anchor: I suppose that keeping up with Alan Sinai's daily predictions of Dow movements does give one some authority on this matter; but, it still seems to me, musings on this subject (like those on solid-state physics, for example) should, if they are going to be published, be assigned to individuals who have had more than a little training in the matter.
positive: Alan Sinai makes daily predictions about Dow movements.
negative: Alan Sinai knows nothing about the DOW and does not pay attention to it at all.