The threat assessment model used here has been used by researchers at ICT to estimate the “attractiveness” of specific facilities to terrorist organizations. The model uses on-site evaluations of vulnerabilities to build a portfolio of possible attack scenarios. These scenarios are then analyzed using known or estimated sensitivities and target-assessment criteria for the different organizations. The result is a means of rating the different scenarios according to their attractiveness to different types of organization. This enables decision-makers to concentrate resources on most probably scenarios, rather than on worst-case scenarios. The model has provided credible results for actual venues.
['Yael Shahar']
Toward a target-specific method of threat assessment