REGIONS
More Trials Expected</br></br>For Great Lakes States</br></br>WHICH REGION will suffer most in the next recession? Data Resources says it's the same one that got stung worst in the last four economic downturns: the Great Lakes states.</br></br>The Lexington, Mass., economic-consulting firm has produced a scenario that assumes a relatively severe recession starting in late 1989, with the nation's economic output falling four percentage points by the fourth quarter of 1990 and interest rates surging. In this model, Michigan, Illinois, Indiana, Ohio and Wisconsin would lose 10% of their manufacturing jobs by the end of 1990.</br></br>Does all this sound familiar? In the major recessions of 1975 and 1982, and in the less severe slumps of 1960 and 1970, the Great Lakes states also sustained the biggest percentage job losses of any region.