Emissions in the last decade are about the same size as the remaining carbon budget of 400 ± 220 (500, 650) GtCO 2 for limiting global warming to 1.5°C and between one-third and half the 1150 ± 220 (1350, 1700) GtCO 2 for limiting global warming below 2°C with a 67% (50%, 33%) probability, respectively