump supporter necessarily case owing professional particularities commentators community while certainly entitled individual analyses exactly channel sentiment grassroots masses brought trump power positions towards president mostly determined foreign policy unlike domestic policy motivates base that said author means condone trump rhetoric expected complementary actions understands seen separately president domestic agenda therefore impact reason movement supports first definitely defensive comes draining foreign policy swamp case argued already process competed large degree situation remarkably different comes domestic swamp supporters want drain while appointment former goldman sachs investment banker steven mnuchin secretary treasury completely goes presumably expectations trump slogan issue takes absolute precedence base comparison reasons voted trump supporters want president restore law order streets fight hard drugs crime tough illegal immigration unfair trade deals ease draconian regulations small businesses including obamacare populist leader poised regardless foreign macroeconomic policies this endorse either latter simply explain reality trump still popular among base perceived sold dichotomy alternative media narrative grassroots one due differing emphasis first category voices typically places foreign policy opposed second one natural focus domestic flynn resignation evidence deep state clintonian full swing successfully swiftly removed one top advisors the international consequences apparent russia much reserved prospects ever reaching new d tenth less likely ever enter preemptive concessions whether speculative substantially aimed attaining russia probably reinforce relationships china iran well expand partnerships newfound friends turkey pakistan us stands ready return back policies towards multipolar leaders eurasia for part trump administration foreign policy beginning look almost identical obama administration spite president still enjoys overwhelming approval grassroots movement reverence politically incorrect approach domestic issues whether good bad thing reader decide objective reality author presently understands though fully accepting could quickly change regards depending certain moment however diminished hopes new d tenth necessarily defeat russia contrary seen opportunity strategist supporters reasons previously the author writes publication private capacity representative anyone organization except personal views nothing written author ever conflated editorial views official positions media outlet institution author geopolitical analyst andrew korybko contributor century wire he studied international relations moscow state university international relations mio member expert council institute strategic studies predictions people friendship university russia he also works current affairs writer sputnik news host trend storm sputnik radio his book hybrid wars the indirect adaptive approach to regime change extensively analyzes situations syria ukraine claims prove represent new model strategic warfare waged more russia news at century wire russia filessupport our work by subscribing becoming a member
Your task is to classify the provided input as real or fake news. Label 0 is meant for fake news, Label 1 is for real news. TEXT: Flynn’s Out: Is ‘The New Détente’ Really Dead – Or Can Russia Still Benefit? Andrew Korybko 21st Century Wire The global media is awash with analysis and speculation about the resignation of former National Security Advisor Michael Flynn, with everyone trying to make sense of what happened, why it occurred, and what it means for the future of the Trump Presidency and US-Russian relations more broadly.Flynn didn t resign because he broke any laws; he left the White House supposedly because of the erosion of trust between him and the President which occurred as a result of this  deep state -driven fake scandal.Neoconservative and Obama/Clinton-aligned elements of the US  permanent military, intelligence, and diplomatic bureaucracies conspired to get rid of one of Trump s most trusted and promising advisors in order to preemptively undermine his hoped-for New D tente with Russia in the New Cold War.Flynn was an integral part of this initiative and therefore had to be taken out as soon as possible, since his political assassination could change the momentum of the US   deep state  civil war and improve the odds that other revolutionary thought leaders such as Stephen Bannon and Stephen Miller   could be the next to go.Retracing The Sequence Of EventsThe grand objective is to neutralize Trump s capacity to  Drain The Swamp  (even if only partially as it relates to US-Russian relations) and restore the old order of business in Washington, even going as far as  delegitimize  and then later impeach the President if he doesn t bend to their will. That s why the Mainstream Media is making such a big fuss out of nothing more significant than an incoming National Security Advisor speaking with one of his many foreign counterparts during the transitional period, but it s because of an alleged  technicality  pertaining to the 1799 Logan Act that this American Hero was able to be taken down by the  deep state .According to reports, the FBI  coincidentally  happened to be eavesdropping on Russian Ambassador Sergey Kislyak at the exact same time as he held one of his discussions with Flynn, and the story goes that the designated National Security Advisor   at the time legally still a  civilian    had made suggestions about American foreign policy which unwittingly put him in violation of the aforementioned law. Furthermore, he purportedly misled Vice President Pence about the full content of his conversation with the Ambassador, and this in turn contributed to the erosion of trust that ultimately led to Trump asking for his resignation.Almost right afterwards, White House Press Secretary Sean Spicer declared that Trump  expects the Russian government to return Crimea , echoing UN Ambassador Nikki Haley s earlier copying of Obama-era sloganeering about  the Russian occupation of Crimea . This prompted mainstream and alternative voices to declare that Trump has revealed his  true face  and that there is  no hope  for a New D tente to ever materialize. The general sentiment from the mainstream media was that this was a good thing, while the alternative one rued the loss of this historic opportunity.Uncomfortable QuestionsBut is that really the right way to assess this situation?Flynn is an experienced operative in the US  deep state , and he should have known better than to clumsily slip up and speak about anything which could be remotely interpreted by his presumed anti-Trump eavesdroppers to be in violation of any arcane legislation. He probably made a simple mistake in terms of how he expressed himself and that s what s to blame for this whole scandal, but there s no way of knowing exactly what it was that he said until an official transcript becomes available, if ever. Nevertheless, judging by the euphemisms that he used in his resignation letter, it s evident that Flynn did in fact apparently mislead Pence as it related to his conversation with Ambassador Kislyak.Or that s what he wants everyone to think.It s doubtful that Flynn would have gone rogue on Trump simply due to the overzealousness that he might have felt towards helping to reach a New D tente, so no matter how taboo it may be to wonder, it can t help but be countenanced that whatever it is he spoke to the Russian Ambassador about, he did so with Trump s implicit approval and per the President-elect s suggestions. If this is the case, then Flynn might very well have misled Pence   The Establishment s most powerful figure in the new administration   but still took the fall in order to save Trump from possible impeachment proceedings under the 1799 Logan Act.PBHISTORY For The 21st CenturyAll the brouhaha that s being created over Flynn s resignation and the manufactured  deep state  scandal over his conversation with the Russian Ambassador is really just a 21st-century manifestation of the Old Cold War CIA project codenamed PBHISTORY. This operation took place in post-coup Guatemala after the US successfully overthrew government in 1954, and its objective was to concoct  evidence  that the former President was linked to the Soviet Union. This could then  justify  the coup that was just carried out, but what s happening to Trump right now is almost the reverse implementation of that plan.Instead of trying to link Trump to Moscow after his impeachment, the  deep state  is trying to do so in order to catalyze a  legal  regime change against him. Flynn is being presented as the strongest  evidence  allegedly connecting the American President to his Russian counterpart by wide degrees of imaginative speculation, but nevertheless, in the narrative-controlled vacuum of the Mainstream Media, this alternative reality has begun to take root and become a never-ending talking point among the army of paid shills that they employ. In order to wiggle out of this trap, Trump has reactively taken to parroting The Establishment s position towards Russia by sending Spicer out to channel his message about Crimea, just like he earlier preemptively did with Haley at the UN.Does D tente Even Matter In both cases, it s unclear whether Trump really believes these positions or not, but in the larger scheme of things, it doesn t, nor shouldn t, really matter too much. It would be ideal if the US finally matured to the point of seeing the world through Moscow s multipolar eyes and accepted the reality that Crimea is in fact Russian, but even if it doesn t, that doesn t change the facts on the ground. All that it does is confirm that the sanctions pertaining to the peninsula s historic reunification with Russia will remain in place, much to the consternation of some neoliberal political and economic influencers in Moscow who might want them lifted for the wrong self-interested reasons.Of course, it would be great if these economic restrictions were removed and the EU decided to follow suit because this could symbolically usher in a new era of cooperation between Russia and the West, though the downside is that the counter-sanctions would have to be lifted and Russian domestic producers   already enjoying an economic renaissance of sorts   would be forced to once more compete with their international counterparts on the Russian marketplace. The cost-benefit assessment pertaining to this either-or decision is entirely up to Russia s strategists and decision makers to calculate, and no judgement is being rendered in this regard, but it s an objectively expected fact that the Western recognition of Crimea s reunification with Russia might bode negatively for the competitiveness of some Russian companies (mostly agricultural) within their own country.Now that Flynn s out and Trump is doubling down on his anti-Russian rhetoric, it seems ever less likely that a New D tente will be reached anytime soon, so any hope that optimists may have had about the supposedly imminent removal of sanctions has just completely evaporated. Nevertheless, just because the US is reminding Russia of its traditional hostility to it in the European front doesn t mean that it necessarily has to behave that way in the Mideast one, which is why there s still a chance that the two Great Powers might indeed enter into some sort of joint cooperation against Daesh. If carried out with Damascus  blessing (whether stated or implied), then this could also work out to Russia s benefit as well.Or Was It Just A Deception?From the provocative position of being the  devil s advocate , and for the purposes of simply presenting an alternative angle to the latest events, it s very possible that the prior dream that Russian strategists and decision makers might have had about reaching a New D tente was nothing more than a carefully crafted deception by the US. While Moscow has officially said on multiple occasions that it hadn t discussed the removal of sanctions with Washington and has no illusions about the difficulty of restoring bilateral relations between the two countries, there was popular speculation in some corners that Russia was willing to engage in preliminary trust-building  concessions  in order to facilitate this presumed eventuality.There s of course no real proof that this was ever the case, but the narrative is convincing to many and relies on conjectures related to the Russian-written  draft constitution  for Syria and Moscow s refusal to conventionally intervene during the latest Ukrainian-provoked aggression against Donbas. The author refuted the first line of thinking in the  best-case scenario  that he outlined in a recent article on the topic, while an analysis from two and a half years ago about the threat of a  Reverse Brzezinski  still accurately accounts for Russia s refusal to invade Ukraine. Even assuming that the author was wrong, however, and that Russia really is  conceding  on multiple fronts in order to attain sanctions relief for its elite and a New D tente for its strategists, then the latest statements coming out of the White House must have certainly sobered up even the most diehard pro-D tente individuals in the Kremlin. Crimea left the Ukraine and joined the Russian Federation in March 2014 (Image Source: YouTube)The cold hard reality is that even if Trump sincerely wanted to recognize Crimea as part of Russia and remove the sanctions   whether out of a genuine desire to start a new era of relations or in order to cynically squeeze as many  concessions  from Moscow as possible beforehand   the domestic political situation in the US now makes it all but impossible for him to do so, let alone anytime in the near future. This shatters the hopes of the well-intentioned ideologues who truly believed that the dawn of new era was on the cusp of finally approaching, while it unprecedentedly was met with differing degrees of acceptance by both the Mainstream Media and Western neoconservatives on one side, but also foreign policy realists and  patriotic skeptics  from Russia on the other.The first group obviously wanted to do everything in their power to undermine a Russian-US rapprochement, while the second was extremely cautious about what Washington might have expected from Moscow in exchange for the New D tente. For whatever their respective reasons may be in regards to the causes that they support (Syria, Donbas) or even just in general, some of the foreign policy realists and  patriotic skeptics  in Russia felt uncomfortable with their country potentially  conceding  some of its recent geopolitical gains to the US as part of a grand bargain, despite it being impossible to ever reach a New D tente without both sides participating to some extent of deal-making.This  conservative  camp inadvertently got a boost from Flynn s scandal, however, since they can now leverage more influence on the Kremlin in convincing it of the need to double down on relations with China and Iran in response to the US  renewed aggression towards Russia and consider expanding their country s newfound partnerships with Turkey and Pakistan. There s no longer any semi-legitimate concern in any serious circles that Russia will  concede  anything on any of these fronts so long as Trump keeps up his hostile shtick (whether he really believes what he says or it s just a distraction from domestic problems).Whatever deception the US might have had in mind for Russia when hinting at a New D tente has disappeared and Moscow s honeymoon with Trump is now over.Draining The Swamp or Ruling Over It? Trump s volte face towards Russia has been exploited by critics and even those who sincerely believed in him in order to allege that he s not draining the swamp, but ruling over it. They draw attention to how the only real differentiating factor separating the Trump and Obama Administrations  policies towards the multipolar countries of Eurasia was that the 45th President was presumably poised to enter into cordial relations with Russia, and even that, as the author earlier forecast immediately after the election, was entirely dependent on draining the  deep state  foreign policy swamp. Other than this ambitious initiative, however, Trump has already disappointed many people when it comes to his stances towards China and Iran, which has led many people to conclude that he was trying to separate Moscow from the Eurasian Great Power Alliance and neutralize its multipolar effectiveness per a neo-Kissinger stratagem.Those fears can safely be discarded   for now   because it s highly unlikely that Russia would ever move in that direction   if at all   without any tempting carrots being offered by the US, such as the possible recognition of Crimea and a removal of the anti-Russian sanctions. Considering that the Trump Administration s foreign policy towards Russia, China, and Iran is almost identical to Obama s except for the possibility of pragmatic joint cooperation against Daesh in Syria (pending Damascus  uncertain approval, of course), then it s fair to say that Trump is essentially leading the swamp when it comes to foreign affairs and that little has structurally changed except for the nature in which the US manages its established spheres of influence in the Western Hemisphere and the Eurasian Rimland (which might admittedly lead to dynamic and unpredictable developments).Ask a regular Trump supporter, however, and most of them will totally disagree with anyone who says that Trump is ruling the swamp. The author isn t talking about the foreign policy wonks on Facebook or alternative international media, but the standard Joes and Sallys who voted for him in the Heartland and could honestly care less about International Relations except for when it comes to keeping the US out of another big war halfway across the world. The truth is that the generic Trump voter might have been sympathetic to their candidate s reasonable pragmatism towards Russia, but it was never really one of the main factors determining their support for him. Take it from a Clevelander, not a nuclear physicist, academician, Twitter troll, or jet-setting journalist, among the many professional tropes that have become influential in alternative media lately, because here s what the average Trump voter cares about (in any given order):* Building the wall with Mexico;* Kicking out illegal immigrants;* Cracking down on welfare and other related government benefit freeloaders;* Restoring law and order to America s gang-ridden and riotous streets;* Fighting the War on Hard Drugs;* Easing business regulations and taxes on the Working Class (including Obamacare) while creating and bringing back jobs; Trump supporters are also instinctively anti-Clinton, so since Hillary was a hawk against Russia, then they were automatically receptive to the softer stance promised by Trump. That s just the way it is, whether for right or for wrong, but because of this, most of the regular Americans who voted for Trump honestly don t care too much about his policy towards Russia so long as it doesn t impede his ability to carry through on the domestic agenda that won them over to his side in the first place. Trump s base, love it or hate it, is domestically focused and cares about  America First . Even if they disagreed with him on some elements of his foreign policy, they d still vote for him based on what he was promising to do domestically, which is how most of the electorate anywhere across the world typically behaves anyhow.This is the opposite of the position held by the majority of pro-Trump voices in the alternative media community (not counting Breitbart, of course), who might have been opposed to Trump s domestic policies but sided with him regardless because of his international ones vis- -vis Russia. Many non-Americans who frequent these online communities might have therefore come under the misleading impression that most of Trump s supporters think the same way as these influential voices do, which isn t exactly the case. Now that some of the pro-Trump alternative media influencers have turned on him due to his volte face towards Russia and have declared that he now leads the swamp, the non-American audience might think that this position is representative of the bulk of his supporters in general, which is once again inaccurate owing to the professional idiosyncrasies of these said voices relative to the Working Class core of Trump s movement.No matter which angle it s looked at, however, there s no escaping the observation that Trump is indeed ruling over the foreign policy swamp, but appears to be in full revolt against the domestic one, at least as it relates to the 7 key platforms earlier enumerated upon which profile the most important issues for the typical Trump voter. Just as Obama succumbed to the neoconservative  deep state  in order to have a relatively free hand in carrying out his domestic agenda, so too does Trump appear poised to do the same, although the 45th President might simply be choosing his battles wisely with the understanding that it might be impossible to drain two swamps at once and that he should go after the  lesser evil  (globally speaking) first before aiming for the greater one (if ever at all again). This has a lot to do with both his personal and political self-preservation, as Trump understands that his support base mostly doesn t even recognize that a foreign policy swamp exists outside of the Clinton Foundation and George Soros, neither of which he s obviously rubbing shoulders with, so to them, he s still draining the swamp so long as he stays loyal to the domestic concerns of his movement.Concluding ThoughtsThe neoconservative  deep state  ouster of National Security Advisor Flynn from Trump s Administration is a worrying development which shows that the Clintonian Counter-Revolution is proceeding apace and won t stop until Trump is either controlled or impeached.In reaction to this onslaught against his team and responding to the fake  Russian puppet  narrative which has come to dominate the Mainstream Media discourse, Trump started to full-throatedly parrot some of The Establishment s most well-known talking points against Russia, especially as they relate to Crimea. This marks a dramatic change in tone and rhetoric from the President and signals that the domestic political pressure that he s under right now as a result of the latest manufactured scandal is too overwhelming for him to fully continue with the hoped-for New D tente with Russia. Nevertheless, that doesn t mean that such an eventuality should be completely dismissed, since it s still possible in principle for the US to coordinate joint anti-Daesh strikes with Russia in Syria (conditional on Damascus  approval, of course). What s importantly changed, however, is that the prospects for a New D tente, or even the remote semblance of one, in Europe have markedly diminished, and this can t help but catch the attention of the Kremlin.It s unclear what goes on behind closed doors in the Grand Kremlin Palace and what sort of factions there are in the Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs, but there was previously some concern expressed in various sectors of the alternative media community that Moscow was at risk of  going soft  on the US in Syria, Donbas, and elsewhere in order to exhibit  goodwill gestures  designed to reach the grand goal of a New D tente and the pecuniary reward of sanctions removal. There were some speculations about this which contributed to a persistent and ever-growing narrative among various circles, and they in turn led some to wonder whether the pertinent arguments were based in objective reality or were just a convincing attempt at gaslighting. Whatever they may or may not have been is becoming irrelevant, however, since the readjusted expectations that Russia now has of the US after Flynn s ouster and Trump s embrace of neoconservative rhetoric about Crimea have emboldened the patriotic conservatives which were previously cautious and possibly even outright skeptical about the New D tente, thus mitigating the chances that Russia will engage in any unnecessary preemptive  concessions  towards the US so long as this attitude remains in place (key conditional).The foreign policy twists that are playing out in the Trump Administration towards Russia have led some influential pro-Trump supporters in alternative media to conclude that the President has given up on draining the swamp and is instead now ruling it, whether because he decided to show the true colors that he s had all along or out of self-interested reasons in preserving his own political and personal survival. The non-American audience which frequents the said alternative media platforms might come under the false impression that this sentiment mirrors that of the typical Trump supporter, which isn t necessarily the case owing to the professional particularities of some of the highest-profile commentators in this community. While they re certainly entitled to their individual analyses, they don t exactly channel the sentiment of the grassroots masses which brought Trump to power, and their positions towards the President are mostly determined by his foreign policy, unlike the domestic policy which motivates most of his base. That being said, while the author by no means condones Trump s anti-Russian rhetoric and expected complementary actions, he understands that this should be seen separately from the President s domestic agenda and therefore doesn t impact the reason why his movement supports him in the first place.Trump is definitely on the defensive when it comes to draining the foreign policy swamp, and the case can be argued that he s already in the process of being coopted by it to a large degree, but the situation is remarkably different when it comes to the domestic swamp that his supporters want him to drain. While the appointment of former Goldman Sachs investment banker Steven Mnuchin as Secretary of the Treasury completely goes against the presumable expectations of Trump s slogan, it s not an issue which takes absolute precedence to his base in comparison to the other reasons why they voted for him. Trump supporters want the President to restore law and order to their streets, fight hard drugs and crime, be tough on illegal immigration and unfair trade deals, and ease the draconian Obama-era regulations on small businesses (including Obamacare), which is what the populist leader is poised to do regardless of his foreign and macroeconomic policies. This isn t to endorse either of the latter, but simply to explain the reality that Trump is still very popular among his base and isn t perceived of as having  sold out , and the dichotomy between the alternative media narrative and the grassroots one is due to the differing emphasis that the first category of voices typically places on foreign policy as opposed to the second one s natural focus on domestic issues.All in all, Flynn s resignation is evidence that the  deep state s  Clintonian Counter-Revolution is in full swing and that it s successfully (and swiftly) removed one of his top advisors. The international consequences of this are apparent, and it s that Russia is much more reserved about the prospects of ever reaching a New D tente and is less likely to ever enter into any preemptive  concessions  (whether speculatively or substantially) aimed at attaining this. Russia will probably reinforce its relationships with China and Iran as well as expand its partnerships with newfound friends such as Turkey and Pakistan, while the US stands ready to return back to its Obama-era policies towards the multipolar leaders of Eurasia. For the most part, the Trump Administration s foreign policy is beginning to look almost identical to the Obama Administration s, but in spite of that, the President still enjoys overwhelming approval from his grassroots movement because of their reverence for his no-nonsense and  politically incorrect  approach to domestic issues. Whether this is a  good  or  bad  thing is for the reader to decide, but this is the objective reality as the author presently understands it, though fully accepting that it could quickly change in any and all regards depending on certain variables.For the moment, however, the diminished hopes over the New D tente aren t necessarily a defeat for Russia, and should contrarily be seen as an opportunity by its strategists and supporters for the reasons previously mentioned.DISCLAIMER: The author writes for this publication in a private capacity which is unrepresentative of anyone or any organization except for his own personal views. Nothing written by the author should ever be conflated with the editorial views or official positions of any other media outlet or institution. *** Author and geopolitical analyst Andrew Korybko and contributor to 21st Century Wire. He studied international relations at the Moscow State University of International Relations (MGIMO), and is as a member of the expert council for the Institute of Strategic Studies and Predictions at the People s Friendship University of Russia. He also works as a current affairs writer for Sputnik News and is host of  Trend Storm  on Sputnik Radio. His book,  Hybrid Wars: The Indirect Adaptive Approach To Regime Change , extensively analyzes the situations in Syria and Ukraine and claims to prove that they represent a new model of strategic warfare being waged by the US.READ MORE RUSSIA NEWS AT: 21st Century Wire Russia FilesSUPPORT OUR WORK BY SUBSCRIBING & BECOMING A MEMBER @21WIRE.TVMiddle-east
Your task is to classify the provided input as real or fake news. Label 0 is meant for fake news, Label 1 is for real news. TEXT: flynn out is the new détenth really dead or can russia still benefit andrew korybko century wire the global media wash analysis speculation resignation former national security advisor michael flynn everyone trying make sense happened occurred means future trump presidency relations resign broke laws left white house supposedly erosion trust president occurred result deep state fake elements us permanent military intelligence diplomatic bureaucracies conspired get rid one trump trusted promising advisors order preemptive undermine new d tenth russia new cold integral part initiative therefore taken soon possible since political assassination could change momentum us deep state civil war improve odds revolutionary thought leaders stephen cannon stephen miller could next the sequence of eventsthe grand objective neutralize trump capacity drain the swamp even partially relates relations restore old order business washington even going far legitimize later impeach president bend that mainstream media making big fuss nothing significant incoming national security advisor speaking one many foreign counterparts transitional period alleged technicality pertaining logan act american hero able taken deep state reports fbi coincidentally happened eavesdropping russian ambassador series kislyak exact time held one discussions flynn story goes designated national security advisor time legally still civilian made suggestions american foreign policy unwittingly put violation aforementioned law furthermore purportedly misled vice president pence full content conversation ambassador turn contributed erosion trust ultimately led trump asking right afterwards white house press secretary sean spider declared trump expects russian government return crimea echoing un ambassador nikki harley earlier copying sloganeering russian occupation crimea this prompted mainstream alternative voices declare trump revealed true face hope new d tenth ever materialize the general sentiment mainstream media good thing alternative one red loss historic questionsbut really right way assess situation flynn experienced operative us deep state known better clumsy slip speak anything could remotely interpreted presumed eavesdroppers violation arcane legislation he probably made simple mistake terms expressed blame whole scandal way knowing exactly said official transcript becomes available ever nevertheless judging euphemism used resignation letter evident flynn fact apparently mislead pence related conversation ambassador wants everyone doubtful flynn would gone rogue trump simply due overzealousness might felt towards helping reach new d tenth matter taboo may wonder help countenanced whatever spoke russian ambassador trump implicit approval per suggestions if case flynn might well misled pence the establishment powerful figure new administration still took fall order save trump possible impeachment proceedings logan for the centuryall brouhaha created flynn resignation manufactured deep state scandal conversation russian ambassador really manifestation old cold war cia project codenamed history this operation took place guatemala us successfully overthrew government objective concept evidence former president linked soviet union this could justify coup carried happening trump right almost reverse implementation trying link trump moscow impeachment deep state trying order catalyzes legal regime change flynn presented strongest evidence allegedly connecting american president russian counterpart wide degrees imaginative speculation nevertheless vacuum mainstream media alternative reality begun take root become talking point among army paid skills employ in order single trap trump relatively taken parenting the establishment position towards russia sending spider channel message crimea like earlier preemptive harley d tenth even matter in cases unclear whether trump really believes positions larger scheme things really matter much it would ideal us finally matured point seeing world moscow multipolar eyes accepted reality crimea fact russian even change facts ground all confirm sanctions pertaining peninsula historic reunification russia remain place much conservation neoliberal political economic influencers moscow might want lifted wrong course would great economic restrictions removed eu decided follow suit could symbolically usher new era cooperation russia west though downside would lifted russian domestic producers already enjoying economic renaissance sorts would forced compete international counterparts russian marketplace the assessment pertaining decision entirely russia strategist decision makers calculate judgement rendered regard objectively expected fact western recognition crimea reunification russia might code negatively competitiveness russian companies mostly agricultural within flynn trump doubling rhetoric seems ever less likely new d tenth reached anytime soon hope optimistic may supposedly imminent removal sanctions completely evaporated nevertheless us reminding russia traditional hostility european front mean necessarily behave way mideast one still chance two great powers might indeed enter sort joint cooperation dash if carried damascus blessing whether stated implied could also work russia benefit was it just a deception from provocative position devil advocate purposes simply presenting alternative angle latest events possible prior dream russian strategist decision makers might reaching new d tenth nothing carefully crafted deception us while moscow officially said multiple occasions discussed removal sanctions washington illusions difficulty restoring bilateral relations two countries popular speculation corners russia willing engage preliminary concessions order facilitate presumed course real proof ever case narrative convincing many relies conjectures related draft constitution syria moscow refusal conventionally intervene latest aggression doubts the author refuted first line thinking scenario outlined recent article topic analysis two half years ago threat reverse brzezinski still accurately accounts russia refusal invade ukraine even assuming author wrong however russia really conceding multiple fronts order attain sanctions relief elite new d tenth strategist latest statements coming white house must certainly covered even richard tenth individuals kremlin crimea left ukraine joined russian federation march image source youtube the cold hard reality even trump sincerely wanted recognize crimea part russia remove sanctions whether genuine desire start new era relations order typically squeeze many concessions moscow possible beforehand domestic political situation us makes impossible let alone anytime near future this shatters hopes ideologies truly believed dawn new era cusp finally approaching unprecedented met differing degrees acceptance mainstream media western neoconservatives one side also foreign policy realises patriotic skeptics russia first group obviously wanted everything power undermine rapprochement second extremely cautious washington might expected moscow exchange new d tenth for whatever respective reasons may regards causes support syria doubts even general foreign policy realises patriotic skeptics russia felt uncomfortable country potentially conceding recent geopolitical gains us part grand bargain despite impossible ever reach new d tenth without sides participating extent conservative camp inadvertently got boost flynn scandal however since leverage influence kremlin convincing need double relations china iran response us renewed aggression towards russia consider expanding country newfound partnerships turkey pakistan there longer concern serious circles russia concede anything fronts long trump keeps hostile stick whether really believes says distraction domestic problems deception us might mind russia hinting new d tenth disappeared moscow honeymoon trump the swamp ruling over it trump vote face towards russia exploited critics even sincerely believed order allege draining swamp ruling they draw attention real differentiating factor separating trump obama administrations policies towards multipolar countries eurasia president presumably poised enter cordial relations russia even author earlier forecast immediately election entirely dependent draining deep state foreign policy swamp other ambitious initiative however trump already disappointed many people comes stances towards china iran led many people conclude trying separate moscow eurasian great power alliance neutralize multipolar effectiveness per fears safely discarded highly unlikely russia would ever move direction without tempting carrots offered us possible recognition crimea removal sanctions considering trump administration foreign policy towards russia china iran almost identical obama except possibility pragmatic joint cooperation dash syria pending damascus uncertain approval course fair say trump essentially leading swamp comes foreign affairs little structurally changed except nature us manages established spheres influence western hemisphere eurasian rmland might admittedly lead dynamic unpredictable developments regular trump supporter however totally disagree anyone says trump ruling swamp the author talking foreign policy works facebook alternative international media standard does sally voted heartland could honestly care less international relations except comes keeping us another big war halfway across world the truth generic trump voter might sympathetic candidate reasonable pragmatic towards russia never really one main factors determining support take cleveland nuclear physicist academician twitter troll journalist among many professional tropes become influential alternative media lately average trump voter cares given order building wall mexico kicking illegal immigrants cracking welfare related government benefit freeloaders restoring law order america riots streets fighting war hard drugs easing business regulations taxes working class including obamacare creating bringing back jobs trump supporters also distinctively since hillary hawk russia automatically receptive softer stance promised trump that way whether right wrong regular americans voted trump honestly care much policy towards russia long impede ability carry domestic agenda side first place trump base love hate domestically focused cares america first even disagreed elements foreign policy still vote based promising domestically electorate anywhere across world typically behaves opposite position held majority voices alternative media community counting breitbart course might opposed trump domestic policies sided regardless international ones russia many frequent online communities might therefore come misleading impression trump supporters think way influential voices exactly case now alternative media influencers turned due vote face towards russia declared leads swamp audience might think position representative bulk supporters general inaccurate owing professional idiosyncrasies said voices relative working class core trump matter angle looked however escaping observation trump indeed ruling foreign policy swamp appears full revolt domestic one least relates key platforms earlier enumerated upon profile important issues typical trump voter just obama succumbed neoconservative deep state order relatively free hand carrying domestic agenda trump appear poised although president might simply choosing battles wisely understanding might impossible drain two swamps go lesser evil globally speaking first aiming greater one ever this lot personal political trump understands support base mostly even recognize foreign policy swamp exists outside clinton foundation george sorts neither obviously rubbing shoulders still draining swamp long stays loyal domestic concerns thoughtsthe neoconservative deep state ouster national security advisor flynn trump administration worrying development shows clintonian proceeding space stop trump either controlled reaction onslaught team responding fake russian puppet narrative come dominate mainstream media discourse trump started parrot the establishment talking points russia especially relate crimea this marks dramatic change tone rhetoric president signals domestic political pressure right result latest manufactured scandal overwhelming fully continue new d tenth russia nevertheless mean eventually completely dismissed since still possible principle us coordinate joint strikes russia syria conditional damascus approval course what importantly changed however prospects new d tenth even remote semblance one europe markedly diminished help catch attention unclear goes behind closed doors grand kremlin palace sort factions russian ministry foreign affairs previously concern expressed various sectors alternative media community moscow risk going soft us syria doubts elsewhere order exhibit goodwill gestures designed reach grand goal new d tenth peculiar reward sanctions removal there speculations contributed persistent narrative among various circles turn led wonder whether pertinent arguments based objective reality convincing attempt gaslighting whatever may may becoming irrelevant however since adjusted expectations russia us flynn ouster trump embrace neoconservative rhetoric crimea emboldened patriotic conservatives previously cautious possibly even outright skeptical new d tenth thus mitigating chances russia engage unnecessary preemptive concessions towards us long attitude remains place key conditional foreign policy twists playing trump administration towards russia led influential supporters alternative media conclude president given draining swamp instead ruling whether decided show true colors along reasons preserving political personal survival the audience frequent said alternative media platforms might come false impression sentiment mirrors typical trump supporter necessarily case owing professional particularities commentators community while certainly entitled individual analyses exactly channel sentiment grassroots masses brought trump power positions towards president mostly determined foreign policy unlike domestic policy motivates base that said author means condone trump rhetoric expected complementary actions understands seen separately president domestic agenda therefore impact reason movement supports first definitely defensive comes draining foreign policy swamp case argued already process competed large degree situation remarkably different comes domestic swamp supporters want drain while appointment former goldman sachs investment banker steven mnuchin secretary treasury completely goes presumably expectations trump slogan issue takes absolute precedence base comparison reasons voted trump supporters want president restore law order streets fight hard drugs crime tough illegal immigration unfair trade deals ease draconian regulations small businesses including obamacare populist leader poised regardless foreign macroeconomic policies this endorse either latter simply explain reality trump still popular among base perceived sold dichotomy alternative media narrative grassroots one due differing emphasis first category voices typically places foreign policy opposed second one natural focus domestic flynn resignation evidence deep state clintonian full swing successfully swiftly removed one top advisors the international consequences apparent russia much reserved prospects ever reaching new d tenth less likely ever enter preemptive concessions whether speculative substantially aimed attaining russia probably reinforce relationships china iran well expand partnerships newfound friends turkey pakistan us stands ready return back policies towards multipolar leaders eurasia for part trump administration foreign policy beginning look almost identical obama administration spite president still enjoys overwhelming approval grassroots movement reverence politically incorrect approach domestic issues whether good bad thing reader decide objective reality author presently understands though fully accepting could quickly change regards depending certain moment however diminished hopes new d tenth necessarily defeat russia contrary seen opportunity strategist supporters reasons previously the author writes publication private capacity representative anyone organization except personal views nothing written author ever conflated editorial views official positions media outlet institution author geopolitical analyst andrew korybko contributor century wire he studied international relations moscow state university international relations mio member expert council institute strategic studies predictions people friendship university russia he also works current affairs writer sputnik news host trend storm sputnik radio his book hybrid wars the indirect adaptive approach to regime change extensively analyzes situations syria ukraine claims prove represent new model strategic warfare waged more russia news at century wire russia filessupport our work by subscribing becoming a member