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Fertility Friend's data, the average first BFP is 13.6 DPO, and the. average first false positive is 10.6 DPO. This tells me that people. are testing early, but the average is still close to 14 DPO.
The earliest it's even possible for an HPT to ever give a BFP would be about 8dpo. But the earlier you test, the more likely you are to get a false BFN. About 95% of pregnant women testing at 8dpo will get a BFN. If you wait until one day after AF is expected, the odds of a false BFN fall to almost zero. Something like 98% of pregnant women will get a BFP with an HPT testing at 1 day after AF is due. My personal advice is to wait until AF is AT LEAST one day late. The reason being that every month, the odds are against you.