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Expected Positive Exposure. The Expected Positive Exposure (EPE) is the weighted average over time of the expected exposure, where the weights are the proportion that an individual expected exposure represents of the entire exposure horizon time interval [1]. The EPE can be calculated as.
Exposure at Default for the counterparty if bank defaults. at time t * (1 â Recovery Rate) Expected Positive Exposure and Expected Negative Exposure (akin to the current PSLE concept) generates the Exposure-at-Default profile for both the counterparty and the bank.