Pollsters who predicted Trump win benefit from industry's missNEW YORK (Reuters) - A handful of small public opinion polling companies that bucked consensus and accurately called the U.S. presidential election for Republican Donald Trump are reporting being flooded with calls from investors and clients seeking their services.  Most pollsters wrongly forecast Democrat Hillary Clinton as leading Trump ahead of Tuesday’s election in the latest fiasco to hit the $20 billion public opinion research industry, only months after it failed to predict the British vote to leave the European Union in a June referendum. Among the few that got it right was a new industry player using a different method, South African firm Brandseye, which analyzes social media posts. With offices in Capetown and Johannesburg, Brandseye took an entirely different approach from traditional polling. The data-miner pays people around the world to sift through social media for relevant posts, a process known as crowd-sourcing, and then uses a computer algorithm to rate consumer sentiment about products or politicians.  Its method pointed to a Trump victory. It also correctly called Britain’s Brexit vote. “My phone has not stopped,” CEO and part owner JP Kloppers said in a telephone interview on Thursday. Kloppers said venture capitalists have been calling about investing in the firm, and polling companies have inquired about its methods. Kloppers said the company was open to licensing its technology. Existing clients include ride-sharing firm Uber, banks, telecommunications firms and some government agencies, he said. He declined to identify the governments. “Elections come every couple of years, but there are companies and governments that need to understand every day and every week what’s driving customer satisfaction and dissatisfaction,” Kloppers said. New methods, if successful, are of high interest to polling companies that are having difficulty reaching cellphone users or survey-weary Americans.  “The answer is ongoing research,” said Krista Jenkins, director of the PublicMind survey research center at Fairleigh Dickinson University in New Jersey. “It’s basically digging in as an industry and comparing the findings from your traditional telephone polls to data that is collected online.” Traditional pollsters base their results on questions posed to randomly selected people, often in interviews conducted live over the telephone. Among other errors that pollsters made ahead of the U.S election, they almost universally miscalculated how turnout would be distributed among demographic groups. High-profile London-based polling agency YouGov PLC’s stock dropped 4 percent on Wednesday after its new method of surveying people online failed to accurately predict the U.S. presidential election’s outcome. Analysts were split on the reason behind the drop, and YouGov stock partly recovered on Thursday, closing up 2 percent in London trading.  No one from YouGov, which primarily does research for corporations, was immediately available to comment on the business implications of the polling miss, a spokesman said. The Reuters/Ipsos States of the Nation project gave Clinton a 90 percent probability of winning the 270 electoral votes needed to secure the election. On its website, one of the possible scenarios was how Trump could win the election by adjusting turnout levels. Ipsos SA will assess what it got wrong, said Clifford Young, president of the French research company’s U.S. public affairs unit. Election polling is generally not a big money-maker. Many polls are done by universities or the media, while private research companies use it to market themselves to corporate clients that provide more profitable work. Pioneering U.S. pollster Gallup last year abandoned head-to-head polls for the presidential race, saying it wanted to focus its resources on polls about issues. The outfits that wrongly foresaw a Clinton victory will suffer damage to their reputation, said Alex DeGroote, a London-based analyst at Peel Hunt LLP who follows the industry. “They attach their brand to these polls. If these polls continue to flop, it’s not going to help their brand credibility,” DeGroote said. Among this year’s winners may be Remington Research Group. The Kansas City, Missouri-based pollster correctly predicted that Trump would win the election battleground states of Florida, North Carolina and Ohio, although it missed Trump’s surprising Wisconsin victory. The company, which frequently works with Republican politicians, conducts a mix of automated phone interviews and live phone interviews. It may have done relatively well because other firms were afraid of standing out from the crowd, said Titus Bond, the group’s director. “A lot of pollsters, they want to be at the same number as everyone else,” Bond said. Bond said he received three calls on the morning after the election from corporate clients in the pharmaceutical and fertilizer industries and three others from advocacy groups, all seeking to do business. politicsNews
posters predicted trump win benefit industry missed york reuters a handful small public opinion polling companies backed consensus accurately called presidential election republican donald trump reporting flooded calls investors clients seeking services most posters wrongly forecast democrat hillary clinton leading trump ahead tuesday election latest fiasco hit billion public opinion research industry months failed predict british vote leave european union june referendum among got right new industry player using different method south african firm brandseye analyzes social media posts with offices capetown johannesburg brandseye took entirely different approach traditional polling the pays people around world sift social media relevant posts process known uses computer algorithm rate consumer sentiment products politicians its method pointed trump victory it also correctly called britain brexit vote my phone stopped ceo part owner jp shoppers said telephone interview thursday shoppers said venture capitalists calling investing firm polling companies inquired methods shoppers said company open licensing technology existing clients include firm uber banks telecommunications firms government agencies said he declined identify governments elections come every couple years companies governments need understand every day every week driving customer satisfaction dissatisfaction shoppers said new methods successful high interest polling companies difficulty reaching cellphone users americans the answer ongoing research said lista jenkins director publicmind survey research center fairleigh wilkinson university new jersey it basically digging industry comparing findings traditional telephone polls data collected traditional posters base results questions posed randomly selected people often interviews conducted live telephone among errors posters made ahead election almost universally miscalculated turnout would distributed among demographic groups polling agency yougov plc stock dropped percent wednesday new method surveying people online failed accurately predict presidential election outcome analysts split reason behind drop yougov stock partly recovered thursday closing percent london trading no one yougov primarily research corporations immediately available comment business implications polling miss spokesman said the states nation project gave clinton percent probability winning electoral votes needed secure election on website one possible scenarios trump could win election adjusting turnout levels pos sa assess got wrong said clifford young president french research company public affairs unit election polling generally big many polls done universities media private research companies use market corporate clients provide profitable work pioneering poster gallon last year abandoned polls presidential race saying wanted focus resources polls issues the outfits wrongly forest clinton victory suffer damage reputation said alex degroote analyst peel hunt ll follows industry they attach brand polls if polls continue flop going help brand credibility degroote said among year winners may remington research group the kansas city poster correctly predicted trump would win election battleground states florida north carolina ohio although missed trump surprising wisconsin victory the company frequently works republican politicians conducts mix automated phone interviews live phone interviews it may done relatively well firms afraid standing crowd said tits bond group director a lot posters want number everyone else bond said bond said received three calls morning election corporate clients pharmaceutical fertilizer industries three others advocacy groups seeking business politicsnews
Your task is to classify the provided input as real or fake news. Label 0 is meant for fake news, Label 1 is for real news. TEXT: Pollsters who predicted Trump win benefit from industry's missNEW YORK (Reuters) - A handful of small public opinion polling companies that bucked consensus and accurately called the U.S. presidential election for Republican Donald Trump are reporting being flooded with calls from investors and clients seeking their services.  Most pollsters wrongly forecast Democrat Hillary Clinton as leading Trump ahead of Tuesday’s election in the latest fiasco to hit the $20 billion public opinion research industry, only months after it failed to predict the British vote to leave the European Union in a June referendum. Among the few that got it right was a new industry player using a different method, South African firm Brandseye, which analyzes social media posts. With offices in Capetown and Johannesburg, Brandseye took an entirely different approach from traditional polling. The data-miner pays people around the world to sift through social media for relevant posts, a process known as crowd-sourcing, and then uses a computer algorithm to rate consumer sentiment about products or politicians.  Its method pointed to a Trump victory. It also correctly called Britain’s Brexit vote. “My phone has not stopped,” CEO and part owner JP Kloppers said in a telephone interview on Thursday. Kloppers said venture capitalists have been calling about investing in the firm, and polling companies have inquired about its methods. Kloppers said the company was open to licensing its technology. Existing clients include ride-sharing firm Uber, banks, telecommunications firms and some government agencies, he said. He declined to identify the governments. “Elections come every couple of years, but there are companies and governments that need to understand every day and every week what’s driving customer satisfaction and dissatisfaction,” Kloppers said. New methods, if successful, are of high interest to polling companies that are having difficulty reaching cellphone users or survey-weary Americans.  “The answer is ongoing research,” said Krista Jenkins, director of the PublicMind survey research center at Fairleigh Dickinson University in New Jersey. “It’s basically digging in as an industry and comparing the findings from your traditional telephone polls to data that is collected online.” Traditional pollsters base their results on questions posed to randomly selected people, often in interviews conducted live over the telephone. Among other errors that pollsters made ahead of the U.S election, they almost universally miscalculated how turnout would be distributed among demographic groups. High-profile London-based polling agency YouGov PLC’s stock dropped 4 percent on Wednesday after its new method of surveying people online failed to accurately predict the U.S. presidential election’s outcome. Analysts were split on the reason behind the drop, and YouGov stock partly recovered on Thursday, closing up 2 percent in London trading.  No one from YouGov, which primarily does research for corporations, was immediately available to comment on the business implications of the polling miss, a spokesman said. The Reuters/Ipsos States of the Nation project gave Clinton a 90 percent probability of winning the 270 electoral votes needed to secure the election. On its website, one of the possible scenarios was how Trump could win the election by adjusting turnout levels. Ipsos SA will assess what it got wrong, said Clifford Young, president of the French research company’s U.S. public affairs unit. Election polling is generally not a big money-maker. Many polls are done by universities or the media, while private research companies use it to market themselves to corporate clients that provide more profitable work. Pioneering U.S. pollster Gallup last year abandoned head-to-head polls for the presidential race, saying it wanted to focus its resources on polls about issues. The outfits that wrongly foresaw a Clinton victory will suffer damage to their reputation, said Alex DeGroote, a London-based analyst at Peel Hunt LLP who follows the industry. “They attach their brand to these polls. If these polls continue to flop, it’s not going to help their brand credibility,” DeGroote said. Among this year’s winners may be Remington Research Group. The Kansas City, Missouri-based pollster correctly predicted that Trump would win the election battleground states of Florida, North Carolina and Ohio, although it missed Trump’s surprising Wisconsin victory. The company, which frequently works with Republican politicians, conducts a mix of automated phone interviews and live phone interviews. It may have done relatively well because other firms were afraid of standing out from the crowd, said Titus Bond, the group’s director. “A lot of pollsters, they want to be at the same number as everyone else,” Bond said. Bond said he received three calls on the morning after the election from corporate clients in the pharmaceutical and fertilizer industries and three others from advocacy groups, all seeking to do business. politicsNews
Your task is to classify the provided input as real or fake news. Label 0 is meant for fake news, Label 1 is for real news. TEXT: posters predicted trump win benefit industry missed york reuters a handful small public opinion polling companies backed consensus accurately called presidential election republican donald trump reporting flooded calls investors clients seeking services most posters wrongly forecast democrat hillary clinton leading trump ahead tuesday election latest fiasco hit billion public opinion research industry months failed predict british vote leave european union june referendum among got right new industry player using different method south african firm brandseye analyzes social media posts with offices capetown johannesburg brandseye took entirely different approach traditional polling the pays people around world sift social media relevant posts process known uses computer algorithm rate consumer sentiment products politicians its method pointed trump victory it also correctly called britain brexit vote my phone stopped ceo part owner jp shoppers said telephone interview thursday shoppers said venture capitalists calling investing firm polling companies inquired methods shoppers said company open licensing technology existing clients include firm uber banks telecommunications firms government agencies said he declined identify governments elections come every couple years companies governments need understand every day every week driving customer satisfaction dissatisfaction shoppers said new methods successful high interest polling companies difficulty reaching cellphone users americans the answer ongoing research said lista jenkins director publicmind survey research center fairleigh wilkinson university new jersey it basically digging industry comparing findings traditional telephone polls data collected traditional posters base results questions posed randomly selected people often interviews conducted live telephone among errors posters made ahead election almost universally miscalculated turnout would distributed among demographic groups polling agency yougov plc stock dropped percent wednesday new method surveying people online failed accurately predict presidential election outcome analysts split reason behind drop yougov stock partly recovered thursday closing percent london trading no one yougov primarily research corporations immediately available comment business implications polling miss spokesman said the states nation project gave clinton percent probability winning electoral votes needed secure election on website one possible scenarios trump could win election adjusting turnout levels pos sa assess got wrong said clifford young president french research company public affairs unit election polling generally big many polls done universities media private research companies use market corporate clients provide profitable work pioneering poster gallon last year abandoned polls presidential race saying wanted focus resources polls issues the outfits wrongly forest clinton victory suffer damage reputation said alex degroote analyst peel hunt ll follows industry they attach brand polls if polls continue flop going help brand credibility degroote said among year winners may remington research group the kansas city poster correctly predicted trump would win election battleground states florida north carolina ohio although missed trump surprising wisconsin victory the company frequently works republican politicians conducts mix automated phone interviews live phone interviews it may done relatively well firms afraid standing crowd said tits bond group director a lot posters want number everyone else bond said bond said received three calls morning election corporate clients pharmaceutical fertilizer industries three others advocacy groups seeking business politicsnews