It’s no secret that there’s a big problem
in higher education, a problem steadily getting worse. Tuition prices are
rising to ridiculous levels. Quality of education is dropping to laughable
And competition for those last few suckers
students that are willing to go into debt is rising every year, due to
worthless accreditation and widespread online coursework fraud making it
relatively easy for anyone willing to pay the accreditation fees to put up a
school that can compete with every other institution on the planet for that
student loan loot.
It’s obvious this can’t continue forever,
and the game is coming to an end. Can administration look that far ahead and
start planning for a change?
Admin: “We have determined that your
volunteer service does not count as community service.”
Me: “I represent this college, and
show the kids that neither mathematics, nor college professors, are meanies to
Admin: “That may be, but the average
age of the children there was barely 14. We’re a college, our students
generally run 18 and up. So, you’re not getting credit for community service.”
Me: “Just how old do you think
those 14 year olds will be in 4 years, you shortsighted imbecile?”
--The gentle reader needs to
understand that most college leadership simply cannot plan ahead. Instead,
college administration looks to sell out the school’s reputation as quickly as
possible, jack up growth numbers by whatever means (including fraud), and move
on and up through the system.
Most administrators in higher education
never bother to look at the big picture, never try to connect the dots between
what’s happening at the institution, and what’s going on in the real world.
Admin 1: “Our new facilities will be
at 100% capacity from day 1. Every room, every seat filled.”
Admin 2: “Our plan is to double in
size as quickly as possible as soon as we move into the new facility.”
--The entire faculty was forced to
listen to these people. These two administrators have offices that share a
connecting door, and said this at a mandatory meeting. Nobody seemed to see any
issue with what was said, although, much like in my previous anecdote, faculty
know better than to point out obvious issues with administrative thinking.
Even as higher education’s intense
fascination with questionable online coursework moves more and more students
online, no administrator has figured out that means we really don’t need to keep on with a madcap building spree
in higher education…a
building spree that’s loaded campuses down with expensive-to-maintain buildings.
There’s no interest in building parking places, of course, nor has anyone in
leadership figured out what will happen when straight demographics says we’ll
start losing students, no matter what, because of an aging population. Each
administrator at every institution plans for growth, growth, growth.
Some schools are already feeling some pain
from the forces that are bearing down on higher education:
before a research survey proclaimed Birmingham-Southern to be among “The Best
Colleges to Work For,” the College was rocked by a surprise announcement that
63 staff and faculty positions would be eliminated. Remaining employees were
told that their salaries would be cut by ten percent and that the institution
had suspended its contributions to their retirement funds.
--great place to work for, indeed.
I’d love to see the breakdown of who was eliminated. Usually it’s one admin for
every 3 to 10 faculty lost—because of the vast disparity in pay, admin can
justify doing this because “ultimately both groups lost as much in terms of
salary…” One administrator represents as much salary as 3 to 10 faculty, you
see, and you can—apparently—always increase class size to make up for lost
finances at a school are completely opaque except to a select few, nobody ever
sees it coming when a school is in serious financial trouble. “Nobody” includes
even the federal government:
…As Jim Douthat notes, the march toward bankruptcy often begins slowly and then accelerates suddenly. That 3.0 federal grade had been based on past history. Their Board moved in response to the likelihood of fiscal collapse in the near future.
So right after the school announces
“we’re shutting down” because of money issues, the Federal government awards
that same school the highest possible financial rating.
If “highest possible financial rating”
means “fiscal collapse in the near future”, only a fool would put much stock in
a Federal government rating. Well, I guess that’s always been true, and only a
fool believes government economic numbers today. I wonder if anyone else can
connect the dots between the government’s complete inability to figure out the
financial future of a small school, and the government’s ability to figure out
the financial future of an entire country…but I digress.
While many administrators can’t connect the
dots even when done for them, a few colleges have realized that a crash in
higher education is coming, and the time to prepare is now.
These few schools, like Grinnel College,
are doing the obvious things in preparation for a collapse. Grinnel has 1700
students, and isn’t making plans for nationwide advertising campaigns for
online coursework to encourage massive growth. They’re not covering their
campus in dust from endless new construction. They’re not bloating up their
administrative caste with high numbers and huge salaries. And everyone gets to
see what’s going on:
To this end, Grinnell integrated the concept of institutional sustainability into their budgeting, financial forecasts, governance and strategic planning. In doing so, they anticipate what the College will face by looking at key metrics including, for example, admission rate, net tuition revenue by student, percentage of no-need students, total gifts per year, and change in per cent revenue by source.
So, actual long term planning that doesn’t
depend on maintaining a 15% growth rate indefinitely, and everyone can see what
the budget plan is. There won’t be any “we’re fiscally solid” announcements
within a week of “we need to fire almost everyone” announcements at Grinnel.
Sadly, what Grinnel is doing won’t be
copied and modeled anywhere, and hence the title of today’s essay. Why don’t
other colleges prepare for what’s coming? Because the only metric
administration uses at most institutions is “growth”. It’s why a school with 0.6%
graduation rate over 10 years is still considered a success because it grew so
much. Since Grinnel
isn’t growing, any administrator that looks at Grinnel will think “I’ll never
get a million dollar salary using their ideas”, and then move on to look at
what other schools are doing.
That’s a shame, because most schools are
engaging in policies that are guaranteed to end in complete destruction as soon
as the student loan money (or the mass of students willing to indebt themselves
forever) stops coming, or even simply stops coming in ever larger numbers.
When that happens, many institutions will
go bankrupt. Administration won’t care, of course, because they’ve already
granted themselves golden parachutes…but someone’s going to ask “how did these
schools have billions of dollars a few years ago and have nothing but abandoned
buildings and a bunch of retired administrators living in mansions today?” For
the sake of those administrators, I sure hope the people that ask that question
don’t have guns.
I admit that sometimes, however, I hope
the people that ask that question will have guns after all. Lots of guns.